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EURUSD trade ideas

EURUSD - Major resistance ahead with the fair value gaps!The EUR/USD pair remains firmly within a prevailing downtrend, characterized by a consistent pattern of lower highs and lower lows. This bearish momentum has resulted in the formation of several significant Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) on the 4-hour chart, which now act as potential resistance zones on any pullbacks. These FVGs not only coincide with important technical structures, but also align with key Fibonacci retracement levels, adding confluence to their strength. In the analysis below, we’ll walk through these zones and discuss the most probable scenarios based on the current price action. First resistance zone The first major resistance lies within the 4-hour FVG in the 1.1600 to 1.1650 region. This zone coincides with the golden pocket, which is formed between the 0.618 and 0.65 Fibonacci retracement levels. This overlap strengthens the likelihood of price reacting bearishly here, should the market manage to retrace upwards into this area. Given the strong downward momentum, this level may be enough to trigger a continuation to the downside, making it a critical area to monitor for rejection signals. Second resistance zone The second key resistance is found in the upper 4-hour FVG, ranging from 1.1690 to 1.1750. This zone aligns closely with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level and marks a former support zone that has now been broken, indicating a potential structure break. Price returning to this level would be retesting the underside of broken market structure, which often acts as a powerful resistance area. Given this, a deeper pullback into this region may serve as a trap for late buyers and potentially offer a high-probability short setup. Bullish bounce area On the bullish side, the most relevant support is currently found within the 1-hour FVG that was formed last Friday, during the release of the U.S. unemployment rate data. This zone is positioned below current price levels and is likely to act as a strong short-term demand area. It is reasonable to anticipate a bullish reaction from this zone if the market retraces downward, making it a favorable area to seek long opportunities for a potential move into the higher resistance levels described above. Final thoughts While the broader trend remains bearish, short-term bullish bounces are likely within defined fair value gaps. Traders should keep a close eye on the 1-hour FVG for possible long entries, while watching the 4-hour FVGs, particularly those aligning with key Fibonacci levels, for signs of bearish continuation. If resistance holds firm, the EUR/USD could resume its downtrend, but any structural breaks or sustained closes above these levels would challenge that view. As always, price action around these zones should guide the final decision-making. ------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
by Youriverse
74
EURUSD - EURUSD – The Calm Before the SweepAfter months of climbing steadily within a rising wedge structure, EURUSD has finally broken beneath the bullish trend line that previously acted as dynamic support. This shift is significant, as it marks the first decisive violation of the bullish momentum that has carried price from the April lows into the July highs. The break occurred with strong bearish displacement, leaving behind an unfilled daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) just above the current price. This area now acts as a potential magnet for price before continuation lower. Trend Line Retest and FVG Confluence Price is currently hovering near 1.1570 after the trend line break. Above, we have a clean FVG on the daily chart which aligns closely with the underside of the broken trend line. A retracement into this zone would offer the ideal setup for short positioning, combining the concept of a bearish retest with inefficiency fill. From a technical perspective, this would give institutions a perfect level to engineer a lower high before continuing the move down. Sell-Side Liquidity Objective The major downside target sits below the swing low formed in early May. This area likely holds a large pool of resting sell-side liquidity, which would be an ideal draw for smart money before any potential reversal. If the market respects the bearish structure and rejects the FVG zone cleanly, the move toward this liquidity pocket becomes increasingly probable. Reversal Conditions While the short setup is currently the main focus, the area below the May low also presents a key decision point. If price sweeps that low and we begin to see bullish structure return, this could mark the beginning of a new leg up. For that to be valid, we’d need to see signs of strong buying interest, displacement, and reclaim of key short-term highs. Until then, we remain on the lookout for short opportunities into the FVG and trend line retest zone. Execution Plan and Expectations Traders should watch for signs of exhaustion or rejection once price enters the FVG zone. Bearish price action on lower timeframes like the 1H or 15M could confirm entry, particularly if the trend line holds as resistance. Stops can be placed above the swing high before the break, with targets below the major low around 1.10500. The reward-to-risk on this setup is favorable, but patience is needed to wait for the retrace to complete. Conclusion EURUSD has shifted from bullish to bearish structure after breaking the rising trend line. With an unfilled FVG above and a clean downside liquidity target, this setup offers a well-defined short opportunity. Reactions at the FVG and below the May low will dictate whether we extend lower or begin a new bullish phase. For now, all eyes are on the retrace and short continuation. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Short
