ADA Cardano Decsending Triangle Use Caution HereCardano had a heck of a move but i think its going to erase most if not all of it before it goes on its next leg up. A break over the overhead resistance line and finding support above would invalidate this. Not financial advice just my opinion. Thank you
ADAUSD trade ideas
ADA - pull back then blast offIf ADA breaks below 0.85 I believe the next level of support will be @ 0.78 - this price level acted as resistance and was the Weekly high on 3 x occassions. Thus it is assumed that resistance will flip into support.
Bearish div. Suggests a move down as well as a break in the uptrend.
Entry @ 0.79
TP 1: 1.13
TP2: 1.43
TP3: 2.00
You could take a small short position now and profit in the event that price does start to retrace to 0.78 (ish)
Last Cycle -> This CycleNo two cycles have ever been exactly the same and it remains to be seen if that will ever happen. Bitcoin has thus far demonstrated a certain amount of cyclicity and predictable behavior on a 4-year time scale that has been widely studied and written about. Given BTC's overall influence on the asset class, we'll make the assumption in this idea that ADA can also exhibit a certain amount of cyclicity and predictable behavior within a similar time period.
I'll start by defining 4, temporal 'parts'. From cycle to cycle they do NOT translate exactly and it's possible I'll look back in two years and realize I drew them wrong. Regardless of this, let's explore.
~~
Part 1 - The premature "Rally"
The rhetoric of "This time is different" and "We're going to see new ATH's next month" are particularly strong. This "Rally" usually starts towards the end of the pre-halving year or sometime early in the halving year. Positive USD price movements set the stage for a short staged, preliminary mania before the inevitable lull.
~~
Part 2 - The Pre-Parabolic lull
After seeing a 2x - 6x return from the cycle bottom, which is usually quite nice given years of mostly weekly red candles, a summer or late fall lull sets in.
The rhetoric of "Crypto is dead" and "It's never going to go up again" emerge.
The prior cycle, at least for ADA, appeared to be much shorter than this cycle's early new ATH ~6 months ago for BTC. Given bitcoin had a long cooling off period time year, it's not particularly shocking that ADA did as well.
~~
Part 3 - The first kickoff and the 35% downwick
Cue the US elections and like clockwork the asset class kicks off. BTC breaks 100k for the first time, ADAUSD skyrockets from ~$0.30 to ~$1.30.
IF YOU TAKE NOTHING ELSE FROM THIS POST AT LEAST CONSIDER THIS: ADAUSD, like ETHUSD, does not exactly have a great December track record during the halving year. Last Cycle, ADAUSD saw a -35% downwick from the local high to the local bottom. Ask yourself: Do you think this flushed some people out? Do you think some panic sold?
Nobody, not me, not anyone, knows where the USD valuation is going. I believe it's going to go higher but all I know for sure is that where we are now...December of the halving year...is behaving, overall, quite similar to December 2020. ADAUSD skyrockets to $1.30 and then wicks down to the $0.77 range.
~~
Part 4 - The Real Parabolic Rally
Cue the post-halving year which we are less than 2 weeks away from. In 2020, from the last week of December to the last week of February, ADAUSD rallies 834%.
834% in 8 weeks. And during this time, it printed 2 weekly red candles in the later half of Jan that sent the price down -34%. And then, at the start of March, it printed two more red candles that sent the price down -25%.
But the rally wasn't over because the USD valuation in the Spring of 2021 was still in the low $1's. It wasn't until the second week of May that ADA hit $2 for the first time and it wasn't until late August it hit $3.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
I believe the real parabolic rally hasn't start yet. I believe that if ADAUSD behaves similarly to how it did last cycle, we're going to have an exciting next 10 weeks, a cooloff in March+April, and an exciting start to summer.
There will be turbulence. There will be doubt. This is crypto, this is the nature of trading.
I suspect there will be weeks after a new local high is printed that we're all down 20%-40% and that's okay, it doesn't imply the end of the cycle.
~~
This isn't financial advice and this isn't investment advice, but now that we're still in the <$1.00/ADA it's probably worth determining what you want your exit strategy to be.
Good luck out there.
UPDATE ADA FORCAST🔄 When Time Speaks, Price Listens
#TimeAnalysis | #Cardano | #ADAUSDT | #SmartTrading
In my previous ADA/USDT analysis, the mistake wasn’t in the price structure—it was in the timing.
The price didn’t reverse where expected, not because the setup was wrong, but because I ignored one critical factor:
The time cycle must align with the price cycle.
