WASHINGTON (Reuters) -U.S. President Donald Trump will meet the CEOs of America’s biggest companies on Tuesday, including many whose market value has dipped in recent days as recession and inflation fears soured consumer and investor sentiment. The Republican president is expected to speak with around 100 CEOs at a regular meeting of the Business Roundtable in...
Economic Data and Policy: Upcoming CPI (Consumer Price Index) data is a key focus for investors, as it will provide insights into inflation trends. President Trump's tariff policies are creating uncertainty and contributing to market volatility. U.S. equity positioning has been holding steady, even with recent losses. Sector-Specific Trends: There are...
Analyzing the EUR/CHF pair requires considering both fundamental and technical factors. Here's a breakdown based on available information: Fundamental Factors: Economic Data Releases: Key data releases from both the Eurozone and Switzerland significantly impact the EUR/CHF. Pay attention to: Eurozone: Industrial production, trade balance, and Eurogroup...
The Australian dollar is a cyclical currency which is sensitive to the global economic cycle. When the economy is doing well (economic expansion), companies increase demand for raw materials (think Chinese companies, one of Australia’s major trading partners). And given that Australia is a commodity-linked currency, known for its exports in metals and...
Factors Contributing to AUD Weakness: Commodity Price Fluctuations: The Australian Dollar is closely tied to commodity prices, particularly those of raw materials like iron ore and coal. Any decline in these prices can put downward pressure on the AUD. Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Policy: RBA policy decisions, including interest rate adjustments and forward...
Short-Term Outlook (This Week): Recent trends indicate the dollar has been under pressure. This is partly due to shifting market expectations regarding the timing and extent of Fed rate cuts. Therefore, in the short term, there is a possibility that the DXY will remain weak. Monitoring of upcoming economic data releases will be very important. Longer-Term Outlook...
Monetary Policy Divergence: The Bank of Japan (BOJ) and the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) have different monetary policy stances. If the BOJ moves towards tightening (raising interest rates) while the Fed potentially eases (lowering rates), this can strengthen the Japanese yen (JPY) and weaken the USD/JPY pair. Specifically, increased speculation regarding the BOJ...
The recent weakness in AUD/JPY can be attributed to a combination of factors, including: Increased risk aversion, leading to a stronger Yen. Potential divergences in central bank policies. Concerns about the Australian economic outlook. Bearish technical analysis.
Bank of Japan Policy: The BOJ's actions and signals regarding its monetary policy have a significant impact. Any indication that the BOJ is moving away from its ultra-loose monetary policy can strengthen the Yen. U.S. Federal Reserve Policy: Conversely, the Fed's decisions on interest rates and quantitative easing/tightening affect the U.S. Dollar. Expectations of...
Central Bank Policy Divergence: The Bank of Japan (BOJ) is showing signs of shifting its monetary policy, with increasing expectations of potential interest rate hikes. This strengthens the Japanese Yen (JPY). Conversely, the Australian Dollar (AUD) is affected by the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) policy, and any indications of potential rate cuts or a more...
Federal Reserve (Fed) Interest Rate Expectations: Expectations of the Fed cutting interest rates significantly impact the US Dollar's strength. If markets anticipate more frequent or deeper rate cuts, the USD tends to weaken. Data releases, like the ADP employment report, influence these expectations. Weaker-than-expected data increases the likelihood of rate...
US Dollar Weakness: Expectations of Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cuts put downward pressure on the US dollar. When markets anticipate lower interest rates, it generally makes the currency less attractive to investors. Economic data, such as weaker-than-expected US employment figures, can reinforce these expectations and further weaken the dollar. Also,...
Key Factors Influencing CHF/JPY: Interest Rate Differentials: The monetary policies of the Swiss National Bank (SNB) and the Bank of Japan (BOJ) play a crucial role. If the BOJ signals a potential tightening of its monetary policy (raising interest rates), while the SNB maintains or loosens its policy, it could lead to a weakening of the CHF/JPY pair. Conversely,...
USD Weakness: Concerns about a potential U.S. recession are contributing to a general weakening of the U.S. dollar. There are also factors related to US protectionism, and how the markets are reacting to those policies. Also, there are reactions to US treasury yields. EUR Strength: European rates have seen very large movements, impacting the EUR. Although the...
"Recent economic data discrepancies between the U.S. and Switzerland are influencing USD/CHF. If Swiss data is better than US data, that will strengthen the CHF against the USD. We are below or vwaps and broken our true support zones.
As we know we are bearish because of trumps policies affecting the dollar and fed hold rates steady. we are going short long term .
Trade review as i said we were looking bullish, now to trade the retracement
As i said we going long for for the next two weeks