USD/CHF - Trendline Rejection (10.11.2025)📊 Setup Overview : FX:USDCHF
USD/CHF continues to respect the descending trendline and Ichimoku cloud resistance, signaling potential downside pressure. Price is currently retesting the resistance zone (0.8070–0.8085) — a strong supply area that has rejected multiple times.As long as this zone holds, we expect a move toward the next support zones.
🧭 Trade Plan
Bias: 🔻 Sell / Short-term Bearish
Entry Zone: 0.8060 – 0.8080 (wait for confirmation candle or rejection)
Target 1 (1st Support): 0.8015
Target 2 (2nd Support): 0.7995
Invalidation: Break and close above 0.8085 (Resistance Zone)
⚡ Fundamental Updates
1️⃣ U.S. Treasury yields eased slightly as consumer confidence declined.
2️⃣ Markets now price a 66% chance of a rate cut in December, according to CME’s FedWatch Tool.
3️⃣ U.S. government shutdown concerns keep the dollar under mild pressure as investors watch debt issuance risk.
💬 Summary
A clear trendline rejection combined with fundamental USD weakness supports a short bias.
Wait for confirmation before entering — patience protects capital.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
Always do your own research and manage risk wisely.
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Trade ideas
USDCHF I Monthly CLS I Model 1 I Target 50% of the rangeHi friends, new range created. As always we are looking for the manipulation in to the key level around the range. Don't forget confirmation switch from manipulation phase to the distribution phase to make the setup valid. Stay patient and enter only after change in order flow. If price reaches 50% of the range take partial or full close.
🧩 Complete proces and Strategy explained 👇 Click Below
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NO Fixed Mechanical Trading Logic - You are guessing random patterns
NO Defined trading plan - Every trade different logic
NO Same logic in each trade - Not possible to backtest
NO Backtests on at least 300 trades - Not knowing Statistics
➡️ No Statistics ➡️ No Edge ➡️ Mindset ProblemS
🧠 Core of mindset problems
If you don't know your statistics on large enough data sample. You don't know your probabilities of win rate once the losing streak happen and it happens to every strategy. You will start doubting, hesitating to take next trade because you don't know statistics of your losses. In the end you will be doubting strategy and then jump to different one. You will be in the endless loop for years, looking for new better strategy. 👊 Your ultimate goal as a trader is not to be a generalist who knows 10 000 patterns. But rather create one system with narrowed criteria of each element of the trade to remove subjective and emotional decisions as much as possible and stick to this system no matter what. Practice it 10 000 times become a MASTER.
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Have a longterm plan, No Alcohol & Drugs, Ignore others, Focus on your journey , Backtest regularly, Review your weeks, Journal mistakes, Exercise, Sleep well, Read books, Walks in nature (no phone) , Meditate, Reduce social media time, Spend time with family, Live Life.
Trading is hard, but not impossible. I believe in you 💪
David Perk aka Dave Fx Hunter
Continuation short for UC after good liquidity grabPrice grab liquidity making this trade idea valid. Fibonacci from our high point to low point, Price tag us in the trade and after a couple of minutes when straight to our Break Even Point.
After that price went back to our entry price taking us out with a BE and continuation to the down side
USDCHF → Manipulation? False breakout of resistance FX:USDCHF attempted to take advantage of the trend reversal opportunity after breaking out of a descending wedge, but the weak dollar hindered the rally...
The currency pair is facing resistance at 0.8076. There is no continuation of the momentum towards a breakout, and bearish pressure, which is intensifying as the dollar index declines, is negatively affecting the currency pair. The price has returned to the trading range, with an emphasis on 0.8057 - 0.8076. If the bears keep the price below this zone, this move could trigger further sell-offs.
Resistance levels: 0.8057, 0.8076
Support levels: 0.7957, 0.7925
The false breakout confirms that sellers currently have the upper hand and buyers lack the strength to push the price higher. Accordingly, consolidation below the key level could trigger a further decline towards the zone of interest at 0.7975.
Best regards, R. Linda!
USDCHF - 4H - Weekly Analysis (10-Nov - 14-Nov-25)Market Structure
The trend recently shifted bullish, but price is now in a pullback correction.
Stochastic is oversold and beginning to turn upward, meaning buyers may step back in soon.
Key support below is 0.7960 – 0.7980 — this is where buyers previously entered strongly.