📌 Here's what really happened:
From July 2 to July 7, price moved sideways in a clear accumulation range.
Then came an explosive expansion wave (Wave 3) from 0.573 to 0.75, lasting 113 hourly candles.
This was followed by a correction wave (Wave 6) of 130 candles.
Currently, price is in a distribution wave (Wave 9), ongoing for over 90 candles.
📉 My error? Misalignment between time and price.
📆 After applying my fixed monthly time cycle model, based on the rule that 9 marks the end of every cycle,
it became obvious that the price waves were following exact temporal intervals:
➡️ Monthly cycle anchor points:
(8 Jan, 7 Feb, 6 Mar, ..., 9 Sep, 8 Oct...)
Each month is divided into 3 major time zones, and each zone into two sub-zones.
This creates a clean framework where waves naturally unfold:
🔹 3 = Expansion
🔹 6 = Correction
🔹 9 = Distribution
💡 Key Takeaways:
Don’t trade predictions. Trade the wave.
Every price move is governed by time.
Ignoring time leads to premature entries—even with solid technical analysis.
🧠 Want to learn how to read these time-price cycles? Let’s discuss in the comments.
Cardano (ADA) a solid play in crypto, a Macro lookHi guys, so with Bitcoin in price discovery mode. It hints at the final phase of Crypto bull in action. With that comes altseason and in my opinion explosive growth in altcoins.
1 particular coin i've been looking at is Cardano (ADA).
This is a macro technical analysis of ADA on the 1 month timeframe. So each candle is 1 month of price action. This is very powerful on its own. And can give signs into where an asset will trend.
If you compare this to majority of other alts, its looking alot more bullish and is ahead of the game.
SO jumping right in.
Lets look at price action. Notice we are in a macro rectangle or sideways pattern.
Upper limit at $1.24
Lower limit at around $0.25.
This indicates a consolidation phase.
Real action is seen above that upper limit. Where we see explosive price action to the upside. Previously in Sept 2021 seeing highs of up to $3.07.
I believe we are making our way up to this $1.24 level.
Which in the short term will be a solid area to take profit due to it being a major supply zone in my opinion or sell zone. With a potential pull back. This is because if you look previously in price history, cardano price movement heavily involves this level with most of price history being either above or below $1.24.
A key sign but not yet confirmation is a breakout above this slanted resistance line we were being pushed down from that was created in 11-2024.
We have an engulfing candle break out currently. But still awaiting confirmation which will require august monthly candle to stay above this line and present a bullish candle print.
We will be on the look out for this.
There are other signs and signals appearing in Cardano (ADA) that support my theory and Price action developments. To take trades i always look for multiple signs that overlap.
Stay tune for more of that where ill go over many different indicators and other aspects that point to ADA being above other alts as a solid trade or investment for the next altseason.
Cardona: Keep accumulating at lower pricesHello,
Cardona is currently correcting on the 2 days' timeframe. Looking at the Fibonacci retracement, the pair has retraced from the recent top and is trading near the 78% retracement level. The coin is currently correcting hence setting up for a good opportunity for buys. The flag pattern is a great pattern that can be used for continuation confirmation.
Cardano is a proof-of-stake blockchain network which can run smart contracts and Apps on its ecosystem. Arguably the beginning of the third generation of cryptocurrency, founder Charles Hoskinson broke away from his position at Ethereum in 2015 to create what is now considered one of the more peer-assessed projects in the game. Its native token ADA (named after English mathematician Ada Lovelace) was launched in 2017 and is designed to oversee governance and encourage participation in its ecosystem.
We see a strong case from both a fundamental and technical perspective. We see this as a perfect opportunity for long term crypto believers to keep accumulating the asset at depressed prices.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
ADA is ready to take offEverything is on the chart.
This simple pattern analysis show us clearly that we are about to enter maniac phase.
Diminishing return theory still in play.
This phase was a 30x last cycle, I'm not expecting more than x15 from the last local bottom of March to May.
Final destination is around 7 to 10$.
ADA GOES DOWN🔍 Still analyzing the markets based on price only?
Markets don't move randomly. They follow precise time-based cycles that repeat with uncanny accuracy.
In this analysis, I focused on:
🔁 Time segmentation using the 3-6-9 cycle
⏳ Key reversal points calculated with Time Cycle Lines
📉 Smart price action based on real Order Blocks and liquidity
🧠 A core belief that “Time is more important than Price”, inspired by Gann and modern cycle theory.
