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USOIL Symmetrical triangle buying from key support📊 USOIL Update (1H Timeframe) 🟢 Symmetrical Triangle Breakout Setup! Price holding strong at the key support zone – $60.000 ✅ 🎯 Technical Targets: 1️⃣ $60.800 2️⃣ $61.800 3️⃣ $62.400 🧭 Plan: Looking for buying opportunities from the support zone as long as $60.000 holds. ⚠️ Risk Management is Key! Always use proper SL and position sizing 🔐 💬 Like ❤️ | Follow 🔔 | Comment 💭 | Share 📢 #USOIL #CrudeOil #WTI #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #ForexTrading #CommodityMarket #TradingSetup
FX:USOILLong
by ExpertTraderASK
11
wti 1h🔹 Overall Outlook and Potential Price Movements In the charts above, we have outlined the overall outlook and possible price movement paths. As shown, each analysis highlights a key support or resistance zone near the current market price. The market’s reaction to these zones — whether a breakout or rejection — will likely determine the next direction of the price toward the specified levels. ⚠️ Important Note: The purpose of these trading perspectives is to identify key upcoming price levels and assess potential market reactions. The provided analyses are not trading signals in any way. ✅ Recommendation for Use: To make effective use of these analyses, it is advised to manually draw the marked zones on your chart. Then, on the 5-minute time frame, monitor the candlestick behavior and look for valid entry triggers before making any trading decisions.
CFI:WTI
by Deltafx_Broker
Is Crude Oil Setting Up for a Major Bearish Reversal?🛢️ XTI/USD “WTI” – Bearish Redistribution Zone Incoming (Thief Strategy Inside) 📉 Setup Overview Market: XTI/USD (WTI crude oil) Bias: Bearish confirmed — we’re looking for re-distribution / supply pressure to take control Trade Type: Swing / Day Trade hybrid 🎯 Entry Plan (Thief-Layer Strategy) I use a layering / multiple limit order approach (aka “Thief Strategy”). You may use any price level as entry, but here’s my preferred ladder: Sell Limit @ 61.500 Sell Limit @ 61.000 Sell Limit @ 60.500 Sell Limit @ 60.000 Sell Limit @ 59.500 (You may extend more layers if you like) You don’t need to hit all layers — just get partial fills, ride the move downward. 🚫 Stop Loss Thief’s SL: 62.500 ⚠️ Note to Thief OG’s: I’m not forcing you to follow my SL. You choose what works. Make money, take money — at your own risk. 🎯 Target We see police barricade as a strong support zone + oversold trap possibility. So primary target: 57.000 ⚠️ Note to Thief OG’s: Don’t blindly hold to my TP. If price gives you your gains early, escape with your money — don’t wait for perfection. 🔍 Related Pairs & Correlations AMEX:USO or USOIL (oil ETFs / indices) – real-world crude correlation $BRENT/USD – watch for strength or weakness divergence AMEX:XOP / AMEX:OIH (oil & gas sector indices) – sentiment in energy names Key point: if Brent weakens while WTI breaks down, it reinforces the bias. 📌 Key Technical Notes We’re waiting for ** redistribution / supply zone** to hold — a retest or failure bounce is ideal setup. Oversold conditions + a “trap” candle (fake breakout) strengthen the move. Use layering to average in, not “all-in” at once. Be ready for whipsaws around support zones; partial exits can help. ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” Disclaimer: This is Thief-style trading strategy just for fun. I am not giving financial advice. Trade at your own decision and risk. #WTI #CrudeOil #XTIUSD #EnergyTrading #OilStrategy #Layering #SwingTrade #DayTrade #BearishBias #ThiefStrategy
BLACKBULL:WTIShort
by The-Thief
WTI OIL TECHNICAL OUTLOOK WTI OIL CLOSING PRICE 60.87$ per barrel WTI OIL defended price at 56.45 per barrel and found a new weekly support at 59.62$ per barrel. if oil break out of the descending trendline on its current support from 59.62$ per barrel ,it could hit 66.57$ per barrel resistance roof . key supply zone 70.32$ per barrel key supply roof 74,3$ per barrel WTI FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK . OPEC+ policies continuing with moderate production increases, balancing supply with steady but not surging global demand. Demand in emerging markets, especially in Asia, remains resilient despite global economic uncertainties. Geopolitical risks are present but largely priced in, with no immediate large supply disruptions expected. Inventories and stockpiles are stable, and US shale production remains a key swing factor. Shifts in energy transition policies and investment in renewables create a backdrop for gradual demand growth for oil, sustaining fundamental support for prices.