MarcPMarkets

MarcPMarkets Wizard

Bitcoin has lingered around the 95K resistance area over the previous week. In my opinion this is a sub wave iii completion (5 mini waves can be counted within the bullish breakout leg). This implies there is a greater probability of a retrace or sub wave iv (see wave count on chart). The retrace can go as low as the 90K support without overlapping sub wave i...

MarcPMarkets Wizard

In my previous article I describe the potential breakout if 88K was compromised. I pointed out, the compound double bottom in the 74 to 78K area implied a greater probability of price breaking out, it was just a matter of catalyst. IF anything this possibility should have told you that swing trade shorts are a lower probability and much riskier within that...

MarcPMarkets Wizard

Bitcoin is consolidating within a very tight range: between 83 and 86K. Which way it breaks is a matter of catalyst, but recognizing the break can help to better shape expectations on this time horizon. IF 83K breaks, I will be watching for the higher low scenario (see blue square), for confirmations to go long. IF 86K breaks, I will be anticipating a test of the...

MarcPMarkets Wizard

Bitcoin has rallied out of my anticipated 76K AREA reversal zone (see my previous week's analysis). I anticipated this move BEFORE all of the news and drama that transpired over the week because I focus on relevant information that came from this chart. As of now, price is fluctuating in the middle of a consolidation. While price is still attractive in terms of...

MarcPMarkets Wizard

Bitcoin has broken the 81,500 minor support and is now in the process of testing the recent swing low 78K to 76K AREA. With the lower high structure at the 88K area (see arrow) in place, a lower low is likely to follow in the coming week. The question is how much lower? One reasonable estimate is a test of 73K (the previous all time high before November). The...

MarcPMarkets Wizard

Bitcoin bear flag has become in play over the previous week as I anticipated in my previous week's analysis. While there is a potential minor support in the 81 to 80K area, the lower high established at 88K implies a lower low is likely to follow which can unfold this week. This scenario could see price retesting the 76K area low. There are a couple of potential...

MarcPMarkets Wizard

Bitcoin is in the process of developing a bear flag formation and may push higher on smaller time frames but the short term bearish structure is still intact. This means there is a higher probability that price retests the 78 to 80K once more. IF such a scenario presents itself, it may provide an opportunity for a new swing trade long (upon confirmation). IF the...

MarcPMarkets Wizard

Bitcoin has retraced off the of the 76K to 78K AREA and established a double bottom formation (see arrows). I specifically mentioned this in my previous article and talked about it further during my most recent stream. While a bear flag formation IS now present, which implies weakness on the horizon, I anticipate a higher low support around the 80K area this week...

MarcPMarkets Wizard

Bitcoin is likely to test the 78K low this week as implied by the lower high (see arrow) established on the previous Monday as a result of the "strategic reserve" news. As I specifically pointed out during my stream, that kind of swift rejection of "positive" news is a very bearish sign. IF 78K breaks, the next broader support is the 73K level (all time high...

MarcPMarkets Wizard

Bitcoin had an interesting week. In my previous article titled "Watch For 90K" I warned that 90K could be tested and if broken would introduce new support levels to watch for. The upper arrow on the chart points to the fact that there was NO reversal confirmation on this time frame during the time of the 90K test. No confirmation means NO longs. Confirmation...

MarcPMarkets Wizard

Bitcoin has established a lower high at the 100K range resistance. In this context it appears a support break (lower low) is more likely to follow. This means a 90K retest can unfold as early as this week. Will 90K hold? There is NO way to know, it all depends on the price action that unfolds at that level. Having opinions of the future will NOT help you at all,...

MarcPMarkets Wizard

Bitcoin is stuck in a tight consolidation that can be very confusing and costly IF you get too wrapped up in opinions and typical internet propaganda. To participate effectively in this you either play the range levels on small times frames (see my previous week's analysis) or just stay out completely until a decisive break unfolds. When and which way it breaks is...

MarcPMarkets Wizard

Bitcoin is near the lower part of its broader bullish consolidation. This means swing trade shorts are higher risk, while longs lower risk. How you navigate this area depends on the time frame you use to evaluate your trade signal and risk. The key location to watch for the coming week is the 93,500 to 92,500 support AREA which is part of a larger support zone. A...

MarcPMarkets Wizard

Bitcoin has rejected the 105K AREA resistance (wrote about this for two weeks see previous). Risk for longs was very high in that area, if you bought, now you pay. The 100K support was cleared but there is some minor support around the mid to high 96Ks (see arrow). There may be a brief retrace from here back to the low 100Ks over the next day or two. IF the 95K...

MarcPMarkets Wizard

Bitcoin has not done much in the previous week besides defining the range of the trade area that I anticipated a week earlier (in a matter of one day actually). The key technical points are established and it is a matter of catalyst and confirmation when it comes to aligning with the potential trade areas that can develop over the coming week. The 105K AREA is the...

MarcPMarkets Wizard

Bitcoin briefly tested 90K only to show a sharp reversal which has lead to a run into the 105K area resistance. IF momentum continues, 108K can be tested, but IF a bearish reversal appears, a test of 100K is also possible. The key is looking for confirmations on smaller time frames in order to get a better sense of what the market wants to do, not what you think...

MarcPMarkets Wizard

Bitcoin is consolidating within what appears to be a broad head and shoulders pattern. In my previous week's article I wrote about the break of the inside bar highs which had 4K profit potential (see previous article). I mentioned NOT to expect much more from there. Bitcoin has retraced back into the 90K AREA support zone since. Along with that a similar two...

MarcPMarkets Wizard

Bitcoin has found support in the low 90K area (read my previous week's analysis). As long as 90K stays intact it is within reason to continue to have bullish expectations. Also wrote in the previous article that overly optimistic expectations are not in line with the developing price structure. Based on the inside bar formation that is developing now (see arrow),...