MariusMonki

MariusMonki

I start using the stablecoins mcap as channels, that way you see when the market is overpriced compared to the actual volume of inflows. It basically envelopes the coin's pricing relative to the actually available liquidity. "Liquidity Bands", if you will

MariusMonki

since Wall Street got in we actually got significantly more correlated (obviously) (it wasn't as much prior to 2021) BTC has basically become SPX with a higher multiple. Do with that what you will

MariusMonki

Maybe Raoul is right and it was M2 all along. Monetary policy driving all markets, see correlation and time-lag (offset) on chart.

MariusMonki

noticed this Accumulation/Expansion/Contraction idea when trending along the Log Pitchfork lines. and the high correlation to SPX (and M2) for direction.

MariusMonki

the BTC Log scale Pitchfork shows perfect Fib levels being respected. I don't know what it means or how to interpret this, no price target or direction from this, but the levels seem significant so I'm just noticing and playing the levels being held. All I know is buy the yellow the line (SMA40), and I drew the next lower pitchfork levels according to...

MariusMonki

adjusted for inflation, no value is being created, stonks are at same major resistance since pre-covid, pre-subprimes crash, buckle up

MariusMonki

BTC almost at channel lows I'm expecting bottom around low 20ks DCA'ing + bidding 23k Would assume bottom's already in if monthly closes above 33k - not financial advice

MariusMonki

Fib says 2022 bottom a bit above 21300$, next cycle top near 150k$

MariusMonki

Most Alts weekly charts will need a multi-week/months cool down at some point soon-ish, if history repeats itself: Alts giganuke when BTC.D reaches 39% See full BTC.D chart history in my other post (APESZN 2020-2021)

MariusMonki

doomlines i'm watching. break lower trendline vs. bounce from here? break 29k support --> dump to 19k "why did the government allow this to happen?" for now i still bullieve we're in bullmarket and that we are defining the bottom of the NEXT bearmarket right now. good luck 🍀

MariusMonki Updated 

𝕨𝕙𝕒𝕥 𝕚𝕗?

MariusMonki

𝕨𝕙𝕒𝕥 𝕚𝕗?

MariusMonki

BTC V shape bounce from here, straight to 75k+ in 2 candles? then BTC profits flow into ETH BNB and DeFi again after the ETH upgrade, until EOY?

MariusMonki

total alts dip + ranging, then moon at every MACD Cross

MariusMonki

Alt Season 2017 ended with the blow-off top Dec-Jan 2017, BTC.D got rugged on BTC chart: top + giga bull trap, ~ 2-week span to take profits This could be a possible signal for 2021 Alt Season top as well?