Trade ideas
USOIL Is Bearish! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for USOIL.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 57.145.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 55.504.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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USOIL: Buy setups during higher-timeframe correctionOIL PRICE WEEKLY OUTLOOK
(Week of Oct 20-24, 2025)
Key Drivers & Risks
Updates in Supply, Demand, and Geopolitical News
EIA (week ending Oct 10): Crude inventories +3.5 million bbl; distillates −4.5 million bbl.
IEA OMR (Oct 2025): Upgraded global supply forecast: +3.0 mb/d in 2025 and +2.4 mb/d in 2026, while demand grows only ~0.7 mb/d per year ⇒ signaling a large surplus risk and downward pressure on prices.
OPEC (Oct 2025): Maintains demand growth outlook of +1.3 mb/d for 2025, but acknowledges a smaller deficit in 2026 as OPEC+ output rises; September production increased by ~630 kb/d.
Maritime risk in the Red Sea / Gulf of Aden: Over the weekend, a gas carrier reportedly caught fire following a possible attack off Yemen’s coast, leading to higher shipping risk premiums, though no major disruption to trade flows has been reported yet.
Watchlist for the Week Ahead
EIA Weekly Report (Oct 22): Focus on crude and distillate inventories, and any signs of policy or flow adjustments.
Maritime security updates in the Red Sea / Gulf of Aden / Strait of Hormuz — monitor frequency and severity of incidents.
China data: imports, refinery runs, and inventories — potential signals of stockpiling at lower price levels.
Any notable demand-side surprises (if any emerge).
Overall View
Oil prices are expected to gradually decline within a relatively narrow range of $70–$50 through mid-2026.
Short-term rebounds may occur due to low price levels and heightened transport risk headlines.
China’s potential restocking activity could provide limited demand-side support.
* Trend: assessed using at least three trend indicators, with market structure as the primary guide.
** Weak or Reversal Signals: Assessed based on one of our criteria for trend reversal signals.
*** Support/Resistance: Selected from multiple factors – static (Swing High, Swing Low, etc.), dynamic (EMA, MA, etc.), psychological (Fibonacci, RSI, etc.) – and determined based on the trader’s discretion.
**** Our advice takes into account all factors, including both fundamental and technical analysis. It is not intended as a profit target. We hope it can serve as a reference to help you trade more effectively. This advice is for informational purposes only and we assume no responsibility for any trading results based on it.
George Vann @ ZuperView
XTI/USD Chart Analysis: Oil Prices Fall to Yearly LowsXTI/USD Chart Analysis: Oil Prices Fall to Yearly Lows
As shown on the XTI/USD chart, WTI crude is trading below $57 today, with the 2025 low sitting near $55. Several factors are currently weighing on oil prices:
→ Uncertainty surrounding the US-China trade deal — the world’s two largest oil consumers — continues to cloud the outlook for global growth and crude demand.
→ Increased output from OPEC+ members has added further pressure, with the IEA last week raising its forecast for a global oil surplus.
→ A decline in the risk premium following the peace agreement in the Middle East has also reduced support for oil prices.
So, what could happen next?
Technical Analysis of the XTI/USD Chart
Seven days ago, we noted that:
→ In the long-term context, oil price fluctuations — following the June escalation in the Middle East — have formed a downward channel (shown in red). The current price has now slipped below its lower boundary.
→ In the short term, the pace of the decline appears to be accelerating, highlighted by the purple trajectory lines.
At that time, we suggested a scenario in which WTI could drift towards its yearly low near $55, which is now materialising. However, note the following:
→ The RSI indicator is hovering near oversold territory.
→ The chart shows signs of a Falling Wedge pattern, which often precedes a bullish reversal.
Given these signals, it is reasonable to assume that, after a roughly 10% decline since the start of the month, bears may begin locking in profits on short positions. This could trigger a technical rebound in WTI prices — potentially towards the resistance area defined by:
→ The lower boundary of the red channel;
→ The psychological level of $60;
→ The median line of the purple channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Crude oil -DAILY- 20/10/2025Oil prices fell after a third straight weekly decline as traders reacted to easing U.S.–China trade tensions pushing WTI toward $56 a barrel amid optimism over upcoming trade talks. China’s economy slowed for a second consecutive quarter, though Beijing maintained its 5% growth target. Oil futures are heading for a third monthly loss, pressured by an expected supply surplus through 2026, according to the IEA. Trump said he plans a second meeting with Putin to discuss ending the war in Ukraine, though prior talks have achieved little. Citigroup warned that any de-escalation could push oil toward $50 a barrel. Market indicators suggest weakness, with near-term spreads narrowing and longer-term contracts shifting into bearish contango.