​ US oil inventory levels and the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) have a significant impact on oil prices, including WTI crude: US oil inventories represent the stockpiles of crude oil held by commercial entities. When inventories decline, it signals tighter supply, which tends to push oil prices higher. Conversely, rising inventories indicate excess supply, weighing on prices. Recent trends show US commercial crude inventories dropping below seasonal norms, supporting upward pressure on oil prices despite global supply concerns.​ The Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) is a government-controlled emergency stockpile. Releases from the SPR increase available supply in the market temporarily, usually putting downward pressure on prices. Conversely, when SPR drawdowns slow or reserves are rebuilt, it diminishes this supply cushion, which can support higher prices. The SPR has been at historically low levels recently following government releases, limiting its impact on immediate weekly inventory reports but remains a key factor in market confidence.​ Overall, tight US inventories combined with limited SPR releases create a supply-constrained environment that supports oil prices. However, global supply dynamics, including OPEC+ production targets and non-OPEC supply growth, also play critical balancing roles. Market participants closely monitor US inventory reports and SPR announcements as near-term price catalysts due to their direct impact on available crude supply and market sentiment.​ In summary, falling US crude oil inventories generally push WTI prices higher as they signal tighter market supply, while SPR drawdowns or replenishments modulate this effect by adjusting emergency stock availability. Both are key components in oil price dynamics and important for traders and analysts assessing near-term supply-demand balance.​ #usoil #wtioil #crude
TVC:USOILLong
by Shavyfxhub
The attack committee's risk has triggered supply anxietyDirect supply disruption risk: 900,000 barrels/day capacity at risk of zeroing out The current daily crude oil production in Venezuela is 940,000 barrels (accounting for 0.9% of the global total). Although the absolute scale is limited, as the only OPEC oil-producing country not subject to production quotas, its production capacity has strategic resilience. Actions such as the arrival of US B-1B bombers and the deployment of the "Ford" aircraft carrier strike group in the Caribbean Sea, if escalated to military strikes, the core facilities of PDVSA, such as Lake Maracaibo oil field (accounting for 60% of the capacity) and Jose Port (the only deep-water oil port), will be directly paralyzed. Short-term exports may drop from 900,000 barrels/day to zero, forming a dual supply shock of "sanctions + war". Replacement supply gap difficult to fill: OPEC+ remaining capacity in crisis Currently, the total remaining capacity of OPEC+ is only 210,000 barrels/day, and it is concentrated in Saudi Arabia (180,000 barrels/day). If combined with the sanctions on Iran and disruptions in Red Sea transportation, Saudi Arabia needs to increase production by 170,000 barrels/day to fill the gap, which is close to its maximum idle capacity limit. Although US shale oil has potential, due to capital discipline restrictions, the maximum monthly increase in production is only 30,000 barrels/day, far from covering the supply vacuum in Venezuela. The price spread of heavy crude oil (the main type in Venezuela) has expanded from 1.2 US dollars to 1.8 US dollars, and structural tension has emerged. Market sentiment preview: Risk premium accelerating inclusion Historical data shows that after the US imposed sanctions on PDVSA in 2019, the weekly fluctuation range of oil prices expanded to 8%; while the impact intensity of military conflicts is 3-5 times that of sanctions - the oil facilities in Iran were attacked in 2019 (similar supply disruption), pushing oil prices to surge by 7.3% in a single day. Currently, the CFTC crude oil volatility index has risen from 18 to 25, and funds have begun to layout geopolitical risks in advance. The premium of near-month contracts over far-month contracts has expanded to 1.2 US dollars, reflecting short-term supply concerns. Next week's crude oil trading strategy buy：59.5-60 tp:61-61.50 sl:58.5
TVC:USOILLong
by Ryan_Lewis1
