ramon_markiewitz

ramon_markiewitz

After BTC avoided the last supply there is on the chart since monday, i would expect a reaction as soon it comes in there. There is also a big area of range demand below where i am looking for a bullish reaction. My main focus is at the range high since i still have this HTF distribution scenario in mind and we are right in the first deviation of it.

ramon_markiewitz

This is the lower timeframe distribution model I mentioned in pt.1. I am looking either for a model 2 from extreme supply or another deviation inside the deviation limit for a model 1. A good time displacement would be optimal and a bearish BOS would confirm it for a valid entry.

ramon_markiewitz

This could end up as a model 1 distribution that gets completed with another distribution model as 2nd deviation while coming into supply. With the right confirmations this could end up in a beautiful trade. I will make a part 2 in a minute where i show the potential lower time frame distribution model.

ramon_markiewitz Updated 

There is a potential extended model 1 going over into a model 2 on ETH. I look for entries at this extreme supply. The supply above and the speed its coming up is not optimal so let's see what happens.

ramon_markiewitz

AUDUSD is forming a high time frame accumulation model. If the range high does not get taken out first i will look for a model 2 from extreme demand or another deviation of the low, preferably into the 1D demand, for a model 1 to get a rotation back to the range high.

ramon_markiewitz

I am watching this PO3 for a while now. The invalidation for this would be below the last low and the technical target is at least the range high.

ramon_markiewitz

I will look for a valid entry from this 15m supply to enter a short to at least the range low of this model 1 distribution. This would then be a extended model 1 going over into a model 2 with a good return to zone so let's see. A entry would already be valid but i will either wait or skip for a better R/R.

ramon_markiewitz

I would expect something like this to play out for BTC over the weekend. Until there is a BOS above 106.777$ i expect more lows to form an accumulation model.

ramon_markiewitz

I am looking for a model 1 to complete a higher time frame model 2 on APT.

ramon_markiewitz

I am looking for an distribution model 1 to complete a bigger accumulation model 1 or 2 on KAS.

ramon_markiewitz

There is a model 1 on BRETT. Invalidation is below the low and target is the range high.(Better confirmation would be a break above 0.05756$).

ramon_markiewitz

There is a chance for a PO3 on TRX. If the distribution model 2 does not get invalidated, the next target is the range low at 0.19882$.(I will post a better picture of the model 2 below this Idea)

ramon_markiewitz

The BTC cycle low is expected to come either this or next week (June 1-12th). A Trendline breakout is enough to confirm it but i would rather like to see a tradeable reaccumulation model. Let's see what the week brings.

ramon_markiewitz

It's not my preferred scenario, but until BTC closes weekly candles above 121k this is on the table. This would take months to play out so i just wait and react accordingly.

ramon_markiewitz

At the moment i am watching 2 models on ETH. The first is an LTF accumulation model which could have the intention to complete the HTF Distribution model. For the distribution i am expecting a model 2 since ETH already came into supply, but we will see.

ramon_markiewitz

I am watching this model for a while now. This could play out as a model 1 or 2 in the near future and would support my outlook on BTC.

ramon_markiewitz

There is the chance for a model 1 inside of the bigger range. If we slowly grind up and don't break above the deviation limit i consider to enter a trade after a BOS, even though it's a range inside of a range.

ramon_markiewitz

I'm waiting for a reaction from one of these three supply zones for a potential short. Those ugly lows and the 50% level I've been waiting for are still there. However, since there was accumulation in almost every coin I watched yesterday, I wouldn't be surprised if it just keeps going higher.