by TehThomas
76
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on EURUSD? After last week's sharp decline, EUR/USD rebounded slightly on Friday, initiating a corrective move to the upside. We anticipate this retracement to extend over the next few days, likely reaching the broken trendline and former support zone, which now acts as resistance. As long as the pair remains below this resistance area, the bearish outlook remains valid. Once the pullback is complete, we expect renewed downside pressure toward the next support levels. 💬 Is this just a corrective move before another leg down? Let us know your thoughts below! 👇 Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Short
by HAMED_AZ
32
Inside a Candle: How to Read Hidden Order Flow Without a DOM Difficulty: 🐳🐳🐳🐋🐋 (Intermediate+) This article is for traders who want to understand the “story” behind a candle’s shape — and learn to spot aggressive buying/selling, absorption, and traps without needing footprint or order book tools. 🔵 INTRODUCTION Most traders see candles as static shapes — green or red, big or small. But each candle is a battlefield of orders . Even without access to a DOM or volume footprint, you can still extract valuable information from just the candle's body, wick, and context . 🔵 ORIGINS: WHERE CANDLESTICKS COME FROM Candlestick charts trace back to 18th-century Japan, where rice traders needed a way to visualize price movements over time. A legendary trader named Munehisa Homma , who traded rice futures in Osaka, is credited with developing the earliest form of candlestick analysis. Homma discovered that price wasn’t just driven by supply and demand — but also by trader psychology . He created visual representations of market sentiment by tracking: The opening and closing price of rice The highest and lowest price reached during the session This system became known as the “Sakata rules,” and it laid the foundation for many patterns still used today — such as Doji, Engulfing, and Marubozu. Western traders only began using candlesticks widely in the 1990s, when analyst Steve Nison introduced them to the broader financial world through his book Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques. Today, candlesticks remain one of the most powerful and intuitive ways to visualize order flow, momentum, and market psychology — even without a Depth of Market (DOM) or depth of book. In this article, you’ll learn how to read hidden order flow by analyzing: Wick length and positioning Body-to-range ratios Candle clustering and sequences 🔵 HOW A CANDLE FORMS Before you can read a candle, you need to understand how it comes to life . A single candle represents the full auction process during its time window. Here’s how it builds, step by step: Candle opens — this is the open price . As price moves up during the session → the high] updates. As price moves down → the low] updates. The final traded price when the time closes → this becomes the close price . The wick = price areas that were tested but rejected The body = where the majority of aggressive trades occurred If buyers push price up quickly but sellers slam it down before the close — the candle will have a long upper wick and close near the open, revealing seller absorption. Understanding this flow helps you recognize traps, fakeouts, and reversals in real time. 🔵 CANDLE BODY: WHO'S IN CONTROL The body of the candle reflects the result of the battle between buyers and sellers. A wide body with minimal wicks means dominance and commitment. Big body, small wick → clear conviction In an uptrend: buyer aggression In a downtrend: panic or aggressive selling Small body, long wicks → indecision, absorption, or trap Often appears near tops/bottoms Indicates both sides were active but neither won clearly www.tradingview.com 🔵 WICKS: THE SHADOWS OF REJECTION Wicks are not just “leftovers” — they show where price was rejected after being tested. Long upper wick = seller presence or absorption at highs Long lower wick = buyer defense or trap spring Double wick = liquidity sweep / false breakout Use wick direction to spot: Failed breakouts Smart money traps Exhaustion candles 🔵 HIDDEN ORDER FLOW PATTERNS 1️⃣ Absorption Candle A large wick with little movement afterward — shows that big orders absorbed market pressure. 2️⃣ Trap Candle A candle that sweeps above/below a key high/low and closes opposite — classic smart money fakeout. 3️⃣ Imbalance Candle Large-bodied candle that closes near the high/low with no wick on the other end — implies one-sided aggression (and often leaves an imbalance). 🔵 CLUSTERING & SEQUENCES MATTER Never read a candle alone. The sequence of candles tells the full story: 3+ rejection wicks near resistance? Liquidity building before breakout or trap Bearish engulfing after long upper wick = smart money selling into retail buying Tight-range dojis + volume spike = compression before expansion Context + volume + structure = hidden flow decoded. 🔵 PUTTING IT TOGETHER: A REAL EXAMPLE Price breaks above previous high Candle closes with long upper wick and smaller body Next candle opens, dumps fast, leaving imbalance behind Buyers trapped — move likely to continue down This is how you read order flow from candle anatomy . 🔵 TIPS FOR MASTERY Use a lower timeframe (1M–5M) to see microstructure Watch how wicks behave near S/R or OBs Confirm with volume spikes or delta-style indicators Use replay mode to slow down the story and study cause/effect 🔵 CONCLUSION Every candle is a message. You don’t need expensive tools to read order flow — just your eyes, context, and curiosity. Learn to see candles not as symbols, but as evidence of behavior . Absorption, imbalance, and traps are all visible if you look closely.