On the technical side, crude oil price has extended its aggressive bearish trend last week with no major signs of reversing. Apart from the extreme oversold Stochastic oscillator there are no other signs of a bullish correction. The faster 50-day simple moving average is trading below the slower 100-day simple moving average validating the overall bearish trend in the market while the Bollinger Bands are quite expanded showing that there is increased volatility in the market for crude oil hinting that there is potential for sharp moves in the upcoming sessions. Eventhough, the area of $62 is the major technical resistance level, it seems that it might need some time to retest this level. The lower band of the Bollinger Bands seems to be the first level of technical support for the price while the area of $56 might pose some support since its the multiyear low which was last tested in early May 2025.
Disclaimer: The opinions in this article are personal to the writer and do not reflect those of Exness
USOIL Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in this analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
The US-Oil will jump from the historic Support LevelHello Traders
In This Chart US-OIL HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today US-OIL analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (US-OIL market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on US-OIL Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
USOIL Oil prices are heavily influenced by supply/demand dynamics, geopolitical tensions, OPEC production policies, economic growth indicators, and inventory data.
Trading Tips:
Monitor OPEC announcements, especially decisions on quotas and production cuts.
Watch for geopolitical events in oil-producing regions like Iran, Venezuela, and the Middle East.
Keep an eye on US crude inventory reports, dollar strength, and macroeconomic data affecting demand.
Head of OPEC: Haitham Al-Ghais, Kuwait.
USOIL MARKET STRUCTURE .
WATCH KEY DEMAND FLOOR 55.932-55.899
BREAK AND CLOSE NEXT WATCH WILL BE 50.499-50.78$
WEEKLY SUPPORT ON DEMAND WILL BE 44.7%-45$ ZONE
KEY RSISTANCE 66.219-65.567
layer by layer ...we are looking at oil sell position and i will communicate soon on any potential position.
GOODLUCK
#OIL #USOIL #USD #DOLLAR #US1OY #DXY
19.10.25 Crude Oil WeeklyOil is about to approach the Weekly Demand Zone
Weekly (Higher Time Frame)
The Weekly Demand have 3 basing candle's: the Basing candle are so small it means price have been in balance til the buy pressure came in.
Also you the Demand zone was formed in a previously Supply zone. It means Supply became Demand (flip zone) and can indicate an uptrend.
Daily ( Lower Time Frame)
We are Having An Level on top of Level situation. Both level are covered in from Higher time frame. i will use both levels as my risk zone.
In the moment i reach twice profit of my risk i will move my stoplose to breakeven.
When we reach the first strong Supply i take of 75% of profit and let run the other 25% and trail my stoplose
USOIL (WTI Crude Oil) – Bullish Reversal Setup | 4H AnalysisMarket Context
WTI Crude Oil has been in a strong downtrend over the past few weeks, breaking multiple support levels.
However, price has now reached a key higher-timeframe demand zone (55.80–57.00), which previously acted as a strong reaction area in the past.
The recent 4H candles show clear rejection wicks and slowing bearish momentum — signaling that sellers may be losing control.
Technical Breakdown
Structure: The downtrend may be completing its final leg, forming a potential double-bottom or accumulation phase.
Demand Zone: The area between 55.80–57.00 is aligning with previous volume imbalance and untested demand.
Liquidity Sweep: Price grabbed liquidity below prior lows and quickly bounced back — a classic smart money reversal sign.
💡 Trade Plan
Entry Zone: 56.80 – 57.20 (after confirmation or retest)
Stop-Loss: Below 55.80 (structure break / demand invalidation)
Take-Profit Targets:
🎯 TP1: 61.00 (first resistance / supply area)
🎯 TP2: 64.70 (major 4H resistance & potential reversal completion point)
🧭 Bias & Outlook
Bullish, as long as price holds above 55.80 and continues forming higher lows.
A break below this level would invalidate the setup and signal continuation of the broader bearish trend.
🧠 Summary :
Oil has reached an oversold demand region, showing signs of accumulation and liquidity sweep.
Early confirmation of buyers stepping in could trigger a strong corrective move toward 61.00–64.70.
This is a medium-term swing setup with solid risk-to-reward potential.
USOIL Near Final Leg USOIL is forming a clear corrective pattern inside a falling channel. Price is currently in the final leg of wave (5) of (C), suggesting one more dip is likely before reversal.
The downside target lies near 5,000–5,200 , where support from the channel base aligns. Once this level holds, a strong bullish reversal is expected, marking the end of the correction and the start of a new upward trend.
Stay Tuned!
