GBPUSD: Overextended move meets with supportAfter a steep and aggressive sell-off, price has tapped into a clear zone. This recent move wasn't gradual: it was impulsive and sharp, which tells us one key thing: exhaustion is likely.
The overextension into it without any meaningful pullback typically highlights imbalance, where price moves ahead of structure and becomes vulnerable to correction. But price doesn’t move in straight lines forever. Markets that fall too quickly tend to burn out just as fast. When such aggressive pushes meet with a clean, resistance like this one, they often trigger the exact opposite, a snapback correction.
I am now watching for signs of absorption and accumulation. This could play out in the form of sideways candles, wick rejections, or a sudden reversal spike. These are early signs that smart money might be stepping in.
My projected target would be toward the 1.33700 area, from the last impulsive drop. It’s a classic mean reversion setup, not just technical but psychological. Traders who chased the move late may find themselves trapped, fueling the correction as they’re forced to exit.
GBPUSD trade ideas
Support & Resistance – Quick Guide In 5 StepsSupport and resistance are key concepts in technical analysis that help traders identify where price is likely to react.
Support acts like a floor — a level where buying interest is strong enough to prevent further declines.
Resistance acts like a ceiling — a level where selling pressure can stop price from rising.
These zones often lead to bounces, reversals, or breakouts, and are used to plan entries, exits, and stop-losses.
How to Identify them:
1. Assess the chart.
2. Identify Swing Points: Look for repeated highs/lows and label them. (Flags)
3. Multiple touches: Highlight the zones with multiple touches. 2+ Touches are stronger.
4. Define: Clearly define the zones. Above is resistance, below is support.
5. Entry: When price makes it way down to support, wait for the reversal. Upon reversal enter on the low time confirmation. Ensure price has failed to break below the support.
Then set TP to the previous High/Resistance zone.
Tips:
Always treat S&R as zones, not exact lines.
Combine with trend, candlestick patterns, or volume for better confluences.
Avoid trading into strong S/R — wait for breaks or retests.
GBPUSD Technical Overview GBPUSD Technical Overview
GBPUSD recently peaked at 1.3790, aligning with a key historical resistance zone from October 2021. On the Daily Chart, this move completed a significant bearish pattern, suggesting the potential for further downside.
Over the last 7 trading sessions, the pair has declined nearly 400 pips, moving decisively lower.
Given the steep drop, a technical correction may be on the horizon before GBPUSD potentially resumes its bearish trajectory, as indicated by the current chart setup.
If NFP data can be strong today, GBPUSD could extend to the first target 1.3100 or 1.3000 as shown in the chart.
Overall, GBPUSD looks like it has started a downtrend.
Let's see how the price will unfolds.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
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GBPUSD – Bearish Bounce Loading?Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈GBPUSD has been overall bearish trading within the falling channel marked in red and it is currently in a correction phase.
Moreover, the blue zone is a strong supply.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #GBPUSD approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBP/USD Bearish Wedge Breakdown Setup Targeting 1.31873This is a 1-hour GBP/USD chart showing a bearish setup. Price is currently at resistance (1.32719) within a rising wedge pattern. Multiple black arrows suggest potential bearish breakdown scenarios targeting 1.31873, with a deeper drop possible toward 1.31410. The red path indicates a less likely bullish fakeout before reversal.
GBPUSD: Bullish Ahead of BOE Rate Decision!GBPUSD: Bullish Ahead of BOE Rate Decision!
Since yesterday, GBPUSD has started a short-term upward move, driven by the tariff mess and the potential impact it could have on major economies. At least those are the ones who will be facing these moves.
On the other hand, the market is predicting a rate cut by the FED in September and this could be another reason why the USD is weak so far. It may not make much sense, but that is the situation.
GBPUSD is in a good position to rise further, however today we have the Bank of England interest rate decision. Market participants expect the Bank of England to cut rates by 25 basis points to 4% versus the current 4.25%. The impact on the market remains unclear in my opinion.