Next week's crude oil trading strategyFundamentals: Inventory liquidation continues + OPEC + production increase debate, support margin strengthens 1.Inventory data remains positive, demand resilience verified The latest EIA data shows that U.S. crude oil inventories have continued to deplete unexpectedly for two consecutive weeks, gasoline inventories have recorded the largest decline in the past 5 years on a year-on-year basis, and the inventories of the three major oil products are all below the 5-year average by 10%-15%, significantly easing the inventory pressure. Although inventories in the Cushing region have slightly increased, the overall de-accumulation trend has not changed. In addition, China's petrochemical plants' purchase volume in November is expected to increase by 5%-8% compared with the previous month, and terminal demand provides rigid support for oil prices. 1.OPEC + production increase debate intensifies, supply constraint not eased OPEC + has obvious differences in the pace of production increase: Saudi Arabia hopes to expand production to regain market share, while Russia advocates maintaining a moderate increase of 137,000 barrels per day to avoid supply过剩 suppressing oil prices. The fulfillment rate of production increase in November was less than 60%， and the UAE has a 9.500 barrels per day gap due to oilfield maintenance， and Russia has not fully released idle production capacity. In addition， Saudi Arabia's "voluntary reduction of 1 million barrels per day" policy continues until the end of 2025， the supply side's protection for oil prices exceeds market expectations. Institutions predict that this week， OPEC + may maintain a small increase in production or suspend the increase， further limiting the supply increase. 1.Refinery profit supports processing demand Although the diesel crack spread in the New York port has declined， it is still 40% higher than the same period in 2024， and the gasoline crack spread remains at a high level， supporting the stable operation of U.S. refineries at 87.2% and the daily crude oil processing volume at 17.3 million barrels， providing stable support for procurement demand. Next week's crude oil trading strategy buy：60-60.5 tp:61.5-62 sl:59
TVC:USOILLong
by Ryan_Lewis1
Next week's crude oil trading strategyGeopolitical Dimension: Rising Military Risks from the US to Venezuela, Becoming the Largest Uncertain Variable Expected escalation of military operations, supply disruption risk premium On October 31, Western media disclosed that the Trump administration is considering upgrading the military operation against Venezuela from maritime drug interdiction to ground-based air strikes, involving facilities such as naval bases and airport runways. The target list has been evaluated. Venezuela's current daily crude oil production is 940,000 barrels. If the military strike is implemented, its core oil fields and port facilities may be paralyzed, and short-term exports may drop to zero, creating a sudden supply gap. Although Trump did not explicitly deny it and the probability of actual actions before the election is affected by political games, the market has already begun to incorporate geopolitical risk premiums. The CFTC crude oil volatility index has risen from 18 to 25. The Interaction between Russia and Venezuela Adds Uncertainty The Maduro regime has urgently sought military support from Russia, including the supply of anti-missile missile systems and the upgrade of weapons maintenance. The Venezuelan transportation minister has secretly visited Moscow to hand over a personal letter. If Russia intervenes, it may intensify the geopolitical game in Latin America and further disrupt the crude oil supply chain; however, Russia has already invested a large amount of resources in the Ukraine issue, and the possibility of direct military intervention is low. It is more likely to respond in a "low-intensity" manner. Next week's crude oil trading strategy buy：60-60.5 tp:61.5-62 sl:59
TVC:USOILLong
by Ryan_Lewis1
USOIL Will Collapse! SELL! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the USOIL next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 60.87 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 60.50 My Stop Loss - 61.09 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TVC:USOILShort
by AnabelSignals
2