@Money_Dictators :)
ER: The Hidden Tool 95% of Traders Ignore (But Shouldn’t)What if I told you there’s a free, stats-backed tool that shows you where price is likely to stop or reverse — with 68% confidence?
Meet Expected Range (ER) — not a magic bullet, but a massive edge when used right.
✅ Based on CME data & Nobel-winning math
✅ Defines high-probability support/resistance zones
✅ Free from CME website.
I never trade without checking ER anymore.
It turns noise into structure.
👉 Check the screenshots yourself — see how price reacted at each edge last week.
The only thing you need to do?
→ Grab ER data from the CME website daily
→ Apply a simple conversion formula
→ Plot it on your futures chart
That’s it.
Now you’ve got statistically grounded levels right in front of you.
Depending on your market view, you can:
• Short from the upper ER boundary
• Use it as a trend support entry zone
• Hide stops beyond the range — because price statistically won’t reach them
⚠️ Caveat: ER isn’t a crystal ball.
But in normal markets - ER zones hold ~4 out of 5 times.
Question for you:
Are you using ER? Or still guessing support/resistance?
Transparency first. No hype. Just real results.
WTI Technical Forecast: Critical Juncture at Multi-Month SupportSPOTCRUDE (WTI) Technical Forecast: Critical Juncture at Multi-Month Support
Analysis as of 18th Oct 2025 (Close: 57.715)
Market Context: Crude oil sits at a pivotal technical level. Geopolitical tensions provide a bullish fundamental backdrop, but the technical picture shows a market at a make-or-break support zone.
Multi-Timeframe Analysis (Top-Down View)
Swing Bias (D1/4H): Bearish Below $59.00
The daily chart paints a concerning picture. Price is trapped below all key EMAs (50 & 200), confirming a bearish trend structure. We are testing a major Wyckoff Accumulation Zone and a potential Bearish Bat Harmonic pattern completion near $57.50. The RSI is in bearish territory but approaching oversold, hinting at potential for a relief rally.
Intraday Bias (1H/30M): Neutral to Cautious Bullish
The 4H and 1H charts show consolidation after a sharp decline. The Ichimoku Cloud is thick resistance overhead, while the Anchored VWAP from the recent high confirms strong selling pressure. A break above the $58.20 level is needed to signal any short-term strength.
Key Chart Patterns & Theories in Play
Elliott Wave: The decline from the highs appears to be a clear 5-wave impulse down, suggesting we are completing Wave 5. This often precedes a significant corrective (A-B-C) rally.
Gann Analysis: The Square of 9 identifies $57.50 as a major harmonic support level. A break below targets $56.00 next.
Head and Shoulders? A large-scale pattern on the weekly chart has met its minimum target. The current price action could be the final leg of this move.
Bull Trap Risk: A swift bounce to $58.50-$59.00 that fails could trap eager bulls before the next leg down.
Actionable Trade Setups
🟢 Swing Trade (Counter-Trend Long)
Entry: $57.40 - $57.70 (Confluence with Harmonic & Gann Support)
Stop Loss: $56.90
Take Profit 1: $59.00
Take Profit 2: $60.00
🔴 Swing Trade (Momentum Short)
Trigger: A decisive 4H close below $57.30.
Entry: On retest of $57.50 as resistance.
Stop Loss: $58.10
Take Profit: $56.00
⚫ Intraday Long (Bounce Play)
Trigger: Bullish reversal candle (e.g., Hammer/Bullish Engulfing) on the 1H chart at $57.50 support.
Entry: On trigger candle close.
Stop Loss: $57.20
Take Profit: $58.40
Key Levels
Resistance 3: $60.00 (Psychological / 50 EMA)
Resistance 2: $59.00 (Ichimoku Cloud Base)
Resistance 1: $58.20 - $58.50 (Immediate Supply Zone)
Support 1: $57.50 - $57.70 (CRITICAL SUPPORT)
Support 2: $56.90 (Breakdown Trigger)
Support 3: $56.00 (Next Gann Target)
Conclusion
WTI is at a critical inflection point. The high-probability play is a bounce from the $57.50 support for a swing towards $59.00. However, a break below this level would signal a resumption of the broader downtrend. Trade the breakout/breakdown with clear confirmation.
Risk Warning: Trading crude oil involves high risk due to volatility and leverage. This analysis is for educational purposes and does not constitute financial advice. Always manage your risk and conduct your own due diligence.
