TRADINGACPVIP

TRADINGACPVIP Updated  Jul 4

On the JPY side, nothing has changed fundamentally, and the currency has been mainly driven by the risk sentiment. As a reminder, the BoJ kept interest rates unchanged at 0.5% and reduced the bond tapering plan for fiscal year 2026 as expected at the last meeting. The BoJ continues to place a great deal on the US-Japan trade deal and the evolution of...

TRADINGACPVIP Updated  Jul 4

EUR/USD maintains its bullish trend intact after a sharp rally last week. The pair keeps consolidating gains as the 4-hour Relative Strength Index pulls back from overbought levels and price action is constrained within a 70-pip range, right below a nearly four-year high at 1.1750. Today, price hit upside target at the 161.8% Fibonacci extension level of the June...

TRADINGACPVIP Jun 30

MN Capital founder Michael van de Poppe spotted Bitcoin hovering at $107,450, saying that after taking out some liquidity around $109,000, BTC may see a slight pullback before breaking out to all-time highs. We already reach this area. An accompanying chart shows $109,000 as the key level to watch on BTC’s four-hour time frame. “This is the area we need to break...

TRADINGACPVIP Jun 24

In response to prospects of a de-escalation in the Middle East tensions, XAU/USD fell and has continued to decline throughout the day. Despite the apparent breakthrough, Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz ordered retaliatory strikes after claiming Iran violated the agreement hours after both nations agreed to the ceasefire, allegations that Tehran denies. US...

TRADINGACPVIP Jun 24

The EUR/USD has been moving in a tight range around 1.1600 on Tuesday's European session, buoyed by a risk appetite, despite accusations of ceasefire violations in the Middle East. The pair had jumped about 1.30% from the previous day's lows following the announcement of a truce in the Middle East and holds gains with all eyes on the Federal Reserve's (Fed)...

TRADINGACPVIP Jun 24

The USD/JPY pair faces a sharp sell-off and slides to near 144.00 on Tuesday. The pair dives significantly as the US Dollar (USD) underperforms its peers after a ceasefire between Israel and Iran. Easing geopolitical tensions diminish demand for safe-haven assets, such as the US Dollar. During European trading hours, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the...

TRADINGACPVIP Jun 24

Crypto Market Crash: U.S.-Iran War Triggers Bitcoin Drop Below $101K and Sparks Panic selling, experts warn that this may just be the beginning. While BTC’s price dropped to almost $98K, there was enough market response to support going back above that psychological six-figure mark by the day’s close. However, the crypto market is extremely vulnerable to...

TRADINGACPVIP Updated  May 22

USD/JPY remains under intense selling pressure to trades near 149.50 in Friday's Asian trading. Despite dismal Tokyo CPI and Japan's Retail Trade data, the Japanese Yen stands resilient due to risk aversion. The US Treasury bond yields sell-off weighs heavily on the pair ahead of US PCE data. In the past, weakness in the Japanese currency has been attributed to...

TRADINGACPVIP Apr 2

GOLD HISTORY: 1970 TO 1980: Gold has a strong bubble rise that falls 50% when it breaks. 2001 to 2011: 10 year up trend Gold rises further with virtually no setbacks until 1919, but then collapses to $1019. 2015 to 2025: 10 year up trend still at the moment. The gold price has increased from $1019 in December 2015 to well over $3155 today without...

TRADINGACPVIP Mar 14

Wave three might be coming to an End. If we are in an ascending broadening wedge, usually formed at expanded wave 5, yes we can achieve 4000 or 5000k, but, we have to grab some liquidity first, and of course, develop wave 4. Additionally, we have an ABCD pattern. Fundamentals of course matter as well, Russian President Vladimir Putin said Thursday that he...

TRADINGACPVIP Mar 11

Accordio to David Scutt, Market analyst, over the past 20 days, USD/JPY has logged correlation coefficients with yield spreads between U.S. and Japanese bonds—ranging from two to 10-year maturities—of between 0.76 and 0.82. While that’s similar to earlier this year, what stands out now is that it’s not just rate differentials USD/JPY has been closely tracking. Its...

TRADINGACPVIP Mar 5

USD/JPY enters 2025 at a crossroads. Rising US yields, hawkish Fed pivot, and expansionary fiscal policies could fuel more dollar strength, but BoJ moves and carry trade vulnerabilities may keep yen downside in check. The year ahead promises to be an eventful one.In 2025. Many financial institutions expect the yen to gradually appreciate towards the end of the...

TRADINGACPVIP Mar 5

The next important NZD/USD data to watch will be published tomorrow when the US publishes its initial jobless claims. Is expected to show that a forecast from 242 k to 222k, which can be positive for the dollar index. The Fed will, therefore, maintain its hawkish view if these numbers are correct since they will signal that prices remain significantly high....

TRADINGACPVIP Mar 5

The U.S. dollar will tighten its stranglehold over global currency markets with little standing in the way of its remarkable run, and a significant number of foreign exchange forecasters polled by Reuters expect it to rise to parity with the euro in 2025. The greenback (.DXY), opens new tab surged over 7% against a basket of major currencies last year, falling...

TRADINGACPVIP Mar 5

GBP/USD traders have ignored the recent US data so far. Nevertheless, interest rate traders had priced in 74.5 basis points of Fed easing in 2025, down from the 81 bps expected a day ago. Meanwhile, some Bank of England (BoE) members are crossing wires. Megan Greene commented that inflation is unlikely to persist and that it would fade at its own pace, though she...

TRADINGACPVIP Mar 5

Dollar strength is expected to stabilize or persist into 2025 for several reasons: Economic growth differentials: The U.S. economy is projected to grow by 2.7% in 2024, outpacing the 1.7% growth forecast for all developed markets. This is driven by superior productivity growth, higher business investment and fewer labor supply issues compared to other developed...

TRADINGACPVIP Mar 5

The Fed’s approach to interest rate cuts will be pivotal for gold prices. BMI forecasts acumulative reduction of 125 basis points (bps), bringing rates to 3.50% by the end of 2025. However, the Fed's decisions will hinge on inflation, labor market, and economic data, introducing uncertainty. If rate cuts are slower or smaller than expected, gold could face...

TRADINGACPVIP Mar 4

We are still in an uptrend at dxy. This trend could continue if Trump follows through on tariffs for a number of reasons. First, tariffs could rekindle inflation, leading the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates elevated, which could cause the dollar to strengthen. Secondly, tariffs could cause economic weakness in other countries, improving America’s relative...