RealMacro

RealMacro Updated 

Any Time The Dollar Gets In This Range Bad Things Happen! With the exception of the 2008 GFC which confirmed we have entered Debt Deflation (Meaning the Gov will need to borrow more and more, faster and faster without any benefit to the real economy). A strong dollar is signaling something very bad is coming. Gun to head I would guess something like an Asian...

RealMacro Updated 

While only 36% of stocks are over the 20-day MA, they are nowhere near oversold conditions. As such, there is still room for the downside. While this indicator is only suitable for short-term trading, tomorrow new making event could push markets way lower. While I would not suggest trading news events. I know some do, as such bottom picking is not advisable. CAUTION!

RealMacro

I am a macro trader, meaning my trades last a long time. Up to years unless something changes in the process. As such, I am forced to repost this chart. Here is my initial post on AAPL back on April 3rd, 2025. This is a classic break, test, go, setup. WARNING! To all bulls!

RealMacro Updated 

Without Question, AAPL is the best company in the world and the most valuable. However, it means little in this economic landscape. AAPL is about to start cracking here. I usually do not post them ahead like this, but in this situation, I will break my own rules. Take your money and RUN!!! WARNING!! GTFO!

RealMacro Updated 

We are beginning to see evidence of a credit crisis starting. low demand for US bonds can trigger a currency crisis for the USD, higher rates will lead to refinancing company problems (especially with all the zombie companies that should have blown up over a decade ago.) and major economic depression-style job losses. Currently, we are very early stages but...

RealMacro

RCL is in a very capital-heavy industry that is very economically sensitive. I first published this Idea back on February 11, 2025. Since then, it has dropped over -40%. Normally, I would say that from erections come corrections. However, this has the Eiffel Tower structure in place for a full-on reversal. I am reposting this chart since TV forced me to post a...

RealMacro

We are in the "honey" phase in Stocks. This is the part where they tell you: -Don't panic -Stocks are cheap forward EPS -Nible on the way down -Diversified portfolio wins.. -It's a stock picker's market -There is a lot of cash on the sidelines -It's just a reset -It's a correction -We needed this to shake out the weak hands -Buy when there is blood in the...

RealMacro Updated 

We had our run in Gold. Now it's time to bank our coinage and GTFO! I got us in when we should have Kept you in the trade when we should have Take your 50% profits, smile, and don't look back! Click like follow subscribe!

RealMacro Updated 

EURUSD is a great setup for an excellent long-term risk-reward to the long side. A break below and hold below previous lows would be an acceptable stop-out. Reward to at least the top of the channel area. Don't overthink it just listen to the message of the market. This removes any bias you may have and makes the trade simple black or white.

RealMacro Updated 

Unless we get one more up for a double top, mortgage rates have topped out after breaking bearish rising wedge structure. Note topped out does not mean it will collapse. it will take time for rates to drop further.

RealMacro

YES! We are! Revolving credit does not roll over like this unless people are scared! The question is are we already in a recession? We won't know until after the fact. But my guess would be YES! My question is will we end up in a depression or not? Click Boost, Follow, Subscribe, and let me help you navigate these crazy markets.

RealMacro

As BTC has matured, it has revealed its limits relative to SPX. Any time the price rises above 15, a correction follows. While it has not yet cracked I find myself violating my own rules again and compelled to share this chart with you BEFORE the crack. Markets are volatile and I am simply trying to keep people from getting hurt. Do not make the mistake of...

RealMacro Updated 

If you have any illusions this will be a buy-the-dip market, you are taking on a major risk! 1. Last time QQQ sold off it lost 84% 2. It took 17 years to break even 3. It took much longer to break even inflation-adjusted You can't buy low if you don't sell first. You don't have infinite money. WARNING!

RealMacro Updated 

This is a very simple setup of an Eiffel Tower pattern that should be respected. Bulls do not want to be long with this setup. The Eiffel Tower patterns are rare, hence not much talked about or understood. But they are very powerful when the conditions are right. CAUTION!!

RealMacro Updated 

Gold is currently hitting a key resistance area that goes back to 1980 (44 year) trendline. Some time may be required to correct and absorb this recent bull move. However, I would not be selling out of it completely if that's what one wishes to do with this information. I prefer people read this chart as a good way to set their expectations in case Gold stalls...

RealMacro Updated 

Fully formed rising channel ready to collapse. -Where do I begin with this chart? Wave 3 up ending. -Multiple Double Top (Daily time frame and 4 hour.) -Head and Shoulders -Multiple CRACKS already in place. -Consolidation at the bottom of the structure All screaming DANGER to bulls!!

RealMacro Updated 

Commodities are a completely different kind of trading. They can get extremely violent and blow out people faster than you can blink! In this chart, we can see an erection move (accelerating as it rises) which is always followed by a correction. The question then becomes where and when the correction occurs. A topping M pattern is one such signal that gives us a...

RealMacro Updated 

RCL is in a very capital-heavy industry that is very economically sensitive. Normally I would say from erections some corrections. However this has the Eiffel Tower structure in place for a full-on reversal. That remains to be seen. For now, we look for at least a correction and go from there. Caution is in order if you are long.