Lingrid | USDCHF Potential Continuation of Current TrendFX:USDCHF remains capped below a well-defined descending trendline, with price printing lower highs and failing to regain the former range support near 0.7900. The recent push higher looks corrective in nature, as momentum continues to fade each time price tests the trendline from below.
If price stalls again inside this supply zone, bearish pressure may resume toward the 0.7862 support area, where prior demand and the lower boundary align. Until buyers reclaim the trendline with strength, downside continuation remains the preferred path.
➡️ Primary scenario: rejection near 0.7900 → move toward 0.7862
⚠️ Risk scenario: firm acceptance above the trendline invalidates the sell setup and shifts bias neutral
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
U.S. Dollar / Swiss Franc
No trades
Market insights
USDCHF at a Key Range | Breakdown or BreakoutHello and welcome to all TradingView traders 👋
I hope you’re having profitable and successful trades 📈
Today, I’m sharing a comprehensive analysis of USD/CHF, which is currently trading around key technical levels and may offer interesting trading opportunities.
📌 General Overview of USDCHF
The USD/CHF pair is widely known as a safe-haven currency pair.
At the moment, considering the broader macroeconomic environment:
🔴 From a fundamental perspective:
Based on recent news and market expectations, the US dollar is generally losing strength.
Factors such as interest rate cut expectations, weaker economic data, and reduced demand for the dollar have shifted market attention toward safer currencies like the Swiss Franc.
📉 Long-Term Trend Analysis
Looking at higher timeframes (Weekly & Daily):
🔻 The overall market structure remains bearish
Clear lower highs and lower lows are visible
Price is still trading below the long-term descending trendline
➡️ As long as this structure remains intact, the dominant bias stays bearish (sell-side).
📦 Current Market Condition (Daily Range)
On the daily timeframe:
🟡 Price is currently moving inside a well-defined range
Upper boundary acting as resistance
Lower boundary acting as support
The market is in a consolidation phase, waiting for a clear directional decision.
📐 Key Technical Levels & Chart Explanation
🔹 Resistance Zone:
A strong area where price has been rejected multiple times, aligned with the descending trendline
🔹 Support Zone:
The lower boundary of the daily range; a confirmed break could trigger stronger downside momentum
🔹 Descending Trendline:
Each interaction with this trendline may offer potential sell opportunities
🎯 Trading Scenarios
🔵 Scenario 1: Range Trading
Buy near support ⬆️
Sell near resistance ⬇️
Suitable for range traders
⚠️ Always place stop loss outside the range
🔴 Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown (Support Break)
If price confirms a daily close below support:
📉
Continuation of the bearish trend
Lower targets become active
Pullbacks toward the broken support may provide sell entries
🟢 Scenario 3: Bullish Breakout (Resistance Break)
If price confirms a strong daily close above resistance:
📈
Short-term corrective move or potential trend shift
Higher targets come into play
Prefer entries after a pullback for better risk-to-reward
⚠️ Risk Management
✔️ Do not trade without confirmation
✔️ Use proper position sizing
✔️ Always wait for the daily candle close
❗ Disclaimer
This analysis reflects personal opinion only and is not financial advice.
All trading decisions are made at your own risk 🧠💼
📊 What’s Your View?
Which side do you think USDCHF will break from the range? 🤔
🔼 Upside breakout
🔽 Downside breakdown
💬 Share your thoughts in the comments
🔖 Tags:
#USDCHF #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction
#RangeTrading #Breakout #FundamentalAnalysis
#TradingView #SmartMoney #RiskManagement
Trapp or not What we will see 2026! USD-CHFLet’s be clear:
CHF = safety
USD = confidence
CAPITALCOM:USDCHF
Right now?
Confidence is… selective. US politics still noisy: elections, fiscal pressure, debt, geopolitics.
Market reaction? Simple, when uncertainty rises, money hides in CHF. Switzerland doesn’t shout. SNB doesn’t panic. CHF just stays strong and lets others make mistakes.
That’s why every USD rally feels fragile.
Technical side
Now the chart says the same thing, just without words.
0.79–0.80 = political + technical resistance
This zone is where:
late bulls enter
smart money distributes
And the price starts hesitating.
What price is telling us??? This move up is not impulsive.
No expansion. No clean higher highs. That’s correction behavior, not trend reversal.
Scenario 1 – Most likely
Price tests 0.79–0.80
Politicians talk
Market shrugs rejection!!!
Then:
0.785 breaks
0.78 tested
Below 0.78 → momentum accelerates
Market loves to punish impatience.
Scenario 2– 0.70 story
Not today.
Not tomorrow.
But if:
US political risk increases
Global risk-off returns
0.77 breaks structurally
Then yes…
0.72 → 0.70 becomes a technical destination, not a prediction.
CHF doesn’t need permission.