So next week, we wait for price to dip, then we BUY the dip, not chase the market.
Key Levels
Zone / Price Range / Meaning
Buy Zone (Primary) / 0.7980 – 0.8010 / Best price to enter BUY
Buy Zone (Secondary / deeper pullback) / 0.7945 – 0.7960 / If price dips further
Resistance / TP1 / 0.8070 – 0.8085 / First target
Resistance / TP2 / 0.8125 – 0.8150 / Main profit zone
✅ Primary Trade Setup (High-Probability Buy)
BUY LIMIT: 0.7980 – 0.8010
STOP LOSS: 0.7940
TAKE PROFIT 1: 0.8075
TAKE PROFIT 2: 0.8140
Why this setup is strong:
Buying at demand, not chasing price.
Trend pullback entry → high reward / low risk.
SL is below structure, away from stop hunts.
Risk/Reward around 1:3 to 1:4.
🟡 Secondary Setup (Only if price dips further)
BUY LIMIT: 0.7945 – 0.7960
STOP LOSS: 0.7905
TAKE PROFIT: 0.8015 → 0.8075 → 0.8140
This is the deep discount entry (smart money accumulation zone).
🎯 Expected Price Movement Next Week
Early week: pullback to 0.8010 – 0.7980
Mid-week: bullish recovery toward 0.8075
Later week: continuation toward 0.8140
🚫 When NOT to Trade
Avoid entries if price stays between: 0.8030 – 0.8060
This is neutral chop zone — no edge.
We only act at Buy Zones.
🏁 Quick Execution Card (Save This)
Main Buy Setup
Entry: 0.7980 – 0.8010
SL: 0.7940
TP1: 0.8075
TP2: 0.8140
Deep Buy Setup
Entry: 0.7945 – 0.7960
SL: 0.7905
TP: 0.8015 → 0.8075 → 0.8140
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?USD/CHF is rising towards the resistance level, which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8065
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 0.8122
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance level.
Take profit: 0.8003
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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PREPARING TO TAKE THIS MARKET LONGUSD/CHF 4H - With this market my eyes on looking for the next setup to take it long. This is because price has shown clear signs of longer term bullishness via breaks in structure on the higher timeframes.
We took full advantage of this market not so long ago and I am looking to take advantage of it again, we just need to wait patiently for price to deliver us with the right confirmation before we execute.
Once price has traded us lower, clearing the area of interest below I am expecting enough Demand to be introduced to give us the confluence needed in order to take this market long.
We want to see price break structure to the upside once price trades into this zone, giving us that confluence, it tells us that enough Demand has been picked up to flip the balance, giving us the opportunity to enter.
USD/CHF – Building the LaunchpadAfter a clean impulse higher, USD/CHF is dipping right into the zone where demand was born — the BC + WCL overlap , sitting on top of the daily imbalance .
This area (around 0.7975 ) feels like the kind of zone where price takes a breath before the next leg.
As long as 0.7923 holds, I’m hunting for longs toward 0.8270–0.8300 .
That’s the HTF target and the last unmitigated supply area above.
If the zone cracks, I’ll let it go — no need to fight the flow.
Solid structure, clean logic, fair R:R. Let’s see if the launchpad fires.
Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
USDCHF H1 | Bullish Reversal off Key SupportMomentum: Bullish
Price is currently above the ichimoku cloud on the H4 timeframe. Looking to trade off the reversal.
Buy entry: 0.8007
- Strong overlap support
- 61.8% Fib retracement
- 161.8% FIb extension
Stop Loss: 0.7975
- Overlap support
Take Profit: 0.8036
- Pullback resistance
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
USDCHF SHORTAlright so on USDCHF what we’re seeing here is price tapping into that institutional zone up around 0.8090-0.8110 where smart money is unloading longs and flipping distribution, that whole push up was basically engineered to run buy-side liquidity and fill sell orders at premium. Now that we’ve taken the highs, we’re seeing exhaustion and this is where you look for the shift back down. The pink line is your institutional control level, if we reject that and hold below, the order flow flips bearish and the next move is down into that blue zone which is the discount draw on liquidity. So the play is literally wait for confirmation under that level, then you’re targeting that lower demand area, no reason to look for longs while we’re trading below that premium distribution line because smart money is clearly selling into the top of the move.