Education
by BigBeluga
25
EURUSD rises again amid growing Fed rate cut expectationsEURUSD rises again amid growing Fed rate cut expectations On Friday, U.S. job data (NFP) showed an increase of just 73,000 for July—far below forecasts. This weak result suggests deeper problems in the labor market. Many financial institutions now expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in September. Markets are pricing in over 63 basis points of rate cuts by the end of the year. Adding to uncertainty, President Donald Trump dismissed Bureau of Labor Statistics Commissioner Erika McEntarfer on Friday, accusing her of manipulating job data. Investors are also concerned about the impact of Trump’s new tariffs, which could slow economic growth and push inflation higher. Technical Analysis: From a technical perspective, EURUSD broke below the neckline of a double top pattern, confirming the bearish setup. The price hit the first downside target before bouncing back, likely driven by speculation around the NFP report. Looking ahead, there's a strong chance EURUSD could begin another downward move from this zone, as suggested by our earlier chart analysis. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KlejdiCuni
29
EURUSD: Double Top Pattern Ahead of FOMC MeetingEURUSD: Double Top Pattern Ahead of FOMC Meeting EURUSD has formed a possible double top, and price action is now trading below the neckline - an indication of increasing bearish probability. All eyes are on today's FOMC and the interest rate decision. If the Fed signals a rate cut or hints at future easing, this could trigger a sell-off, further validating the bearish scenario. Although the USD has been weak for an extended period, the market may be changing its positioning this time. Even if EURUSD moves higher during the event, the broader setup favors a decline. ⚠️ Trading around major news events is very risky. It's better to wait for clarity after the FOMC before taking any action. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KlejdiCuni
35
EURUSD I Daily CLS I Model 1 I KL - OB I TP 50% CLSYo Market Warriors ⚔️ Fresh outlook drop — if you’ve been riding with me, you already know: 🎯My system is 100% mechanical. No emotions. No trend lines. No subjective guessing. Just precision, structure, and sniper entries.
 🧠 What’s CLS? It’s the real smart money. The invisible hand behind $7T/day — banks, algos, central players. 📍Model 1: HTF bias based on the daily and weekly candles closes,
Wait for CLS candle to be created and manipulated. Switch to correct LTF and spot CIOD. Enter and target 50% of the CLS candle. 
For high probability include Dealing Ranges, Weekly Profiles and CLS Timing.

Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.

Trading is like a sport. If you consistently practice you can learn it. “Adapt what is useful. Reject whats useless and add whats is specifically yours.” David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter 💬 Don't hesitate to ask any questions or share your opinions
Long
by David_Perk
25
Euro bounce from buyer zone and start to move upHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. After a prolonged upward trend which formed a large rising wedge, the EURUSD faced a significant rejection from the seller zone near the 1.1685 resistance level. This failure to continue higher marked a key turning point, exhausting the bullish momentum and initiating a new bearish market phase. This new phase has since taken the form of a well-defined downward channel, within which the price has been undergoing a series of downward corrections and impulses. The most recent market action has been a sharp downward fall, accelerating the price's descent towards a critical area of historical significance. Currently, the pair is approaching the major support level at 1.1400, which also constitutes a strong buyer zone where demand has previously stepped in. The primary working hypothesis is a long, counter-trend scenario, which anticipates that the current bearish momentum will be absorbed by the strong demand within this buyer zone. A confirmed and strong rebound from this 1.1400 support area would signal a potential temporary bottom and the start of a significant upward correction. Therefore, the tp for this rebound is logically set at the 1.1600 level, a key psychological and technical point that represents a realistic first objective for a bounce of this nature. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Long
by LegionQ8
18
EURUSD: Eu Looking to Make Gains Vs Weakened USDWelcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Aug 4 - 8th. In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: EURUSD The USD pushed higher on keeping it's interest rate unchanged, but gave back those gains on weak job numbers. This allowed the EU to recover some of the previous weeks losses and show some resiliency. Now analyst are betting there is a 66% chance for rate cuts in Sept by the Fed. This is negative for the USD, allowing the EURO to move higher. It is worth mentioning, the EU inked a highly criticized tariff deal with the US, which was not at all positive for the currency. The market is at a pivotal area that could go either way. Wait for a definitive break of structure before committing to a bias. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
by RT_Money
27
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to the resistance area 1.17578.Colleagues, the price has made a strong downward movement, which can only mean one thing: the correction is not complete. This means that the latest upward movement is wave “1” of medium order. Therefore, I now expect the correction to end in wave “2” at the 50% Fibonacci level and thean upward movement to continue to at least the resistance level of 1.17578. It is quite possible that after updating the level of 1.15570, the price will immediately begin an upward movement — this is a more risky option for entering a position. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Long
by Hellena_Trade
25
EURO long: The "What If?" tradeHello traders The Euro is showing signs of bottoming out at the weekly support levels against USD, JPY, CAD and AUD. MOST IMPORTANT: USD: While King Dollar is clearly reigning after the FOMC indication not to expect rate cuts any time soon and solid economic data, the "What If" factor is NFP tomorrow and to a minor extent month end settling. If the NFP print comes in significantly lower than expectations, the Euro may pop higher. If the print is above expectations, still take a moment to check where the most jobs are. if it is in hospitality and leisure, it is probably summer hiring. JPY: The BoJ kept rates unchanged. CAD: The loonie is under siege with Trump's renewed 35% tariffs announced today. However, IF Russian sanctions against oil sales come to fruition, the CAD may strengthen. Watch Oil prices. AUD: CPI came in below expectations. PPI has just printed lower too. The Euro Zone's unemployment rate ticked down and German CPI ticked higher. The impact of tariffs seems to be priced in for the moment. The biggest "What If" ? The decision of the Federal Appeals Court if the International Trade Court verdict is upheld. In that case, it is all but guaranteed that it will reach the Supreme Court. IF the Supreme Court declares it unlawful, the USD MAY drop like a lead balloon. The risk assets in these charts are all at right around the weekly 20 SMA. www.tradingview.com Just some food for thought. Let me know what your thoughts are.