---
✅ Now the real question is:
Do you see how the major shift happened exactly at a timed zone, not just a price level?
🗣️ Let me hear your thoughts:
Do you use time tools in your strategy?
Would you like to learn how I project these reversal zones in advance?
👇👇
💬 Drop your insights in the comments
🔁 Share with traders who think beyond indicators
➕ Follow me if you want to explore how Time-based analysis can give you a real edge.
#TradingView #Forex #MarketCycles #GannTheory #SmartMoneyConcepts #ForexStrategy #DigitalAnalysis #TimeAnalysis #PriceAction #DrGemy
ADAUSD - Possible Correction from Channel ResistanceStructure: Ascending Channel
Indicators: RSI Overbought, Bearish Divergence Forming
📌 Confirmation:
Look for:
A strong bearish candle or
RSI breaking below 60
Volume divergence
Bias: Short-term bearish correction, bullish structure intact as long as price holds the channel.
ADA Breakout from Ascending TrianglePair: ADA/USD
Timeframe: 4H
Pattern: Ascending Triangle
Breakout Level: ~$0.777
Entry: On breakout candle close above resistance
Targets:
🎯 1st Target: $0.83
🎯 2nd Target: $0.86
Confluence:
Bullish structure with higher lows pressing into horizontal resistance
Breakout occurred with volume confirmation
Fib extension aligns with target zones
Bollinger Band expansion supports momentum continuation
Bias: Bullish (continuation pattern)
⚠️ If price falls back below $0.745, watch for possible invalidation or retest of the triangle breakout.
#ADAUSDT Trade Setup! 7-2025📌 Coin: ADAUSDT (Cardano)
💰 Buy Levels:
✅ First Entry: $0.765
✅ Second Entry: $0.650
🧠 Fundamental Analysis (FA)
*️⃣ Sector: Layer 1 blockchain / Proof of Stake
*️⃣ Use Case: Cardano is a smart contract platform focused on security, scalability, and academic research. It powers DeFi, identity, NFTs, and governance protocols.
*️⃣ Tech: Uses a unique eUTXO model (extended UTXO) for deterministic and parallel execution, and the Ouroboros proof-of-stake consensus mechanism.
*️⃣ Development Model: Built on a peer-reviewed, research-first approach, led by Charles Hoskinson and IOHK. Cardano rolls out major upgrades in carefully planned phases (e.g. Byron, Shelley, Goguen, Basho, Voltaire).
*️⃣ Adoption: Hosts growing DeFi/NFT activity, identity pilots in Africa, and a developer base focused on formal verification and high-assurance code.
*️⃣ Ecosystem: Now includes native tokens, smart contracts via Plutus, dApps like Minswap, Indigo, Liqwid, and scaling via Hydra (L2 channels in progress).
*️⃣ Narrative Fit: Positioned as the “safe, decentralized, and academically sound” Ethereum alternative, with a large, loyal community and real-world partnership focus.
🎯 Bull Market Target (Realistic)
Target Range: $1.80 – $2.20
*️⃣ Matches 2021 recovery zone, achievable with healthy altcoin rotation and new project launches on Cardano.
🚀 Mega Bullish Target (Speculative Top)
Target Range: $3.00 – $4.50+
*️⃣ Would require Cardano to become a leading DeFi/NFT L1 again, global adoption of on-chain identity, full Voltaire governance rollout, and L2 scaling success.
✅ Final Take
🧠 Cardano remains one of the most decentralized, peer-reviewed chains in crypto. While it's slower in execution compared to others, it builds strong foundations. With Voltaire (on-chain governance) and Hydra (scaling) rolling out, ADA is well positioned for a long-term cycle.
we ask Allah reconcile and repay
ADA Just Reclaimed Structure and Hit the First WallADA just ran from sub-$0.60 to above $0.80, reclaiming every key level along the way.
Now it’s testing the same resistance that sparked a sharp dump in May.
This zone is no joke — it’s where trends get confirmed… or crushed.
Watch the reaction here closely.
#ADA #Cardano #ADAUSD #CryptoCharting #BreakoutLevels #BacktestEverything #TradingView #QuantTradingPro #CryptoMomentum
ATH for ADA soonChart says it all, ADA looks prime to run, could reach as high as $6.80
1. Technological Upgrades and Hard ForksThe Plomin Hard Fork in Q1 2025 enhanced governance, while upcoming features like Leios for scalability, BTC DeFi interoperability, L2s, and partnerchains boost efficiency and adoption, positioning Cardano as a leader in secure, sustainable blockchain tech.