Lingrid | USDCHF Bearish Extension Expected Sell SignalFX:USDCHF is pulling back from the previous higher high and retesting the broken structure from above, signaling fading bullish momentum. The chart shows price sliding back toward the upward trendline while forming a lower-timeframe corrective structure under the 0.8000 zone. A clean rejection from 0.8000 could trigger the expected bearish extension toward the 0.7940 support. Overall, structure points to a sell bias as long as price remains below the resistance block.
⚠️ Risks:
A breakout and H4 close above 0.8000 would invalidate the bearish setup.
Strong USD flows from upcoming US data may fuel a bullish recovery.
A bounce from the trendline could shift bias back to consolidation instead of continuation lower.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Bullish reversal off 61.8% Fibonacci support?USD/CHF is reacting off a support level, which serves as a pullback support aligning with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. The pair could potentially rise from this level toward our take-profit target.
Entry: 0.7969
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop Loss: 0.7925
There is a swing-low support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take Profit: 0.8046
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDCHF continue its Bearish TrendAfter the Forex InvestoGenie score of CHF +15.99, it indicates strong strength in CHF, while the USD score of -47.55 shows clear weakness in USD.
Based on this alignment, USD/CHF continues its bearish trend, forming simple Lower Highs (LHs) and Lower Lows (LLs), confirming continued downside momentum.
USDCHF H4 | Bearish Reversal Off Pullback ResistanceMomentum: Bearish
Price is currently reacting to a sell entry at a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Sell Entry: 0.8068 (Pullback resistance, 38.2% Fibonacci retracement
Stop Loss: 0.8125
Swing high resistance
Take Profit: 0.8007
Overlap support, slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
USD/CHF (2h timeframe)..USD/CHF (2h timeframe), here’s what I can interpret:
The chart shows a descending move after a peak around 0.9100, followed by a break below the Ichimoku cloud (bearish signal).
There’s a trendline drawn from previous swing lows that the price has recently broken.
The support zone around 0.8000 has been retested as resistance (classic breakdown–retest setup).
A blue arrow points downward toward a labeled Target Point, suggesting a projected bearish continuation.
From my markings, the target point appears to be around 0.78300 — this seems to be your projected take-profit zone based on the measured move.
✅ Summary:
Entry: Around 0.8000 (after retest)
Current Price: ≈ 0.7992
Target: 0.7830
Stop Loss (suggested): Above 0.8030–0.8050 (above the retest zone)
That gives about a 1:2 risk-reward ratio, assuming a ~20 pip stop and ~160 pip target.
USDCHF LONG Market structure bullish on HTFs DW
Entry at Both Weekly And Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at my AOi
Previous Weekly Structure Point
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Daily Structure Point
Daily EMA retest
Around Psychological Level 0.80000
H4 Candlestick rejection
TP: WHO KNOWS!
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
USDCHF Testing the key resistance a potential decline downsideThe USD/CHF pair is attempting to establish an uptrend; however, the weakness in the U.S. dollar continues to limit upside momentum. Price action is currently testing a key resistance area, and a potential decline from this level is being monitored.
Technically, the price momentum suggests a possible breakout scenario, but bearish pressure is intensifying as reflected in the broader Dollar Index (DXY) performance. If USD/CHF fails to sustain above the resistance zone and the RSI moves below its neutral range, it could trigger further downside movement.
A false breakout appears to be forming, and consolidation below key levels could accelerate selling pressure. In this case, the pair may target the 0.80006 and 0.79003 support levels in the near term.
You may find more details in the chart,
Trade wisely best of Luck Buddies.
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Evening Doji Star Sets On USDCHF, Price To FollowOn Wednesday, November 5th, Price on OANDA:USDCHF rose and tested the Resistance Level that's been overhead since August. Today with the decline in price on the Daily, suggests that we are looking at a very strong 3 Candlestick Pattern, the Evening Star Doji!
The Evening Star Doji is a Bearish Reversal Candlestick Pattern consisting of 3 candles: first being a large Bullish candle, second is a Doji candle representing the indecision between Bulls and Bears then followed by the 3rd candle being a large Bearish Candle, meaning Bears have overcome the Bulls.
Now if Price really is to reverse, the following candle after this pattern is formed should be a Bearish one, considering the Confirmation candle will confirm the reversal in price and continue to fall!






















