HBARUSD lost its 1W MA200 also. Collapse imminent.Hedera (HBARUSD) is about to close its 1W candle below the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since November 11 2024. This is a huge development as this has been its long-term Support, which even though it broke on 3 separate occasions in 2025, it ever closed a week below it and always recovered with a strong rally.
If this time it fails, then the Bear Cycle will be confirmed 100% (pretty much is) and will move on into its 2nd Phase, in a similar way as the 2021/22 Bear Cycle did. As you can see, both Cycles are almost identical, with virtually indistinguishable 1W RSI Falling Wedge patterns (both starting after a 88.50 Resistance rejection).
They are both parts of a multi-year Triangle pattern, which in 2022 bottomed on its Higher Lows trend-line on the 0.9 Fibonacci retracement level (also just above the 2.0 Fib extension measured from the second High). This time both Fibs are almost on the same level, which gives us a minimum Target for this Bear Cycle at 0.0530.
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