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beyondta chartpattern containsimage doubletop doubletoporbottom es! es!1 es1! esfutures esmini fundamental inflation mtfa prediction recession recessions reversal reversalpattern spx500 spx500usd spy supportandresistance trend trendanalysis trendfollowing trendline trendlinebreak trends trendtrading triangle trianglebreak trianglepattren Less Tags Show All Tags
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Overview on S&P / 6C / 6E / Gold / Silver
ES1!
, 1D
Long
ES1!: Overview on S&P / 6C / 6E / Gold / Silver
13:39

Just ran down a major overview on where I'm at in responding to a few messages. I left my last scenario mid December where I stated the S&P was overheated and was likely to come down, even if I didn't have a strong enough signal to go for a longer short on the market. As I had said then, I was mostly interested in the 6E. I made a large chunk off buying the dip...

ES going into CPI
ES1!
, 1D
ES1!: ES going into CPI
10:31
Updated 

Came back to analyze the ES pre-CPI one more time. I didn't manage to publish this prior to release, as the inflation data just came out as I'm typing this, but looks like CPI came in as expected so no surprises. Ultimately, we did get a potential buy signal on Monday as I expected. It did come with a bit of a push down. I'm still not sure I want to go Long,...

Is there any bearish case against the ES?
ES1!
, 1D
ES1!: Is there any bearish case against the ES?
09:46
Updated 

Hope you enjoy the video. I finished my trade on the 6E this morning from 1.037ish to 1.063, so I came back to look at the ES and see how I felt things were looking for a bearish case scenario. Ultimately, while I want to find one, I don't see one, and will likely continue to stay out of my beloved ES for the moment, in spite of my urge to short this overbought...

Continue to be cautious on ES - History vs FOMO
ES1!
, 1D
ES1!: Continue to be cautious on ES - History vs FOMO
12:24

If you don't feel like listening to the video, I basically review some trades outside of the ES, and discuss the potential concerns for the ES market. It seems to be a throw spaghetti at the wall and expect everything to stick market, in spite of much of historical data calling for a major downtrend to be coming up. This has led me to more or less remain away...

Trading the ES cautiously, other areas are safer investments
ES1!
, 1D
ES1!: Trading the ES cautiously, other areas are safer investments
12:24

I explain in the video but ultimately I've only done 2 ES trades over the last 2 months, and avoided two false trading signals. The trading signals were not supported by multiple timeframe trends nor did I feel the economic data around them supported them either. You can watch the video if you want the feedback overall. Ultimately, there is a GC trade forming...

Trends Mixed; Overall Neutral Short Term on Markets
ES1!
, 1D
ES1!: Trends Mixed; Overall Neutral Short Term on Markets
09:24
Updated 

So, as stated in the video, the shorter term timeframes of 30m/1hr/2hr have opened up to lower movements, while the 3hr/4hr/6hr have been violated and would call for a movement back up, but haven't shown that potential movement yet. We are still in a short term Bullish Zone in accordance with my moving momentum algorithm, but we are very close to hitting below...

Trends still show upward movement; CPI Data this week
ES1!
, 1D
Long
ES1!: Trends still show upward movement; CPI Data this week
08:16
Updated 

So trends that called for upward movement confirmed this upward movement last week. I had mentioned in my last video that the candlestick pattern for May 1st was extremely bullish, the following two days confirmed that movement in my opinion and given that trends called for upward movement, we crossed above the zero line on MACD Momentum into a bullish zone, and...

Trends in upward movement facing some exhaustion
ES1!
, 1D
ES1!: Trends in upward movement facing some exhaustion
09:43
Updated 

Trends are mostly in an upward movement stage, looking to remove the violation left of the 12hr / Daily lower high trend indicators. Trends into today are; Last Macro Trend Signal Spots (ES Contract) 30m - 5086 Uptrend (5/2/2024) Higher High 1Hr - 5117 Uptrend (5/1/2024) Higher High 2Hr - 5117 Uptrend (5/1/2024) Lower High 3Hr - 5157 Uptrend (5/3/2024) Higher...

PacMan Trend Symbol; Guidance into PCE and Next Week
ES1!
, 1D
ES1!: PacMan Trend Symbol; Guidance into PCE and Next Week
10:13
Updated 

The video explains it all a lot better, but basically, we are sitting with higher highs and lower lows on the trend timeframes that brought us here (30m-4hr), otherwise known as the Pac-Man symbol. Trends into today are; Last Macro Trend Signal Spots (ES Contract) 30m - 5083 Uptrend (4/25/2024) Higher High 1Hr - 5083 Uptrend (4/25/2024) Higher High 2Hr - 5131...