Crude Oil Outlook: Pressure Mounts as 2025 Lows Come Into ViewCrude oil prices are tracing another plunge back to yearly lows amid mounting oversupply, weak demand, and tariff concerns. New 2025 lows may be reached in the short-term horizon, aligning with the lower boundaries of a 3-year down trending channel
From a weekly time frame perspective, crude oil is facing the lower border of a three-year descending channel extending from the 2022 highs. The $55 support currently holds as the 2025 low, but a clean break below it could extend losses toward the $49 zone, aligning with the channel’s bottom boundary — a potential area of support. If this level fails, a deeper selloff could extend toward the $37 region.
On the upside, should prices recover above the $58 mark, a bullish rebound may extend toward $60, $63, and $66, respectively. However, for a sustainable bullish outlook on crude, a breakout above both the three-year downtrend and the $70 resistance is required.
Looking closely at the daily RSI, it is nearing oversold levels last seen in April 2025, suggesting that downside momentum could be approaching exhaustion.
In line with the recent movements of U.S. indices, will we see another dip-and-rebound scenario on crude oil — not identical, but perhaps reminiscent of April 2025?
- Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
WTI crude oil Wave Analysis – 17 October 2025
- WTI crude oil reversed from strong support level 56.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 58.00
WTI crude oil recently reversed from the support area between the strong support level 56.00 (which reversed the price in April and May, as can be seen below) and the lower daily Bollinger Band.
This support area was further strengthened by the support trendline of the daily down channel from August.
Given the strength of the support level 56.00 and the oversold daily Stochastic, WTI crude oil can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 58.00.
Oil’s Bottom Is on Its Last Breath — A Major Rally Is ImminentPrevious analysis:
Update is on the chart above 👆
The downside we were hunting looks near completion; in time terms, the correction also appears done.
Wave structure points to the end of wave 2 and the start of a powerful wave 3 up. Failed downside breaks and liquidity sweeps of recent lows back this view.
Confluence: demand retest, deep fib retrace (around 78–88%), and weakening seller momentum at the latest lows.
Roadmap: once this phase completes, I’m looking for an impulse toward $110—with momentum building as price reclaims 65 and then 81.
Risk: even if this setup gets stopped, I’ll keep looking for long entries—trend context and timing still favor upside continuation.
Macro angle: a major oil spike is rarely just a chart pattern—it’s a stress signal. What crisis is this foreshadowing? Middle East? Or something broader and global on supply/demand?
If this resonates, save & follow for the next updates. (Not financial advice.)
USOIL: Waiting for a liquidity sweep on the Daily timeframeIn my previous analyses on USOIL, including the fundamental outlook, price has been trending lower within a narrow channel between $70 and $50.
I’m looking for a buy opportunity on higher timeframes after a large liquidity sweep.
Weekly Outlook:
* Trend: assessed using at least three trend indicators, with market structure as the primary guide.
** Weak or Reversal Signals: Assessed based on one of our criteria for trend reversal signals.
*** Support/Resistance: Selected from multiple factors – static (Swing High, Swing Low, etc.), dynamic (EMA, MA, etc.), psychological (Fibonacci, RSI, etc.) – and determined based on the trader’s discretion.
**** Our advice takes into account all factors, including both fundamental and technical analysis. It is not intended as a profit target. We hope it can serve as a reference to help you trade more effectively. This advice is for informational purposes only and we assume no responsibility for any trading results based on it.
George Vann @ ZuperView
USOIL: Pullback within the correction on the 4h timeframeTo better understand my current outlook on USOIL, please refer to my previous higher-timeframe and fundamental analyses:
* Trend: assessed using at least three trend indicators, with market structure as the primary guide.
** Weak or Reversal Signals: Assessed based on one of our criteria for trend reversal signals.
*** Support/Resistance: Selected from multiple factors – static (Swing High, Swing Low, etc.), dynamic (EMA, MA, etc.), psychological (Fibonacci, RSI, etc.) – and determined based on the trader’s discretion.
**** Our advice takes into account all factors, including both fundamental and technical analysis. It is not intended as a profit target. We hope it can serve as a reference to help you trade more effectively. This advice is for informational purposes only and we assume no responsibility for any trading results based on it.
George Vann @ ZuperView
WTI Crude Oil
As shown in my previous analysis (pinned below this post), we shorted oil from the range high.
Now price has reached the range low, where two key buy levels are marked on the chart ✅.
🔹 If these levels break, the opposite scenario still stands.
🔹 We’re not in OPEC, we don’t make political or war decisions, and we don’t give orders to the market.
🔹 We are traders, simply trying to profit from opportunities.
⚡️ Remember: being biased toward your analysis = blowing up your account and losing confidence.
🎯 Always follow the market, never fight it.






