Long
by jvrfxalerts
23
Lingrid | EURUSD Confluence Zone: Shorting Opportunity. The price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . FX:EURUSD is pulling back toward a confluence of resistance formed by the broken upward trendline and the descending channel boundary. Price structure suggests a lower high beneath the $1.16081 zone after a sharp sell-off from the July peak. As long as price remains below this resistance and fails to reclaim the $1.16000 level, further downside toward $1.14510 and lower remains likely. Momentum is favoring continued bearish pressure following the recent breakdown. 📉 Key Levels Sell trigger: Rejection from $1.16000 Sell zone: $1.15800 – $1.16081 Target: $1.14510 Invalidation: Break above $1.16081 💡 Risks A confirmed breakout above $1.16081 may invalidate the bearish setup Momentum could stall near $1.15000 and lead to consolidation Support at $1.14510 may attract short-term dip buyers If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Short
by Lingrid
12
Major U.S. News Ahead—Will EURUSD Pivot?Good morning, my friends 👋 Here’s my EURUSD market analysis 📉 Currently, the pair is in a downtrend. I expect this downward move to end around 1.14899 or 1.14536, where a potential buying opportunity may emerge. I personally plan to enter a buy position once price reaches those zones 💼 Also, keep an eye on major U.S. economic reports being released today—they could trigger increased volatility 🔔 Every like you send is a huge source of motivation for me to keep sharing high-quality analysis 🙏 Thanks to everyone supporting the channel 💙
by TraderTilki
22
EUR/USD - Bearish Outlook (05.08.2025)The EUR/USD Pair on the H4 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Days. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.1400 2nd Support – 1.1300 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
11
EURUSD – Retest Failed, Bearish Pressure RemainsHello, what’s your take on FX:EURUSD ? After breaking the trendline, EURUSD attempted a retest but failed. The price is now hovering around 1.142, with selling pressure still evident. This setup targets the 1.618 Fibonacci extension zone around 1.114. In the short term, a correction based on Dow Theory may unfold — the marked area could offer a perfect selling opportunity. 💡 Priority: SELL on RETEST – strict risk management with clear TP and SL. Now it’s your turn — what’s your view? Share it in the comments below. Good luck!
Short
by Kevinn_Nguyen
8
EURUSD – Which Way Will It Break?Hello everyone, what are your thoughts on the EURUSD trend? EURUSD is currently experiencing a Bollinger Bands squeeze, signaling a potential breakout in either direction. The price is trading near the lower limit, hovering around 1.157 , with two potential scenarios unfolding: Bullish scenario: The price could break upward toward 1.172, testing the upper resistance zone. Bearish scenario: If the price falls below the lower limit, it could head towards the sell target at 1.140. 💬 For me, I’m leaning toward FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) and following the sell trend with a target of 1.140. What about you? Let me know your thoughts in the comments below!
by Kevinn_Nguyen
8
EUR/USD Setup Is Ready This is a bullish EUR/USD (Euro/US Dollar) 1-hour chart analysis. The setup indicates a potential upward reversal after a downtrend, supported by a series of higher lows. Key elements: Entry Point: Around 1.14044–1.14376. Stop Loss: Placed below the recent low at 1.12770 to manage risk. Targets: First Target: 1.15034 Second Target: 1.15892 Third Target: 1.17238 The chart suggests a buy setup with a risk-reward strategy, aiming for a breakout and continuation towards higher resistance levels. The large upward arrow emphasizes bullish momentum expectations.
Short
by Forex_Vip_Signals
6