Crude Oil's Critical Breakdown: Is a Plunge to $58 Imminent?Hello, TradingView community! 👋 SpotCrude (WTI) has taken a significant turn, closing the week at a precarious 61.168 . After failing to sustain its recent rally, oil is now teetering on the edge of a major support level. Is this the beginning of a new downtrend, or will buyers step in to defend the line? The upcoming week, November 3rd to 7th, will be decisive. Let's drill down into the multi-timeframe data, blending classic technical theories with key indicators to forge a robust trading strategy for the days ahead. 💡 🌍 The Macro Outlook: Weekly & Daily Charts - The Bears Are Back in Town The market is a battlefield, and the trend is your strongest ally. The higher timeframes are flashing significant warning signals, suggesting the recent strength was merely a correction in a larger downtrend. Weekly Chart (1W) : The long-term picture remains bearish. As per Dow Theory , the primary trend is down, with the recent push higher failing at a key resistance zone. The price is firmly below the Ichimoku Cloud, and the formation of a Bearish Engulfing candle last week is a powerful rejection signal. Daily Chart (1D) : On the daily chart, the story of failure becomes clearer. We have a potential Double Top formation right at a major resistance level. The RSI is exhibiting a clear bearish divergence where price made a higher high, but the RSI failed to confirm, indicating weakening momentum. The price has been decisively rejected and is now threatening to break down from this topping pattern. ⚔️ The Swing Trader's Battleground: 4-Hour & 1-Hour Analysis For swing traders, a classic and powerful reversal pattern has taken center stage. 4-Hour Chart (4H) : This timeframe is the most critical. A clear Head and Shoulders pattern has formed, and crucially, the price has already broken below the neckline . This is a textbook bearish reversal signal. The Bollinger Bands are expanding, pointing to an injection of downside volatility . From a Wyckoff Theory standpoint, this breakdown represents a "Sign of Weakness" (SOW) following a distribution phase at the highs. 1-Hour Chart (1H) : The hourly chart confirms the breakdown with conviction. Price is trading well below the VWAP and the Ichimoku Cloud, both of which are now acting as overhead resistance. Any attempt to rally back to the broken neckline (around the 62.00-62.20 area) is likely to be met with significant selling pressure. 🔬 The Intraday Scalpel: 30M, 15M, & 5M Insights For intraday traders, the path of least resistance is clearly down. 30M/15M Charts : These timeframes are displaying a strong, impulsive downtrend. Following the initial breakdown, we are seeing the formation of a Bearish Pennant or flag. This typically represents a brief pause as sellers reload for the next push lower. The RSI is hovering near oversold levels, so a minor bounce is possible, but this is likely a selling opportunity, not a reversal. 5M Chart : On the 5-minute chart, the VWAP is the key level to watch. As long as the price remains below it, bears are in full control. Scalpers should be wary of any sudden spikes upward, as they could be a bear trap designed to lure in buyers before the next decline. Watch for volume to increase on down moves as confirmation of the bearish intent. ⏳ Gann Theory & Price/Time Analysis Applying the principles of W.D. Gann, the rejection occurred at a key Gann resistance angle. The price has now broken below a key support angle, suggesting an acceleration of the downtrend. Gann's range analysis points to the $58.00 - $58.50 area as the next major price magnet to the downside. 🎯 Actionable Trade Plan for the Week Ahead Based on this comprehensive analysis, the bearish case is overwhelmingly strong. The Primary Bearish Scenario 🐻 Entry: The ideal entry is to short a pullback to the broken Head and Shoulders neckline, targeting the 62.00 - 62.20 resistance zone. An alternative entry is to short the breakdown of the current bearish pennant, below 61.00 . Targets: The first target is the psychological 60.00 level. The main target, derived from the Head and Shoulders pattern measurement, is the major support zone at 58.50 . Invalidation: A strong and sustained 4H candle close back above the right shoulder of the pattern, specifically above 63.00 , would negate the immediate bearish thesis. The Low-Probability Bullish Scenario 🐂 Entry: This is a counter-trend trade and is not recommended. It would require an exceptionally strong reclaim of the 62.50 level, effectively invalidating the entire Head and Shoulders pattern. Targets: Resistance at 63.50 and 64.50 . Invalidation: Any drop back below 62.00 . Conclusion: The Evidence Points Down The technical picture for Crude Oil is decidedly bearish. With a confirmed Head and Shoulders breakdown on the 4H chart, supported by weakness on both higher and lower timeframes, the path of least resistance is to the downside. This week, the strategy is to sell the rallies . Be patient and wait for a high-probability entry near established resistance. What are your thoughts on oil? Are you positioning for a further drop, or do you see a reversal in the cards? Share your analysis in the comments below! 👇 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research and manage your risk appropriately.
