SPYvsGME

SPYvsGME

After almost a year since I published this short idea for TLT. The first bounce this summer was quickly snuffed out by the uber hawkish Jackson Hole speech from Jerome Powell when he told the world there was more blood to come. A lot of bulls and bears have been hung out to dry over this year long bear market. I don't know what every one was smoking...

SPYvsGME Updated 

It’s hard to get a read on the markets in 2022. 0 Days to Expire contracts are all the new rage. SPY getting involved with new weekly expiring days on Tue and Thu to join in on the 0DTE action. So that leaves us between VixEx and OpEx. OpEx is the poster child for 2020-2021 bull markets “sell the rip, buy the dip”. It’s because Options expiration week will...

SPYvsGME Updated 

Bulls Need to Hold 395.90! Update from this weekend idea. As I outlined in the weekly review. Choppy, slow grind up. Volume and volatility were compressing nicely until the Oops Missile at 1pm yesterday. Bulls need to hold 395.90 to keep this bear rally alive. VixEx Today OpEx Friday. May be some red over the next few days. But bulls need to buy this dip...

SPYvsGME

I had a lot of fun calling directions the last few weeks. Best Long Call - 2 week bear rally. Most Profitable - Oct Inflation Print Epic Daily Call - Paramount Double Bottom Some serious Alpha takes being able to spot trends. My indicator of choice for trend spotting is Ichimoku Cloud. Ichimoku Cloud C1 - Bullish 3 weeks to least resistance...

SPYvsGME Updated 

I've come to talk with you again. Because a vision softly creeping Left its seeds while I was sleeping and the vision that was planted in my brain still remains ------- Me and Viacom (now paramount) have history. Apr 8th 2021 - It was the first stock I became invested in the markets 2 years ago (and lost 5 digits on) Nov 12 2021 - I left this golden nugget...

SPYvsGME

This predictive line has predicted every peak and trough in DAX since 2018/2019 and Trumps visits to the UN. For historic record I retraced the predictive structure back to 2018 The Trump inflection line is now predicting a 15k Dax for Christmas. Merry Christmas in German. Fröhliche Weihnachten Just rolls of your tongue.

SPYvsGME

This weeks update on hedged equity funds sees all the funds flip positive gamma. Forecast for following week is: Lower volatility = Smaller Distribution. Positive Gamma Exposure across broader market = Smaller Distribution. Slow melt up. Approx ~0.4% a day if GEX stays positive in the following week. JHEQX At the top of the call range. Nearly identical...

SPYvsGME Updated 

The date was Oct 21st, 2015. No I can't tell the future, and neither can movie makers. What I can tell is the market is aware the next CPI print will come in much lower which is estimated at 7.8. My estimate in the above chart I have coming in lower at 7.4. Sit Rep going into tomorrows print. In my previous ideas and comments I said after the rally we...

SPYvsGME Updated 

There are specific times when the bottom gives out on the markets and we get big drawdowns. Other times, what you think is going to bring down the markets is actually giving them more resilience. The Market is not the economy. It will do what it needs to. In 2008 it was liquidation of banks. In 2020 it was a threat to our way of life. Tomorrow, who...

SPYvsGME Updated 

Incredible run the last few weeks. This idea is more of a victory lap. Bear bones are piled so high, their arrogance was their own undoing. Despite a terrible ER from the tech sector the S&P index broke through the 50 day moving average after a second attempt. If you held longs through the last 2 weeks, congratulations to you. Remember. ATP (always take...

SPYvsGME Updated 

USD showing signs of weakness across all sessions. New indicator I’m working in this chart will show and track session levels. The dollar index is taking a break as focus shifts to earnings and the upcoming elections. A much needed break from one of the parabolic uptrend events. First was the Uber hawkish fed where Powell told everyone he believes in the...

SPYvsGME Updated 

I know everyone has been waiting on a bear rally and I'm seeing a bunch of signals pointing to this being the breakout for one. Both bulls and bears got shaken one way then the next last week. This weeks update on the market index hedges is forecasting a rally into the end of October. JHEQX Playbook. After reset JHEQX provided firm support at its zero gamma...

SPYvsGME Updated 

Thank you Vanna! Show our contestants what they can win! Should you choose inflation has peaked, you stand to win an all expense paid short covering rally to 3900 ... *Crowd Cheers* Conversely, If you choose that inflation has not peaked, you'll win front row seats to the public execution of the global financial systems... *Crowd Goes Bananas* Choose...

SPYvsGME

It doesn't take long to look through UKs statistics to find a dumpster fire. United Kingdoms bankruptcies are reaching highs from 2008 showing an early indication of Insolvency Contagion. More charts to come as the Fire Sale continues. Check out my other 2022 Dumpster Fire Charts

SPYvsGME Updated 

Last night futures bounced off JHEQX Zero Gamma support. Significance of this level can not be understated. Losing 3585 may find support below from JHQDX long put flipping positive gamma. With VIX at 32 you should be expecting a 2% move a day. I have an alert at 34 VIX as the point where we could see a pop higher. GEX on SPX is -2.5B which implies more...

SPYvsGME

This idea is a primer for ideas on how the FEDs decision to suspend the Supplemental Leverage Ratio for COVID and Implement the Overnight Reverse Repo while printing QE has led to the complete collapse of the bond market and began the era of sticky inflation. If you overlay the 10Y Breakeven Inflation rate with Year over Year then circle the dates when Jerome...

SPYvsGME Updated 

Will we ever see VIX at 16 again? Here I explain the mean reverting nature of VIX. Then I predicted exactly were VIX and JHEQX would be on Friday, October 7th. Now we're sitting at the edge of a precipice of the worst financial disaster in history. So I wrote an indicator to give us retail traders an inside eye so maybe we could catch a long vol...

SPYvsGME

Updated Delta/Gamma Indicator to include the strikes for the current strategy. You will be able to leave it blank to generate the strikes. You can use the Indicator on ES Futures as it sources SPX and VIX directly. I wanted to show you all the delta accumulation of JHEQX around the first 20 Days (and 20D moving average) The accumulation of delta in the first 20...