My Idea
Below 0.80 → I stay suspicious
Politics creates volatility, structure decides direction
I don’t marry narratives, I follow levels
Calm CHF. Nervous USD.
Market patience wins again.
Trade what you see. Ignore what they promise.
Inverse H&S Transition Into Ascending Channel (Structure Study)Educational Market Structure Observation
This chart highlights an unusual and relatively rare structural alignment in price behavior.
At the core of this observation is an Inverse Head & Shoulders–like formation , where two heads appear within the structure , developing inside an ascending channel that continues to print higher highs and higher lows.
Rather than presenting a classic textbook pattern, this structure shows how real market behavior can blend multiple concepts at once.
What adds further significance is the location :
• Price is interacting with a strong daily support zone
• The zone has produced four clear rejections
• This support originates as far back as early July , demonstrating long-term relevance
• The most recent reaction includes a spinning bottom candle , reflecting temporary balance and hesitation between buyers and sellers
From a structural perspective, this environment illustrates how markets can remain constructive while simultaneously showing signs of compression and uncertainty.
Key Structural Elements Observed
• Ascending channel maintaining higher structure
• Inverse Head & Shoulders–like formation with atypical symmetry
• Multiple reactions from a long-standing daily support zone
• Candlestick behavior suggesting equilibrium rather than aggression
Educational Insight
This example is shared to demonstrate that:
• Market structure is rarely perfect
• Multiple patterns can coexist without invalidating each other
• Context and location matter more than pattern labels
• Candlesticks reflect participation, not guarantees
📘 Ethical & Educational Notice
This content is shared strictly for educational and analytical purposes, based on historical price data.
It does not promote or encourage trading, speculation, short selling, leverage, margin usage, interest-based activity, or any financial behavior.
The goal is to study market structure and price behavior only.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This post does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or trading instructions.
No outcomes, profits, or future results are implied or guaranteed.
All decisions remain the sole responsibility of the reader and should align with their own ethical, legal, and religious principles.
USDCHF - Buy the Retrace?Daily Chart
The daily structure on USDCHF remains bearish, both in the swing view and the fractal view. Price is currently testing a daily FVG, but this zone feels weak considering there is another daily bullish FVG below, aligned with an untested daily BB. That deeper zone is where I would ideally like to see price react to the downside from in the future.
For now, price just swept the equal lows resting beneath and immediately reacted to the upside — a potential sign of short-term relief before any continuation lower.
4H Chart
On the 4H chart, we don’t get many standout signals — however, we can clearly see a shift in fractal structure. Notably, the previous bearish fractal break appears to have been a liquidity play, as the very next candle shifted the structure back to bullish.
From my perspective, this opens the door for a countertrend long, with my entry positioned around the 0.50 retracement of the current bullish 4H fractal structure.
My SL is placed below the protected low that already swept liquidity, and my TP sits at 2R, aligned with the 4H BB.
Risk: 0.5%, since:
it’s a countertrend setup,
DXY is choppy and not strongly bullish,
and we still have a daily bearish FVG overhead.
Could we see a bounce from here?The USD/CHF could fall towards the support level, which serves as a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement, and then bounce from this level to our take-profit.
Entry: 0.7895
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with ht e 50% Fibonacci retracement
Stop loss: 0.7871
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.7933
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDCHF: Wave structure at a trend forkUSDCHF: Wave structure at a trend fork
USDCHF Wave Overview (D1 and H4)
As a trader who has been practicing wave analysis for over ten years, I note that the USDCHF pair is currently demonstrating the completion of an extended corrective formation and is poised to form a new impulse.
Chart D1: The global picture indicates that the market is ending a sideways phase. The wave structure appears to be the end of a corrective sequence, which serves as the foundation for the next trend movement.
Chart H4: Local dynamics confirm the formation of key entry points. Here, the first signs of an impulse are visible, which could mark the beginning of a larger wave.
Main Scenario
After the completion of the corrective phase, a downward impulse sequence is expected to develop. This movement will be accompanied by increased seller activity and a gradual shift in priority to the downside.
Alternative Scenario
If the price holds above recent highs and forms a stable upward impulse structure, the priority will shift to continued growth. In this case, the correction will be considered incomplete, and the pair may experience a further rebound.
Trading Idea
Conservative approach: wait for confirmation of a breakout of key levels and enter with the trend.
Aggressive approach: use local impulses on H4 for earlier entries, but with tight stops.
In both cases, it is important to maintain strict risk management and adjust the plan as new impulses emerge.
Results
USDCHF is at the transition point between a correction and a new impulse. The wave structure on D1 and H4 provides clear guidelines for trading: watch for confirmation of the scenario and act with discipline.
USDCHF Is Very Bullish! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for USDCHF.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 0.788.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 0.796 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
USDCHFThinking too much often leads to hesitation,sometimes it’s better to just react. When price reacts at certain areas, you need to be in sync with what’s happening. At times, we wait for confirmation that may never come. I believe this is a good trade setup with a 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio. Simple and clear.