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDE
by sunya
Crude Oil Trading Strategy for TodayThe spot market and capital are in resonance, and short-term support is clear. 1.Strengthening of spot structure: The near-month WTI contract has returned to a spot premium structure, and the Brent-WTI spread is stable, reflecting the expectation of short-term supply tightness and providing a fundamental support for the current price. 2.Dual benefits of inventory and capital: U.S. EIA inventories have been reduced for several consecutive weeks, and the latest published value is significantly lower than expected, confirming the marginal improvement in demand; trend trading funds have recently increased their long positions, driving short-term short-squeeze momentum. 3.Cost and reserve support: Warren Buffett's Western Oil holdings imply a long-term equilibrium price of WTI at approximately $58.2, and the current price of $60.26 is close to the value support range; the U.S. SPR is at its lowest level since 1990, reducing its ability to stabilize oil prices and strengthening the bottom support. Crude Oil Trading Strategy for Today buy：59.5-60 tp:61-61.5 sl:58.5
TVC:USOILLong
by Ryan_Lewis1
Crude Oil Trading Strategy for TodayThe conflict between Russia and Ukraine continues, and the reconstruction of supply chains takes a long time. The short-term conflict between Russia and Ukraine is unlikely to be resolved. Russian oil needs to rely on shadow fleets for transportation, but currently the discount is only 1-2 US dollars (far lower than the historical level of 10-20 US dollars), and there is insufficient willingness from third parties to take over. The reconstruction of supply chains is expected to take more than 3 months, and during this period, a supply gap of 100-150 thousand barrels per day will continue to support oil prices. The expectation of the Fed's interest rate cut has risen, and loose liquidity is beneficial. The market expects a higher probability of the Fed cutting interest rates in November and December. The loose liquidity environment will be beneficial for crude oil and other risky assets, while lowering the US dollar index and reducing the purchase cost of non-US currencies, stimulating the demand for replenishment in emerging markets. Crude Oil Trading Strategy for Today buy：59.5-60 tp:61-61.560 sl:58.5
TVC:USOILLong
by Ryan_Lewis1
Crude Oil Trading Strategy for TodayExcess inventory reduction exceeded expectations, and the resilience of demand was continuously verified The latest EIA data shows (as of the week ending October 31), U.S. crude oil inventories decreased by 4.5 million barrels on a month-on-month basis (expected - 1.8 million barrels), and inventories have exceeded expectations for two consecutive weeks of reduction; gasoline inventories decreased by 3.2 million barrels (the largest decline in the same period since November, nearly 5-year low), refined oil inventories decreased by 2.8 million barrels, and inventories of the three major oil products were all below the 5-year average by 10%-15%. The inventory in the Cushing region increased by 800,000 barrels, but the overall reduction trend did not change, and the marginal tight balance feature of supply and demand was prominent. Increased risk of Red Sea transportation, intensified supply chain disruptions The Houthi armed group has recently intensified attacks on Red Sea merchant ships. Since November, 5 oil tanker ships have been attacked, and some oil tankers were forced to take a detour around the Cape of Good Hope (the voyage increased by 30%, transportation cost increased by 200,000 US dollars per ship). Currently, Red Sea crude oil transportation accounts for 12% of the global total. If the situation worsens, it may add 50-80 thousand barrels per day of supply disruptions. The expectation for Fed rate cuts has risen again, and the US dollar is under pressure, which benefits oil prices The U.S. 10-month CPI increased by 3.2% (lower than the expected 3.3%), and the core CPI increased by 2.9% (the lowest since January 2023), and the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December from 55% rose to 78%. The US dollar index fell below the 93 threshold, the cost of purchasing non-US currencies decreased, and China and India's crude oil imports are expected to increase by 5%-8% month-on-month in November. Crude Oil Trading Strategy for Today buy：59.5-60 tp:61-61.560 sl:58.5
TVC:USOILLong
by Ryan_Lewis1
2