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US OIL SUPPORT, RESISTANCE & TRENDLINE ANALYSISI hope whoever followed my levels must have been a great help for them. Go "SHORT" if it breaks 60.46 along with the trendline with 60.07 as first target and breaking that might lead to 59.69 and breaking that as well might lead to 59.30 Go "LONG" if it breaks 60.46 with 60.85 as first target and breaking that might lead to 61.18 and breaking further might lead to 61.56 and if again if breaks and sustains then we might see a good move till 62.23
TVC:USOIL
by TRaDe_Or_B_TRaDeD
Crude Oil Long Idea (WTI, 15m)After an extended correction, WTI has reached the lower boundary of the ascending channel, where buying volume spikes are appearing. The market is testing support near $60.70–$60.50, aligning with the median line structure from previous swings. A potential reversal setup may form if price holds above this zone and reclaims $61.20. The first bullish target lies near $62.30–$62.60, followed by the upper channel resistance around $63.50. Bias: short-term long within the broader bullish channel; invalidation if candle closes below $60.00. In essence — buying oil at the lower edge of the channel, expecting a rebound toward midline resistance.
ICMARKETS:XTIUSDLong
by supplyanddemandtrading
Crude Oil Trading Strategy for TodayThe current WTI oil price of $61.2 is not merely a fluctuation center, but rather a "multiplier window" formed by the resonance of three core variables - "cost floor, geopolitical breakthrough, and sentiment correction" - indicating a "structural contradiction-driven short-term trend". It is clear that this is a "wave-like market phenomenon" rather than a trend reversal. However, the short-term upward momentum is highly certain: The cost floor is clearly defined, with $60 being the "iron bottom". The new well production break-even cost of US shale oil has reached $63 per barrel. The current price of $61.2 is already below the marginal production cost line. From the data, the number of active oil drilling rigs in the US has dropped to 424 (a decrease of 60 compared to the previous year), and if the oil price remains below $60, the shale oil production may be reduced by 1-1.5 million barrels per day next year. The supply contraction expectation has been priced in in advance. At the same time, non-OECD countries are accelerating their replenishment of stocks at low prices, forming "non-tradable inventories" to absorb excess supply, further strengthening the support at $60. The geopolitical sanctions are intensifying, leading to a structural rift in the supply side. After the US imposed secondary sanctions on Russian oil, India's 1.7 million barrels per day Russian oil long-term contract faces the risk of termination. This part of the demand is now shifting to the spot market in the Middle East, directly pushing the Dubai crude oil premium to $2.1 per barrel (a 3-month high). More importantly, the actual spare capacity of OPEC+ has been seriously overestimated - Saudi Arabia's actual spare capacity is only 60-100 thousand barrels per day, far below the claimed 2.43 million barrels per day, and the OPEC+ has only increased production by 61% for five consecutive months, highlighting the capacity bottleneck and inability to fill potential supply gaps. The market sentiment is overly pessimistic, with a significant recovery space. As of October 23rd, the speculative net long position has dropped to a historical low. When Brent oil price fell below $60, 80% of traders held a bearish stance, forming a typical "extreme emotional state". However, the month spread structure still remains positive (Backwardation), not entering the Contango structure, indicating that the spot market does not have a real surplus. The previous decline was more dominated by sentiment, and the demand for recovery is strong. Crude Oil Trading Strategy for Today buy:61-61.3 tp:61.6-61.9 SL:60
TVC:USOILLong
by Ryan_Lewis1
Capital.com: Crude Oil Sells US OIL Sell Setup – Bearish Structure US Oil is showing signs of renewed bearish momentum after rejecting a key daily resistance zone. On the 1-hour timeframe, price has confirmed a lower high formation, followed by a decisive break below a key intraday support level—now acting as resistance. This shift in structure suggests potential continuation to the downside, with momentum favoring sellers as long as price remains below the reclaimed zone. Technical Highlights: Bearish structure confirmed on the 1H timeframe Clean break and retest of structure Momentum building for a potential push toward lower levels Trade Setup: Entry: 61.02 Stop Loss: 61.56 Target Levels: Take Profit 1: 60.59 Take Profit 2: 56.34 This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio within a well-defined bearish structure. Wait for candle confirmation below resistance if not already in the trade, and always manage your risk according to your plan. Drop your thoughts or questions below — and if you found this helpful, hit boost and follow for more structured US Oil trade ideas. Stay sharp. Trade with precision. 🛢️📉