Trends in conflict; Earnings Likely to cause a short rebound
ES1!
, 1D
Long
ES1!: Trends in conflict; Earnings Likely to cause a short rebound
12:31
Updated 

So again, I cashed out my trade just above 5000 as we fell last night following the Israel drone strike against Iran. Most of that dip appears to have resolved itself, at least for the moment, but those geopolitical issues will likely be crucial to the potential of a market fall in the coming days. I go into it in the video, but major Earnings are next week, and...

Trends in conflict; Signs support "Sell in May and Walk Away"
ES1!
, 1D
Short
ES1!: Trends in conflict; Signs support "Sell in May and Walk Away"
12:17
Updated 

Trends into today are; Last Macro Trend Signal Spots (ES Contract) 30m - 5111 Uptrend (4/17/2024) Lower High 1Hr - 5220 Downtrend (4/12/2024) Lower Low 2Hr - 5203 Downtrend (4/12/2024) Lower Low 3Hr - 5197 Downtrend (4/4/2024) Lower Low 4Hr - 5197 Downtrend (4/4/2024) Lower Low 6Hr - 5250 Downtrend (4/2/2024) Higher Low 12Hr - 5204 Downtrend (4/4/2024) Higher...

5204 is a major trend support to watch
ES1!
, 1D
Short
ES1!: 5204 is a major trend support to watch
03:57
Updated 

Job data this morning caused a movement exactly as I anticipated and discussed yesterday. The move lower I suspected came yesterday as I anticipated, so now I'm just looking to see if we can move below this 5204 12hr support line. To date, the 12hr has been the major support level to stop any movement down since November which is why we have not seen a Daily trend...

First Sell/Short Signals since January - Trends
ES1!
, 1D
Short
ES1!: First Sell/Short Signals since January - Trends
14:21
Updated 

Longer video but hopefully it clarifies my position in the market. I do NOT have a short position yet, but I am looking for one at this point. I might wait until either the close of the day depending on where we are OR take a short position if the overall day goes negative. Trends into today; Last Macro Trend Signal Spots (ES Contract) 30m - 5724 Uptrend...

Market Euphoria and the Caution of Shorting It - No Trends
ES1!
, 1D
ES1!: Market Euphoria and the Caution of Shorting It - No Trends
09:06
Updated 

So, just thought I would check in overall after I had several messages asking me what I was up to recently since I have not posted. Just to note, all trends are basically in an uptrend of higher highs and higher lows. Some of the longer term trends haven't struck in some time. Heck we haven't had a Daily downtrend in months and are still operating off the Daily...

Trends heading into the FOMC Rate Decision
ES1!
, 1D
ES1!: Trends heading into the FOMC Rate Decision
04:30
Updated 

Overheated market trends showing a bull market is basically my findings. I have not held into positions, long or short, going into this last surge. I had a relatively promising month in January and decided I would just end it on that note. Trends into today are; Last Macro Trend Signal Spots (ES Contract) 30m - 4925 Downtrend (1/31/2024) Lower Low 1Hr - 4933...

Trends heading into a conflict area; Other factors in review
ES1!
, 1D
ES1!: Trends heading into a conflict area; Other factors in review
07:16
Updated 

So I chose to cash out my trade at 4760 for about $2250. Trends have a huge case to send us lower, especially if the 6hour keeps signaling lower. All the trends between 30m and 4hr are ALL in a lower low downtrend at the moment. The trends are as follows; Last Macro Trend Signal Spots (ES Contract) 30m - 4778 Downtrend (1/17/2024) Lower Low 1Hr - 4761 Downtrend...

Trends to finish this week and into next week
ES1!
, 1D
Short
ES1!: Trends to finish this week and into next week
09:42
Updated 

Still sitting short at 4805, at the time of recording I was slightly in the negative, but since we have pulled back down as expected and I'm in a profit zone. The trends are well explained in the video, but most important takeaway is that a new 4hr downtrend coming in below 4808 will signal a lower low, as will a 6hr downtrend coming in below 4759. These two...

4750 Target met, trends in some conflict now
ES1!
, 1D
ES1!: 4750 Target met, trends in some conflict now
06:16
Updated 

So, we did hit that 4750 range, and ended up hitting it within just a few hours of my assessment that was the next area for us to head. That opens up a few trends to take us lower, specifically the 1hr and 2hr, as seen below in the trends; Last Macro Trend Signal Spots (ES Contract) 30m - 4722 Downtrend (1/8/2024) Lower Low 1Hr - 4757 Uptrend (1/5/2024) Lower...

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