EURUSD so now we have new geopolitical factor on the price of EU, this week could be a choppy one. Overall after U.S. conquer political/financial and who's knows more from Venezuela. Dollar will inevitably go strong from point of Investors as a richer country from what was from today on. Be careful trade safe. P.S: in geopolitical tensions, previous analytical prices matter less than in normal conditions.. Feel free to share you opinions. Have a blessed weekend
EURUSD OMG, we're taking the oil. I can't believe it. Some things never change. As far as the market is concerned, short term catalyst equals market shock but with long term trend returning. The goal here is stable oil prices. The option to effect supply. Market shock imo will be geopolitical flight to dollar. Great for position traders to enter long then returning pressure on dxy through 2026.
๐ Analysis Approach Iโm applying a developed version of Smart Money Concepts, with a structured focus on: โข Identifying Key Points of Interest (POIs) on Higher Time Frames (HTFs) ๐ฐ๏ธ โข Using those POIs to define a clear and controlled trading range ๐ โข Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) ๐ โข Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) as confirmation โ This process keeps me precise, disciplined, and aligned with market narrative, rather than reacting emotionally or chasing price.
๐ก My Motto โCapital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge.โ A positive risk-to-reward ratio, combined with a high-probability execution model, is the backbone of any sustainable trading plan ๐๐
โ ๏ธ On Losses Losses are part of the mathematical reality of trading ๐ฒ They donโt define you โ they are necessary, expected, and managed. We acknowledge them, learn, and move forward ๐โก๏ธ
๐ I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Further context and supporting material can be found in the Links section.
Stay sharp ๐ง Stay consistent ๐ฏ Protect your capital ๐
EURUSD Please note that this completed its 50 day cycle on 24th Dec, it may have started its decline, heading to, on or around the 21st Jan to make either a LL or LH, Monday will confirm if its headed backup for a 60 day cycle and then reverse. My thoughts only, I had 12 previous dates for 2025 that were 98% on point. Please trade safe.
* **Market Structure:** Overall **downtrend** remains intact (Supertrend still bearish). * **Current Price Area:** Trading around **1.1720โ1.1730**. * **Key Support Zone:** **1.1710 โ 1.1720** Strong demand area where price is currently reacting. * **Immediate Resistance:** **1.1738 โ 1.1745** Minor intraday resistance / pullback level. * **Major Resistance Zone:** **1.1758 โ 1.1765** Strong supply zone and previous rejection area.
### Scenarios
* **Bullish Pullback Scenario:** If price **holds above 1.1710 support**, a corrective move is likely toward **1.1740**, and extended upside could test **1.1760โ1.1765**. * **Bearish Continuation Scenario:** If **1.1710 breaks**, bearish momentum may resume toward **1.1695 โ 1.1685**.
### Bias
* **Short-term:** Cautious bullish bounce from support * **Overall trend:** **Bearish** unless price reclaims and holds above **1.1765**
This looks like a **support-based pullback setup within a broader downtrend**, best suited for quick intraday trades with confirmation.
EURUSD i will take holdiay and backtest on another user id so will be less active here asap will start posting knowledgeable ideas , thanks a lot for connecting call tips stands for one day but knowledge shapes you as a trader