Jrussell86

Jrussell86

Comm Services and Real Estate have the cheapest Shiller PEs right now in the whole market. CMCSA has a Shiller PE of 10.28 according to GuruFocus, almost at its lowest in 10 years, potentially indicating that this is one of the best times to buy, but lets look at some other factors as well. The FWD GAAP PE is 9.29, approx 38% below the sector and CMCSA's own 5...

Jrussell86

The deteriorating sentiment over the last 3 years has created a substantial buying opportunity. The negative sentiment can be attributed to 4 main things- decreased EPS/ Net Income since 2022/2023 (end of COVID $$), increased debt levels post-Seagen acquisition and revenue challenges due to upcoming patent expirations. While these concerns are not unwarranted,...

Jrussell86

After dropping 52%, IIPR is now trading at an 8x P/AFFO, significantly below historical levels. According to GuruFocus, using IIPR has a Fair Value of $178 implying a 61.92% margin of safety based on EPS w/out NRI, by FCF, a 76% margin of safety, and by adjusted divi 57% The PharmaCann lease defaults accounts for 16.5% of IIPR's annual base rent, its largest...

Jrussell86

CVS currently trading at a FWD PE of 8.44, well below 16x historical average. CVS's shiller PE is significantly below its median shiller PE of 18.22, also its shiller PE is currently ranked better than 69% of 13 companies in the healthcare plans industry. The PBM segment contributes 46% of CVS income; a 25% PMB profitability cut would reduce the EPS to ≈$4,...

Jrussell86

MACD is about to break through waterline on daily chart indicating positive trajectory, while we have an unconfirmed inverse head and shoulders which is bullish in nature and if confirmed can be expected to hit between 50-70% above the neckline of the pattern based of the pattern alone before encountering significant resistance.. These targets correspond to the...

Jrussell86

Warning to crypto holders, ominous Head and Shoulders pattern has developed, which remains unconfirmed at this time, however you can expect a retrace to somewhere between $81-74k. This is pure technical analysis based solely on fib retracements. The pattern can be confirmed by a spike in volume which should exceed the decline line from the beginning of the...

Jrussell86

FUJHY is cheap by several metrics and warrants a multiple expansion! - TTM GAAP PE is 71% below sector median - FWD GAAP PE is 70% below sector median and 53% below its 5 year average. -EV/EBITDA TTM and FWD are 92 and 94% below sector media; both are about 72% its 5 year avg -P/S, P/FCF, P/B all are substantially below sector median and its 5 year avg -DCF based...

Jrussell86

Multiple factors converging to deliver alpha! DIS is undervalued by 22% according to latest MorningStar research and 24% below the average of 23 Etrade analysts PT of $117.5, implying 32% upside. Disney hasn't been cheaper on an EV/EBITDA ratio since June 2019. On a Price/Sales valuation it hasn't been this cheap since April 2012! Technical Analysis shows that...

Jrussell86

One of the best alternative investment funds in the world, arguably the best with a 4% divi while delivering 20% returns for the last 40 years and similar guidance for next 20. Current valuation seems a tad high given MRQ/Q growth so this pullback can be justified however the history of this company's returns warrant closer inspection. Currently unconfirmed H&S...

Jrussell86

- Achieved breakeven profitability on a GAAP basis - Morningstar raised fair value to $74 (currently trading at 24% discount)to FV -Trading at less than 6x forward gross profits

Jrussell86

A long diamond pattern that started forming back in October 2022

Jrussell86

Rev Growth YoY and FWD are 50 and 23% respectively and 307 and 167% above the sector respectively while PE GAAP TTM and FWD are 71 and 65% below sector! This implies a huge discount in growth. Gross Profit does lag behind the sector by about 12%, but the valuation combined with the outsized growth substantially off-sets this disparity. On a technical note,...

Jrussell86

COHR caught my attention for a few reasons. 1st. It is ≈11% of total holding of Scion Asset Mngt holdings, one of the best performing funds since 2008. 2. Technical: SP trading in demand zone, appearing to possibly be in process of forming a double bottom- confirmed on 3 day rule, vol, etc. passing 46.46 area. 3. Valuation: Currently at steep discount to...

Jrussell86

Morning*'s valuation implies 2024 EV/Sales multiple of 5.5x. Forecasted Revenue growth 24% annualized rate over next five years! TTM Rev Growth YoY was 43%; 206% above sector median! Rev FWD growth is 26% or 142% above sector median. Expected to become profitable on adjusted OpMargin basis next year and GAAP profitable in 2027 in line with current models as long...

Jrussell86

Possible double bottom formed on WHR- confirmed after passing HKEX:160 via volume/3 day rule etc. There is a very high probability that the pattern tests 162 area but also a good chance that it retreats from there. SP currently sitting near 61.8% retrace from 2021 highs to 2020 lows implying a demand zone. Currently has div yield of 5.17% at a payout ratio of...

Jrussell86

BKI caught my attention for a few reasons. 1. Held by Scion Asset Mngt- if you haven't heard of them or Michael Burry, check it out. Crazy returns off the financial Crisis. 2. SP sitting at an inflection point at bottom of long term demand zone and near lowest long term demand zone. 3. BKI's shiller PE ratio range over the past 10 years is from 36.26-43.09 and...

Jrussell86

The slight gross margin decrease of 4.8% was enough to resume the HS pattern on the chart executing a normal pullback- relative to the "neckline" where HS patterns are confirmed with some other criterion. Despite the quarterly margin contraction, expected cost reductions should start to materialize in 2024. Everything on the income statement is trending in the...

Jrussell86

Positive divergence can be seen on a yearly basis with MACD leveling out crossing into positive territory. SP appears to have formed a double bottom and is currently breaking out from a narrower down trend. Currently, the SP is ≈33% below the average analyst target and ≈45% below the top range of down channel primary trend. The SP collapsed last year as a...