Sanzhar_m

Sanzhar_m

BTC is retesting the key level on the spread graph. This spread uses the formula: CAPITALCOM:CIX/(CAPITALCOM:DXY/((TVC:US30Y-TVC:US10Y)*(TVC:US10Y- TVC:US02Y)+10)/TVC:GOLD) My followers are aware of the spread graph techniques, check out my previous posts (specifically tagged) for some insight. The 2 CC lines predict movements when they peak, hit the middle...

Sanzhar_m

I used my spread graph formula to analyze Apple's price. Historic prices from as early 1988 to today were considered. Apple recently overtook UK's whole stock market cap. As one of the most important companies in the U.S. (more like in the world) its sole stock price may be a good indicator of the economy's health and world demand. The graph presented is bearish...

Sanzhar_m

Check out my previous post for the same reasoning. Using the same formula I've put an equities spread graph to test.

Sanzhar_m

Hi, DXY (Dollar Strength Index) / GOLD compares USD's performance against the number 1 most correlated asset with BTC --> Gold . DXY is negatively correlated with BTC . The idea is when DXY/GOLD is bullish - USD rises , GOLD falls or both ; which is bearish for BTC . When DXY/GOLD is bearish - USD falls , GOLD rises , or both...

Sanzhar_m

Russell & SPX are valued against gold on this graph. It is the first spread graph analysis that uses the Russell index . I used it to represent mid-sized firms, which are arguably a better representation of the overall health of U.S economy (particularly banking stability); and SPX . Considering the ongoing USD turbulence, Gold historically and...

Sanzhar_m

There is a breakout to the upside shown by the downward-sloping white channel. This marks the beginning of the bull run. The graph is adjusted to volatility accounting from coins' dominance, and economic changes (through accounting for dollar, gold, and bond movements). This graph is universal, use the equation or the graph as you see fit. The dollar value of...

Sanzhar_m

31st of March has consistently been either: a sharp turning point, a spike in trend action or a calling for a long-term trend reversal. S&P 500 and Nasdaq have followed this odd tendency correspondingly. For a few significant reasons below, I anticipate this year's 31st of March will astonish many of us. Distinct Timing: Alignment with KEY economic data...

Sanzhar_m

Firstly, September 2007 - Lehman Brothers collapse March 2023 - Silicon Valley Bank collapse Asset correlations (bottom pane): Gold ( red ) - on a slow rise in 2007, same as today Dollar strength ( blue ) - bearish in 2007, same as today Nasdaq (orange) - bearish in 2007, same as today Indicators' inference : The top pane shows a...

Sanzhar_m

Almost identical to the linked post. This spread graph is BTC/(GOLD & BONDS & STOCKS)

Sanzhar_m

Main Spread Graph The graph represents (Equities & Crypto) / (Gold & Bonds). The aim of this spread graph is to account for inflows and outflows to other significant securities. Big = Significant trades are conducted by big institutions, which are likely to balance their portfolio equally adjusting each security's weight. The combination of equities and crypto...

Sanzhar_m

This analysis is purely based on TA. The bottom pane indicator represents peaks and troughs of the dollar's correlation with BTC, but the dollar is valued against bonds and gold. This is due to it showing the demand for cash/capital against safe heavens, therefore illustrating the beginning and ends of different economic cycles (states). - Works by showing...

Sanzhar_m

I've laid out the likely paths for the total crypto market. For each spread graph analysis, I recommend zooming out and potentially comprehending the flows of capital from crypto to other markets. The correlation coefficient (top pane) shows the correlation of dollar/gold with the intrinsic relative value of BTC. If you are unsure how these spread graph...

Sanzhar_m

Spread graphs assist precision in determining key resistance & support levels. Current economic conditions aren't promising for such volatile/unregulated assets. It is critical to point out the heavy sells over the last year matched the timing of the Russo-Ukrainian war, the rise in the cost of living, the natural end of the bull cycle* and etc. At times of stable...

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I am presenting the difference between SPX (top pane) and SPX/major safe heavens (middle pane; spread graph). The pane below portrays the correlation coefficient (CC) in rsi values between the main spread graph and traditional safe heavens. Skip to the last paragraph for my forecast speculation if you are familiar with advanced spread graphs! This graph aims...

Sanzhar_m

I'll cover fibonacci, volume range, general trend, macro correlation coefficient and MA analyses. This spread graph pins BTC against safe heaven assets, which include: Commodities (SP:SPGSCI), the U.S dollar (DXY/M2SL) and U.S Bonds (1/(TVC:US03Y+TVC:US02Y+TVC:US05Y+TVC:US10Y+TVC:US30Y)+1). Given representation of BTC's price accounts for various...

Sanzhar_m

The assumption of an inverse relationship between the gold and stocks implies a negative correlation coefficient. KDJ (bottom) and CC (top) had inverse peaks and troughs in those circled periods. This time (blue circle) the two indicators aligned to fall. KDJ predicting the downfall of stocks may confirm the market equilibrium resetting. Moreover, the graph...

Sanzhar_m

The Graph presents DXY/GOLD = Inverse price of gold. Given Fibonacci levels have acted as great resistance/support lines, therefore might predict the next bull-run for gold. DXY/Gold is retesting its 2.414 Fibonacci resistance to break down; which is a bullish signal for gold. Fundamentally (refer to main graph) - Gold is a great inflation hedge - Currently...

Sanzhar_m

Zoom out to see the whole chart! This spread graph displays Nasdaq/(Gold*Dollar). The benefits of such a spread graph are: * Reduces fluctuations from gold or dollar * Omits short-term/seasonal price changes of assets The graph technically aligns with my DXY/USM2 analysis. USM2 being US Money Supply. The second spread graph portrays the same indication: ...