priceactiontds

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Historic rally we are witnessing. This move is as unlikely, climactic and overdone as can be. Yet we only move higher. Can’t short this yet. Bulls in full control, don’t fight it. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 21000 - 24000 bull case: Bulls will likely go for 24000 over the next days. Since no...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Only Thursday was bullish and right now market is trying to decide if this breakout was legit or not. If bulls can stay above 95000, the breakout above has a higher chance of being succesful. Below 94000 it has likely failed and I favor the bears for more downside. current market cycle: weekly chart says...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Bears defended the breakout area and kept the market in a bear trend. Bulls tried to print a higher low with a decent bull reversal bar on Thursday. Now what? No idea. Oil below 60 is a big thing and staying below is somewhat low probability, given the past 6 years. The chart is still pretty bearish and if you want...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Bulls want at least 20536 now and run all the stops from before the big sell-off. Bears are not doing anything at all, so bulls will likely get it. This could be a breakout-retest and I marked the area for that with the red rectangle. Small chance bears come around next week but for now it’s too early to short and...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: No one knows if this will be a lower high or a new ath. It does not matter. Buying up here is bad no matter how you look at it. Sure it can be good for a scalp but any bull stop is far away. Until bears start closing gaps, bulls remain in full control. Make no mistake, this is one of those instances where economic...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Way tougher than it looks. Both sides have good arguments why this continues higher or why today marked the top. I have a heavy bearish bias but I confirmation would only be below 19090 and that’s 700 points down. I do think if bears can close the gap down to 19640, we retest 19300 and there we have the first bull...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Still favoring doing a lower high print but we are close enough to 23000 that market can go higher. No more obvious resistance. A big maybe is the bear gap up to 23050 but that’s a gamble I am not willing to take. Today should have marked the start of the reversal with the huge bear spike but the bull reversal was...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: We see big bear spikes but no follow-through. Once every dip stalls, bears are out and bulls take over again and inching this higher. Tomorrow we either get a strong breakout above or below. As of now bulls are in full control, since bears have not traded below the prior’s day low for 6 consecutive trading days. Pain...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Market went nowhere past week so nothing changed from my last weeks update. Bulls want to retest the upper bear trend line around 69 and bears reversing below the 50% retracement of the bear trend that started in January. I do not have an opinion on where the breakout will happen, I can see it going both...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: tl;dr covered it. Markets denied me fantasy, tough excrement. On the weekly chart it’s still just a textbook two-legged pullback to the moving average (daily 20 in this case, which is around 20000). We are also still close enough to the 50% retracement that it’s not out of the question that we reverse from here....

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: This is a short squeeze and very little could concinve me otherwise. Does it matter? No. We are going higher and until bears print a big bear bar again, bulls remain in full control. 8 Consecutive daily bull bars is always something special. Above 22700 there is no reason not to go for 24000. current market cycle:...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Very bullish breakout on Tuesday, now bears last hope before 100000 is if maybe prior support has turned resistance. I marked the area with the red box. How likely is it? Very unlikely. Much more likely is a measured move up which could lead to 101000ish. current market cycle: weekly chart says continuation of the...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Bulls in full control, next target is the Globex to 22535 or 22586 on the daily chart. Volume is atrocious and we are in a global trade war but hey, let’s go for another ath I guess. This will crash down to 19000 and lower again, zero doubt in my mind. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 21000 -...

priceactiontds

nasdaq e-mini futures comment: Until bears close the gap down to 18500, this is bullish, no doubt about it. I just think that we have seen 3 legs up and we are at big resistance. There is a chance that we have see the high today for this bull leg in what is likely a bigger trading range or still a very small chance of the continuation of the bear trend. Tomorrow...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Bullish. I want to believe that the market can not go above 21700 but 5 consecutive daily bull bars say duck yo puts. Above 21700 no more resistance until 22000. If bulls fail, down we go to likely another higher low above 21250. Everything below 21200 is a big bear surprise. current market cycle: trading range key...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Very good trend by the bears but the close was bad for them. Giant tail below this daily bar and if they can not keep the market from retracing more than this 50%, we could reverse this to test 18200+ again. If we stay below 18000, I heavily favor the bears but for now I’m rather neutral and assess where we are...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Expanding triangles are my least favorite structure and we are in one. I have no bias here because both sides have reasonable arguments. Bulls just want this selling to become a bear trap and test up to the upper bear trend line around 69 and bears can see it as a bear flag that tested the 50% retracement of this...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Neutral and very similar to dax, as most of the time. I do think we will see one more leg down in this current bear trend before we could go sideways for longer, until earnings become the absolute fucking shitshow I expect them to become. We get daily news about big companies not exporting to China or to the US due...