It is a bullish situation with the Bank of England ahead. There is a high risk.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBP/USD 4H Chart – Head and Shoulders Breakdown with Bearish Currency Pair: GBP/USD (British Pound vs US Dollar)
Timeframe: 4-Hour (4H)
Platform: TradingView
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🔍 Pattern Identified:
Head and Shoulders Pattern
Left Shoulder, Head, and Right Shoulder are marked.
The neckline is broken, confirming a bearish trend reversal.
The trendline from March to June was also broken, supporting a downtrend.
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📍 Current Price (at screenshot time):
Around 1.32778
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🎯 Sell Setup – Target Levels:
🔻 First Target:
Price: 1.30072
Labelled: "1st TARGET POINT"
This is a near-term support level or conservative projection of the Head and Shoulders move.
🔻 Second Target:
Price: 1.28023
Labelled: "2nd TARGET POINT"
This is a deeper target, likely the full measured move of the pattern.
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📈 Entry & Risk Management:
Suggested Sell Entry Zone: Around 1.32778
Stop-Loss (SL): Consider placing above the Right Shoulder area (around 1.3350–1.3380)
Take-Profit (TP):
TP1: 1.30072
TP2: 1.2802
GBP/USD: Sell setup shaping upHey everyone, what’s your take on GBP/USD right now?
After breaking below the trendline, GBP/USD tried to retest the area but failed to hold. Price is now hovering around 1.329, and the selling pressure is still clearly present.
This current setup is aiming toward the Fibonacci 1.618 extension zone around 1.287. In the short term, a pullback could play out based on Dow Theory, and the highlighted zone might offer a prime shorting opportunity.
My bias: SELL on the retest — with tight risk management, clear TP and SL in place.
Now it’s your turn — what’s your outlook? Drop your thoughts in the comments below.
Good luck and trade smart! 💼📉
GBPUSD shows signs of a potential recoveryGBPUSD shows signs of a potential recovery towards the resistance zone. This price action indicates a possible short-term reversal or consolidation phase. We are currently observing for confirmation signals such as:
These could signal a build-up for a move back toward the key resistance at 1.34400. Traders should stay alert for price behaviour near this level as it may act as a turning point or breakout trigger.
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of luck buddies.
Ps: Support with like and comments like for better analysis.
GBP/USD pair on a 4H timeframMy analyzing the GBP/USD pair on a 4H timeframe using the Ichimoku Cloud and Volume Profile (Visible Range), along with marked support and resistance zones. From this image, I can guide you with a target price level, but you'll need to validate with price action confirmation.
Observations:
1. Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo):
Price is currently trading above the cloud, indicating a bullish bias.
However, the cloud ahead is thin and flat, suggesting weak support if a pullback happens.
DeGRAM | GBPUSD is forming the falling wedge📊 Technical Analysis
● GBPUSD is attempting a reversal from the lower boundary of a descending channel after forming a short-term double-bottom near 1.3138.
● Price is now climbing toward 1.3258 resistance, supported by bullish divergence and a break of the local falling wedge.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● The USD is under pressure ahead of key NFP data, as ISM manufacturing misses weighed on Treasury yields.
● Positive UK PMI and consumer lending data have supported GBP, with BoE policy expectations firming above neutral.
✨ Summary
Long bias above 1.3138. Breakout targets 1.3258 ➜ 1.3423. Setup valid while price holds above 1.3110 support.
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Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
GBPUSD: The Bears Have it! Sell it!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Aug 4 - 8th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market:
GBPUSD
Even against a weakened USD, the GBP is weaker.
July ended with an aggressive bearish candle. August may see more of the same.
Then there is talk of interest rate cuts coming.....
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
GBPUSD – Trendline Broken, More Downside Ahead?Hello traders! What’s your take on GBPUSD?
The GBP/USD pair has broken below its long-term ascending trendline and is now trading beneath a key resistance zone. After a failed breakout at the newly formed trendline, price quickly reversed and dropped sharply.
This resistance zone previously acted as a strong support level but has now been flipped to resistance. If price fails to reclaim this area during the next pullback, the bearish outlook will be further confirmed.
💬 Do you think GBPUSD will bounce from the 1.32 region, or will it continue falling toward the lower targets? Share your thoughts below!
