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PremiumXAUUSD – Awaiting Breakout as Market Stalls Post-Macro Storm Gold remains in consolidation mode following a barrage of high-impact macro events — from Trump's Super Bill approval to unexpectedly strong NFP data. Despite these catalysts, price action has stalled as traders weigh conflicting signals. With U.S. markets closed for Independence Day, liquidity remains...
📉 Fundamental Analysis Gold remains in a strong bullish structure, supported by multiple macroeconomic and political drivers: ADP Employment Report Missed Expectations: With a shocking -33K reading, market sentiment shifted firmly against the US Dollar, pushing gold higher. Fed’s Easing Outlook: Markets are now pricing in a 90% probability of a rate cut in Q3,...
📊 MACRO FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT: The market is closely watching today's ADP Non-Farm Employment report (forecast: 99K vs. previous: 37K), which will serve as a key signal ahead of Friday's Non-Farm Payrolls. At the same time, President Trump’s remarks on the tax reform bill triggered renewed concerns over the growing US budget deficit, raising demand for gold...
🔹 Macro Structure: Gold has successfully broken structure (BOS) after forming a bullish shift in market structure (MSS) around the 326x – 327x zone. Current price action is respecting internal bullish order flow, with higher highs and higher lows being maintained. Breakout above 3300 psychological level + recent BOS confirms bullish intent. 🔹 Liquidity...
📌 Market Narrative & Liquidity Shift The final day of June coincides with a critical macro liquidity event: the U.S. Treasury must roll over $6 trillion in COVID-era debt. This creates a significant supply-demand imbalance in the USD market, potentially sparking short-term dislocations in gold pricing. Price action during the Asian session triggered a sweep of...
USDJPY is currently undergoing a clear redistribution phase on the 4H chart, having recently broken bullish structure and formed successive lower highs. The first week of July is packed with high-impact economic events from both the US and Japan – most notably speeches from Fed Chair Powell and BOJ Governor Ueda, alongside ADP and Non-Farm Payrolls – all of which...
Gold reacted precisely at the key OB zone near 3270. Following a clear Break of Structure (BOS) on the H4, Smart Money may be redistributing positions. 🔍 Main scenario: Price is expected to retrace to the 3349–3360 OB zone, where strong sell-side reactions may occur. If that fails, the next likely move is a drop toward the high-liquidity demand zone at 3215,...
A series of key macroeconomic releases from the US on 27th June has delivered mixed signals, with markets particularly focused on inflation data and consumer indicators. Gold (XAUUSD) is now caught between hawkish inflation pressures and weakening economic momentum. Let’s break it down: 📊 US Economic Snapshot – 27 June: 🔴 Core PCE Price Index (MoM) Actual:...
Gold remains delicately balanced as traders in Asia and Europe proceed with caution. Despite recent USD weakness lending some support, buyers haven’t broken above $3350. 📉 USD Weakness & Market Sentiment – Fragile Recovery? 🔻 Dollar Wobbles: Talk of Fed leadership change is stirring doubt over the USD’s trajectory, adding political risk that may benefit...
Price is inside a Wyckoff range – we're watching for buy setups 🔼 Resistance: 3356 – 3369 Support: 3325 – 3305 🔴 SELL GOLD 3380 – 3383 | SL: 3388 (small lot) TP1: 3375 TP2: 3365 TP3: 3355 TP4: 3345 Open TP: 3330 🟢 BUY GOLD 3315 – 3312 | SL: 3307 (small lot) TP1: 3320 TP2: 3330 TP3: 3340 TP4: 3350 Open TP: 3370 Scalping strategies will trigger if price reacts...
🌐 Macro Outlook – Dovish Fed Tone Boosts Gold Appeal Gold (XAUUSD) is showing renewed strength following Fed Chair Powell’s testimony. While he maintained a cautious stance, he acknowledged that tariff-related inflation is easing. Markets interpreted this as a sign that rate cuts may come sooner – potentially as early as July. 📉 Lower rate expectations → Reduced...
📊 MACRO INSIGHTS: 🔸 Iran–Israel Ceasefire Update: Though both sides have referenced a ceasefire agreement, real conditions on the ground tell a different story. Iran has expressed conditional agreement, demanding Israel to halt operations first. However, Israeli forces claim missile attacks from Iran are still ongoing... 🔸 Escalation Despite Diplomatic Moves:...
📊 Macro & Fundamental Overview – Week Ahead As June draws to a close, gold captures fresh investor interest amid dovish signals from the Federal Reserve, easing US Treasury yields, and heightened geopolitical tensions. 🔻 Fed Cues & Rate Cut Expectations Markets currently assign a 65% chance of a rate reduction in September, according to CME FedWatch data. Jerome...
While gold continues to hover within a tight trading channel for the sixth consecutive week, a major macroeconomic alarm has just been sounded — Goldman Sachs has flagged rising concerns over the trajectory of US debt. For Indian market participants, this could mark a turning point worth close attention... 🌐 MACRO PERSPECTIVE: US DEBT REACHING UNSUSTAINABLE...
🌍 MACRO OUTLOOK: GLOBAL UNCERTAINTY PUTS GOLD IN THE SPOTLIGHT 💬 The Federal Reserve has paused rate hikes for now, but Powell’s tone remains firm. His latest remarks point toward persistent inflation risks, fueled by rising energy costs and escalating geopolitical instability... 🔥 Tensions between Iran and Israel continue to escalate. Should the US step in as a...
🔍 MACRO & MARKET SENTIMENT SNAPSHOT Gold witnessed a sharp pullback after an overextended rally during the Asian session — catching many off guard... Meanwhile, the US Dollar climbed 0.7% on safe-haven demand and rising Fed rate speculation. Yet, gold’s dip appears more like a tactical liquidity sweep than a full-blown trend reversal... 🌍 Heightened geopolitical...