another crypto pair long on the 15. Trying to stick to 1:1 So I can see how much Alpha there is after 100 trades. Forecasting everything on 15 min charts, reducing max forecast by 20% or so then doing 300 or 150 bars out depending on some method I am doing.
I should probably be consistent with the risk reward maybe I can do that going forward.
Tried forecasting 150 bars instead of 300 lets see. I don't see how its not a short.
trying to increase risk reward will do this for a while and see how it works out
long trade. Upper and lower bound for the next couple days. Would prob do a 1:1 for this
same model back to the basics. Not taking this trade bc Coinbase doesn't allow OCO orders and I can't wait for it to play out all night
again not really into shorting just seeing how model preforms. Reduced take profit and SL from the maximum to help expected value
model shows lower before higher on the 5 minute chart lets see how it comes out. In the future I'm going to work on reducing risk so its not 1:1 and see if that helps expected value
network thinks strong upset, Well have to wait and see because there's not a lot of data and I have no way to understand why it thinks this market will be so volatile.
upper and lower bound marked plus a 1:1 risk reward so we can start calculating Expected value going forward.
Same model. Optimized pretty well now. As you can tell from the previous trades were starting to get a really good edge.
Same deep learning algo, continuing to optimize. Should see slight improvement going forward.
Since the model is working well I decided to move forward with a slightly turned model. Hoping to be right more then 50% of the time
forecasted range for EURUSD 15 minute chart. Short bias for the next day continuing to develop the algorithm.
continuing to try out the deep learning model to see how it preforms. will wait and see
just continuing to test the deep learning model out. Seeing how accurate it is during forward testing then will figure out a strategy for entries.
This is the forecasted upper and lower bound of the close using the same model, more optimized.
Continuing to optimize the deep learning model. Here is the upper bound and lower bound forecast for the next 15 or so hours. I think in theory if we start taking trades we need to take profit less then the maximum.