2. Spot ETF Speculation and Institutional InterestGrayscale's pending ADA ETF filing with Nasdaq, plus inclusion in their Large Cap ETF, could unlock massive demand. Analysts see this as a game-changer, similar to Bitcoin/ETH ETFs, potentially driving prices to $5+ by year-end.
3. Ecosystem Expansion and IntegrationsNew tools like the EMURGO global Cardano card for ADA payments, Blockchain.com DeFi wallet integration (37M users), and Tokeo Wallet's XRP bridge enhance real-world utility. DeFi TVL and on-chain activity (unique addresses +4.79%, active wallets +12%) are surging.
4. Whale Activity and On-Chain MomentumWhales are accumulating amid spikes in network volume and no downtimes/hacks. Features like privacy via Midnight Network and Charles Hoskinson's White House advisory role add credibility, fueling a "silent surge."
5. Technical Breakouts and Market CorrelationADA has formed bullish patterns like a golden cross, double-bottom, and breakout from descending channels, correlating with Bitcoin's rally. RSI at 76 signals strong momentum, with targets at $0.82–$1.18 short-term and up to $2.80+ long-term.
6. Airdrops and Community HypeUpcoming events like the Glacier airdrop and NIGHT airdrop are creating buzz, alongside Cardano's unmatched decentralization and energy efficiency, potentially sparking a 383% rally as in past cycles.
🐋 Deep Dive Part II: Whale Behavior & Market Mastery! 🌊📚Hey Crypto Enthusiasts! 🚀
In a recent analysis, I not only nailed Bitcoin's (BTC) movement but also illuminated the subsequent altcoin surge, driven by insightful whale behavior observations. Let's merge these insights with a focus on ADA (Cardano), OP (Optimism), SOL (Solana), and BTC. 📊
Cardano's (ADA) Meteoric Rise 🌟
ADA's journey began with a break above a pivotal support-resistance level. My entry point at 0.256 turned into a remarkable rally, hitting 52 cents. This movement was a classic case of altcoin buoyancy following Bitcoin's pause.
Optimism (OP) and the Altcoin Breakouts 🌈
In the shadow of Bitcoin's stagnation, altcoins like OP exhibited significant breakouts, showcasing the shifting focus of market whales from Bitcoin to promising altcoins.
Bitcoin (BTC) and Whale Dynamics 📉
Bitcoin's behavior provided a crystal ball into the whale activities. As BTC approached a major resistance level, it signaled a strategic move by whales to divert funds towards altcoins, catalyzing their surge.
Solana (SOL) and Market Trends ☀️
Solana's chart also mirrored this trend, highlighting the broader market dynamics influenced by these significant players.
🔍 Insight on Whale Behavior:
My analysis delved deep into the whale behavior, highlighting how Bitcoin's rally and subsequent pause was a precursor to altcoin dominance. This strategic pause in Bitcoin's ascent was a clear signal for the whales to redistribute their focus and capital, sparking a remarkable rise in altcoins like ADA, OP, and SOL. 🔄
The Bigger Picture - Understanding Market Shifts: What this trend teaches us is the importance of reading between the lines. Whale movements often precede major market shifts, and by understanding these patterns, we position ourselves to make informed decisions. 🧠
Future Outlook: As we continue to monitor these market dynamics, it's crucial to stay vigilant. The crypto market is known for its volatility, and while the current trend favors altcoins, it's essential to be prepared for any shifts that may arise. Always keep an eye on key resistance and support levels, market sentiment, and global economic factors that could influence the next big move. 🌐
Together, let's stay ahead of the curve in this fascinating and ever-evolving world of cryptocurrency. Your insights and engagement are what make this journey exciting and rewarding!
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
part 1:
Cardano: Eyeing Alternative Rally ScenarioCardano’s ADA token has realized further gains. As a result, we’ve increased the probability of our alternative scenario—in which the low of the wave (ii) correction is already in place—to 40%. For ADA to take this “shortcut,” the next step would be to break above resistance at $0.86, followed by a move past the $1.32 level. For now, however, we’re maintaining our primary outlook and are preparing for a new low in blue wave (ii). In this scenario, the price should hold above support at $0.31.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
ADAUSD – Pressure Builds Beneath ResistanceADA exploded off $0.545 into $0.61 before reversing sharply. After the pullback, price stabilized above $0.575 and began compressing in a coil. Structure is bullish if $0.582 holds — a clean breakout through $0.59 could open a path back to $0.605+. Below $0.575 invalidates.