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Market Breadth showing Weakness
SPX500
, 1M
SPX500: Market Breadth showing Weakness
Dec 20, 2024

Market Breadth showing Weakness. Drops back below key level. Yield curve starting to steepen, breaking the longest inverted period in history. Looking for the next red monthly inside candle early next year to start getting bearish. Only two rate cuts anticipated next year instead of four.

Inside candle but not red
SPX500
, 1M
SPX500: Inside candle but not red
Sep 5, 2024

I posted that we could have a potential red inside candle by the end of the month. In this case it was an inside candle but was green which is just consolidation. Lets see how it goes this month. Has to close red inside to be a reversal.

Potential inside monthly candle alert
SPX500
, 1M
SPX500: Potential inside monthly candle alert
Aug 7, 2024

Looks like we could have a potential inside red candle. Have to see at end of the month to confirm.

BTC Rally Most Hated Bull Run Ever?
BTCUSD
, 1M
BTCUSD: BTC Rally Most Hated Bull Run Ever?
Mar 1, 2024

I cant believe what happened with this rally in crypto. Literally nobody is talking to me about crypto or asking how to buy it this time. Previous rally's, I have had people contact me from years ago asking how to get in to crypto right at the top. This time nobody. Its quite strange.

Bitcoin testing resistance after pull back
BTCUSD
, 1D
BTCUSD: Bitcoin testing resistance after pull back
Feb 12, 2024

Well we had the nice pullback to 38.2 Fibo. I was hoping to see a bigger pullback but that will do. I would not be surprised to see it hold in this range until the halving expected around April.

Huge Disconect Between Stocks and Junk Bonds
JNK
, 1D
JNK: Huge Disconect Between Stocks and Junk Bonds
Feb 3, 2024

When we have seen a big disconnect between stocks and junk bonds it did not end well for stock. Watch out if the yield curve starts to steepen.

BTCUSD
BTCUSD
, 1M
BTCUSD: BTCUSD
Dec 11, 2023

Bitcoin hit my target at the monthly kijun sen. I expected it would have a decent pullback before heading to my target but it turned out to be a consolidation then continuation. Back in mid 2019 it hit the kijun sen and failed back into a 12 month consolidation. Interesting to see if it falls back into a consolidation ahead of the halvening next year.

Current Rally in BTCUSD Looking for Retrace
BTCUSD
, 1D
BTCUSD: Current Rally in BTCUSD Looking for Retrace
Nov 17, 2023

Well, what a rip this has been in crypto for the past couple of weeks. Looking for a good solid retrace now and a good sell-off in alt coins before really going in balls deep.

SPX Breadth Bearish
SPX500
, 1M
SPX500: SPX Breadth Bearish
Oct 2, 2023

SPX monthly has another red inside candle. Breadth back below the key 60% level. Has been accurate the last few times.

Bitcoin Reversal
BTCUSD
, 1D
BTCUSD: Bitcoin Reversal
Feb 9, 2023

Looks like the retrace of the rally in BTCUSD is underway. I would like to see a 50% retrace. This is the big test.

VIX Below Key Level
VIX
, 1D
VIX: VIX Below Key Level
Jan 28, 2023

VIX is below the key long term support. Risk is back on for now. Not to see it will stay that way.

Great Rally on Gold
XAUUSD
, 1D
XAUUSD: Great Rally on Gold
Jan 28, 2023

What a rip that was on gold with the $USD getting slammed. Great trading.

Q's Rally Off Double Bottom
QQQ
, 1W
QQQ: Q's Rally Off Double Bottom
Jan 28, 2023

QQQ has rallied off a weekly double bottom but looking at the monthly the danger is not over. There a chance for one last flush to the downside to catch out the dumb money.

Junk Early Reversal
JNK
, 1W
JNK: Junk Early Reversal
Jan 21, 2023

Junk is one of my favorite indicators for risk assets. If junk confirms this reversal we should see a rally in stocks and crypto. Very early days. A few more weeks should show a confirmation.

High Yield Spread V SPX
BAMLH0A0HYM2
, 1W
BAMLH0A0HYM2: High Yield Spread V SPX
Jan 21, 2023

When the high yield spread comes down, stocks should rally. If the MACD crosses below the black line it should be bullish for stocks. Lets see how it turns out.

USD Index Smashed 50% Retrace
DXY
, 1W
DXY: USD Index Smashed 50% Retrace
Jan 21, 2023

DXY weekly has been hammered to 50% Fibo retrace. Looks very over sold.

Monero on Priority Watch
XMRUSD
, 1W
XMRUSD: Monero on Priority Watch
Jan 21, 2023

I have Monero on top 10 watch. I will just maybe give it a little more time. Very interesting to see over the next couple of weeks.

Monthly Stochastic Cross on Ethereum
ETHUSD
, 1M
ETHUSD: Monthly Stochastic Cross on Ethereum
Jan 21, 2023

The monthly stochastic has just barely crossed on ETHUSD. Looking like a solid base. Early days but risk appetite seems to be coming back on.

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