🔻 AUD/CAD Short Setup (High-Probability Rejection Play) 🔹 Entry Zone: 0.8990 – 0.9060 Ideal entry: 0.9020 (mid-zone if price stalls or forms a wick) 🔺 Stop Loss: 0.9120 (above all 2023–2024 highs and structure traps) This SL protects you from a true breakout 🎯 Targets: TP1: 0.8800 (prior swing lows / first clean zone) TP2: 0.8650 (mid-range support with...
Bearish Trade Plan (Conservative Structure-Based Entry) Entry: 92.40 (Sell Limit at resistance) Stop Loss: 94.10 (Above weekly structure and fakeout buffer) Take Profits: TP1: 89.00 (initial neckline retest) TP2: 85.50 (structure base) TP3: 83.00 (macro extension target)
Bias: Bearish AUD/CHF AUD Weakness RBA inflation (Trimmed Mean CPI YoY) slowed from 3.3% → 2.9% Global risk sentiment is fading due to weak U.S. data, trade tensions, and slowing growth AUD struggles in risk-off environments and with declining China demand CHF Strength Safe-haven flows remain strong as markets de-risk Swiss CPI is stable, and the SNB...
🔻 CAD/CHF Swing Short Setup Sell Limit Entry: 0.6040 Stop Loss: 0.6115 (above recent daily highs) Take Profit 1: 0.5800 Take Profit 2: 0.5700 Risk-to-Reward: ~2.6:1 to TP1, ~4.5:1 to TP2 Fundamentals: CAD is weakening from falling oil, soft economic data, and global trade risk. CHF is gaining on risk-off sentiment and its safe-haven status. Technical...
Macro fundamentals favor EUR strength: Strong Q1 GDP, sticky inflation, and no urgency for ECB rate cuts. CAD is weakening: Oil prices are down ~15% for the month, BoC is leaning dovish, and trade risks remain elevated. Technical structure is bullish: EUR/CAD broke above multi-year resistance at 1.5500. Price is now pulling back into that zone, which is likely...
⚔️ Strategy Options: 🟢 Bullish Tactical Play (Range Swing): Only valid if price closes weekly above 0.6450. Entry: Buy limit on retest of 0.6310 SL: 0.6150 TP1: 0.6500 TP2: 0.6850 This is a short-term retracement play against a longer-term bearish trend. 🔴 Bearish Trend Continuation: Ideal if weekly closes below 0.6200 Entry: Sell retrace at 0.6300 SL:...
🧩 GBP/JPY Swing Short Setup 📍 Entry: Sell Limit: 194.75 🛡️ Stop Loss (Above Resistance Wick): SL: 196.20 → Covers minor breakout/fakeout above 195 zone while protecting against invalidation 🎯 Take Profits: TP1: 190.00 (Structure floor + first major reaction zone) TP2: 185.00 (Clean horizontal support and demand zone) TP3 (Swing Target): 180.00 (Large macro...
📍 Entry (Buy Limit): 1.1085 This is just above the 1.1000 psychological level but below previous minor structure at 1.1100. Captures a shallow retest without risking being front-run by liquidity sweeps. 🛑 Stop Loss (SL): 1.0910 Below consolidation zone and wicks around 1.10 Provides enough space beneath the major breakout level while staying tight for R:R 🎯...
🟢 Bullish Play (High Probability) Plan: Break-and-Retest Strategy Entry: Wait for daily close above 1.3200, then set buy limit at 1.3060 SL: 1.2890 TP1: 1.3300 TP2: 1.3600 TP3: 1.4000 (macro breakout target)
🎯 Trade Setup Plan 👇 Aggressive Entry (Riskier) Sell Limit: 164.90 SL: 165.90 TP1: 160.00 TP2: 157.00 TP3 (optional): 155.00 Use this only if you want to catch the wick, but recognize the higher chance of being swept. ✅ Conservative Entry (Recommended) Wait for a daily candle close under 162.00 after touching 164. That confirms rejection. Entry: On next...
✅ NZD/USD Long Setup Entry: 0.5520 Stop Loss (SL): 0.5375 (below historical multi-decade support and spike lows — gives room for volatility) Take Profits (TPs): TP1: 0.6000 (psychological + historical S/R level) TP2: 0.6200 (structural supply level) TP3: 0.6400 (historical resistance zone + cycle high area)
🔍 Technical Context: Market Structure: Price is in a long-term sideways range with lower highs. AUD/CAD is struggling to break above the 0.90–0.91 region, showing signs of exhaustion. Zone of Interest (Supply): Purple box: 0.9000 – 0.9100 A clean historical rejection zone that has acted as both support and resistance multiple times since 2022. Entry Type: Sell...