USDCHF - Bullish BiasHTF (4H) structure remains bullish, printing the same tape as last week — nothing has changed. Bulls remain in control as price was driven into a strong internal structure OB after taking out major IDM.
On the 30M, price has mitigated the OB with strong reaction off the wick, showing respect for the zone and confirming participation through volume.
LTF (5M): market structure shifts are forming, but after the initial sweep, probability isn’t fully aligned yet. I’m watching for deeper discounted territory and cleaner alignment across timeframes before engaging. All prior OBs have been mitigated — now it’s about patience and confirmation.
Until everything syncs up, I’m waiting.
Patience is key.
Tracking is the edge.
Let’s go. 🔥
USDCHF H1 | Bullish BounceBased on the H1 chart analysis, we can see the price fall to our buy entry level at 0.7880, which is a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 0.7906, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Our stop loss is set at 0.7863, which is a pullback support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?Swissie (USD/CHF) is rising towards the pivot, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.7945
1st Support: 0.7891
1st Resistance: 0.7979
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
USDCHF H1 | Bearish Reversal Off Pullback ResistanceThe price is rising towards our sell entry level at 0.7937, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Our stop loss is set at 0.7958, which is a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is at 0.7906, which is a pullback support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (
USDCHF: Growth & Bullish Continuation
Our strategy, polished by years of trial and error has helped us identify what seems to be a great trading opportunity and we are here to share it with you as the time is ripe for us to buy USDCHF.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
USDCHF - Bears Taking Control?Daily Chart
On the daily chart, price has finally reached the 0.50 retracement of both the initial fractal leg and the bearish swing structure.
Most importantly, we saw a reaction from the last bearish daily FVG, which is aligned with an unmitigated daily BB.
From this point forward, LTF price action is key to validate short entries. If sellers confirm intent on lower timeframes, short opportunities become valid.
4H Chart
On the 4H chart, after tapping the daily POIs, we observed a shift in fractal structure to bearish, reinforcing the idea of immediate reaction and potential continuation to the downside.
My plan is to place a sell limit at the premium area of the newly formed bearish 4H fractal structure and manage the trade from there.
Sell Opportunity USDCHF is now showing a potential sell opportunity as price reacts strongly to the same key resistance zone where the previous buy TP was hit. With bullish momentum slowing and rejection visible at this level, sellers may step in for a corrective move lower. This setup favors a sell from resistance, targeting downside continuation with a clear invalidation above the zone for controlled risk.
USDCHF sideways consolidation support at 0.7870The USDCHF remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader sideways consolidation.
Support Zone: 0.7870 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 0.7870 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
0.7950 – initial resistance
0.7970 – psychological and structural level
0.7990 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 0.7870 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
0.7860 – minor support
0.7850 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the USDCHF holds above 0.7870 A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USDCHF SHORTMarket structure bearish on HTFs DW
Entry at Both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Weekly
Daily Rejection At AOi
Around Psychological Level 0.79500
Touching EMA H4
H4 Candlestick rejection
TP: WHO KNOWS!
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
Rare Structure | Two Symmetrical Triangles With One Price CycleMarket Structure & Pressure Overview 📐⚖️
This chart highlights a rare compression environment 🔒 formed by a larger symmetrical triangle, with a second symmetrical triangle nested inside 🔺🔻.
After an extended period of consolidation, price expanded beyond both triangle structures 🚨, shifting the market from compression into a phase dominated by strong directional pressure 📉.
Following the expansion, price entered a corrective phase 🔄. However, the pullback has so far remained incomplete , as it has not fully interacted with:
• 🧱 the former resistance zone
• ↘️ the descending trendline
• ↗️ the ascending trendline
Rather than forecasting outcomes, this chart highlights key structural areas where market reactions are commonly observed 👀 after similar compression-to-expansion phases.
Observed Structural Context 🔍
• 🔺 Symmetrical triangle forming within a broader symmetrical triangle
• ⏳ Prolonged compression followed by expansion
• 📊 Clear shift from balance to directional pressure
• ⚠️ Incomplete corrective interaction with overhead structure
Contextual Reaction Zones (Illustrative, Not Predictive) 🧭
• 📉 Areas where selling pressure may continue to dominate
• 🔗 Zones where price may interact with converging trendlines and resistance
• ❌ Levels where structural invalidation would require reassessment of pressure balance
Key Insight 💡
Extended compression often precedes strong pressure, but market reactions around structure define how that pressure evolves .
⚠️ Educational & Analytical Use Only
No financial advice. No guarantees.
All decisions remain the sole responsibility of the reader and should align with their own ethical, legal, and religious principles.






