GBP/USD - Head & Shoulders Pattern | Daily Chart Analysis📌 Pair: GBP/USD
📅 Date: August 5, 2025
⏰ Timeframe: 1D (Daily)
💡 Pattern: Classic Head & Shoulders
🔍 Key Concept: Smart Money Concepts – Fair Value Gap (FVG), Pattern Trading
🧠 Technical Breakdown:
A Head & Shoulders pattern has been clearly formed on the daily chart, suggesting a potential trend reversal from bullish to bearish.
Left Shoulder: Formed in mid-June after a strong bullish move.
Head: Created a new high in early July, forming the peak.
Right Shoulder: Confirmed in late July with a lower high.
Neckline: Broken at around 1.32700, confirming the bearish structure.
Fair Value Gap (FVG) Zone:
📌 FVG Zone marked between 1.33849 - 1.34536
This area is expected to act as strong resistance, aligning with the right shoulder supply zone. Price may retrace into this FVG before continuing lower.
🎯 Bearish Target:
🟢 Next support target: 1.27839, aligning with previous structure support and potential liquidity pool.
GBPUSD SWING: SHORT OPPORTUNITYHi there,
Of all the USD pairs, I think GBPUSD is the weakest and I speculate lower prices.
At the very least, to hunt the equal lows the market created by not taking the previous low just before the monthly FVG. That action is suspect - it will induce buyers and drop more shorts on them.
Anyways, watch out for my next post.
Cheers,
Jabari
GBPUSD slipping fast – Is 1.30 the next magnet?Hey traders, what’s your take on GBPUSD today?
Overall, the pair is deepening its bearish trend after losing the key 1.3400 level. At the time of writing, GBPUSD is hovering around 1.3272 with no signs of a short-term bottom in sight.
The main catalyst for this drop is the strong bullish momentum of the U.S. dollar. A series of upbeat U.S. economic data – including jobs reports, personal consumption expenditures (PCE), and consumer confidence – all exceeded expectations, fueling USD strength. Meanwhile, the Bank of England (BoE) remains cautious amid slowing growth and cooling inflation, offering little support for the pound.
From a technical perspective, momentum has clearly shifted in favor of the bears. Price remains pressured below both the 34 and 89 EMAs, confirming strong downside momentum. The previous break below the rising trendline and failure to hold above the prior support zone – around the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement – further supports the ongoing bearish bias.
Looking ahead, if the selling pressure continues and the current support gives way, GBPUSD could fall toward the 1.272 Fibonacci extension at 1.3129. If that level fails to hold, 1.3004 (Fibo 1.618) becomes the next key downside target. These are crucial zones to monitor for potential price reactions in the coming sessions.
In short, the probability of further downside is higher than a meaningful recovery. With both technical and macro forces favoring the bears, GBPUSD may remain under pressure in the days ahead – unless a strong catalyst from the UK emerges to shift sentiment. What’s your outlook on this scenario? Let’s discuss in the comments below!
GBPUSD DAILY ANALYSISOn the daily timeframe, GU is currently bearish but right now, it is retracing to a bearish FVG, and i think it wants to complete a 50% fib retracement level before it continues to the downside.
i am expecting my first point of engagement with the market shorts to be at level 1.33662, if that level fails, i will try shorting at 1.34533 and at 1.35308...
Lingrid | GBPUSD Shorting Opportunity At Confluence ZoneThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . FX:GBPUSD is climbing toward the key confluence zone between the downward channel resistance and the 1.34418 horizontal level. The broader trend remains bearish, with repeated lower highs and clear rejection patterns near trendline resistance. A rejection at 1.34418 could trigger another leg lower toward the 1.32500 zone. As long as the pair remains under the red trendline, bearish continuation remains in play.
📉 Key Levels
Sell trigger: Rejection near 1.34418
Sell zone: 1.34418–1.34500
Target: 1.32500
Invalidation: Break and close above 1.34500
💡 Risks
A strong breakout above 1.34500 may flip the structure into bullish
Macro news events could override technical rejection zones
Sideways movement near resistance may reduce clarity of setup
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!