CAPITALCOM:OIL_CRUDEShort
by TradesbyJV
WTI OIL OIL DEFENDED 56$-55$ ZONE ,THE NEXT TECHNICAL BUY POSITION WILL BE 60.79$-61$ ,IF THE LAYER IS RESPECTED I WILL HOLD BUY TILL WE BREAKOUT OF 62.188$ PER BARREL hoping to challenge the long term descending trendline holding price as supply roof and dynamic resistance to upswing. buy target could exceed 66.219-65.567$ WTI (West Texas Intermediate) crude oil is a major benchmark for oil prices, representing light, sweet crude oil primarily produced in the U.S. It is widely used globally to price various grades of crude oil. As of late October 2025, WTI crude oil prices have been trading around $61.745 per barrel. The recent price movement reflects several fundamental factors: Supply Constraints: Ongoing production cuts by OPEC+ members and U.S. sanctions on key oil-producing countries are tightening supply, supporting prices. Demand Dynamics: Global economic concerns, including slowing growth in major economies, have weighed on demand outlook, causing price volatility. Inventory Levels: U.S. crude inventory data and storage capacity utilization have affected market sentiment with fluctuating stockpile levels. Geopolitical Risks: Tensions in the Middle East and trade uncertainties continue to keep risk premium in prices. Energy Transition Policies: Shifts toward renewable energy and emission reduction targets are influencing longer-term demand forecasts. In summary, WTI prices near $61-62$ are driven by a mix of supply discipline, cautious demand outlook, and geopolitical uncertainties, creating a balanced but volatile oil market environment This fundamental backdrop suggests that price action in WTI will remain sensitive to OPEC+ decisions, U.S. economic data, and geopolitical developments. #USOIL #WTI #OIL #UKOIL
GBEBROKERS:USOILLong
by Shavyfxhub
CRUDE OIL Potential Short! Sell! Hello, Traders! CRUDE OIL Price is reacting to a clear Horizontal Supply Area after liquidity sweep above the recent swing high. Smart money positioning suggests a short-term redistribution phase as sell-side liquidity below $61 becomes the draw.Time Frame 4H. Sell! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TVC:USOILShort
by TopTradingSignals
1
USOIL Market Direction: Bearish Tilt Amid Downward Momentum?USOIL Market Direction: Bearish Tilt Amid Downward Momentum? Current Price Snapshot As of October 15, 2025, USOIL (WTI Crude Oil) is trading around $58.20 per barrel, reflecting a modest intraday uptick of approximately 0.9% from yesterday's close at $58.66. This follows a 1.39% decline on October 14, extending a broader monthly drop of over 7%. The price has been consolidating in a descending channel, with recent lows testing the $57.29–$57.60 support zone, prompting a short-term corrective bounce. Technical Indicators - **Trend Structure**: USOIL remains below a key descending trendline on shorter timeframes (H1–H4), signaling sustained downward pressure. A breakdown below $57.65 could accelerate the slide toward $56.00 or lower, aligning with a potential descending flag pattern. - **Momentum Oscillators**: The RSI (14-period) is climbing from oversold territory around 31, currently near 35–40, suggesting a temporary relief rally but lacking conviction for a full reversal. The ADX at 41.78 confirms a strong prevailing downtrend. - **Moving Averages**: Price is below the 50-day SMA ($61.55) and 200-day EMA ($59.15), with bearish crossovers reinforcing the negative bias. Key resistance clusters at $60.44–$60.75 (Fibonacci retracement levels) cap upside potential. - **Support/Resistance**: Immediate support at $57.29–$57.80; breach targets $56.00. Overhead resistance at $60.75, with a pivot at $61.50. A close above $60.75 would invalidate the bearish setup, but current action shows rejection at these levels. Fundamental Drivers - **Supply Dynamics**: OPEC+ is gradually unwinding production cuts, adding ~0.6 million barrels per day (b/d) in 2025, while non-OPEC output (led by the US at 13.5 million b/d) surges by 2.0 million b/d. This floods the market, driving global inventories higher and exerting downward force on prices. Recent US inventory builds (e.g., +1.8 million barrels in commercial crude) further signal softening demand. - **Demand Outlook**: Resurfacing US-China trade tensions are clouding economic recovery prospects, capping industrial fuel needs. Global growth slowdowns, coupled with accelerated renewable energy investments, are projected to weaken crude consumption through 2026. - **Geopolitical Factors**: While sanctions on Russia and Middle East risks provide occasional support, they are outweighed by ample supply. EIA forecasts Brent (closely correlated to WTI) averaging $62/bbl in Q4 2025, dropping to $52/bbl in 2026, implying further WTI weakness toward $56–$59 by year-end. - **Macro Influences**: A strengthening USD (amid Fed hawkishness) makes oil less attractive to non-US buyers, adding to the bearish case. Broader forecasts from Reuters and LongForecast see WTI averaging $64.65 for 2025 but ending October near $52.76, a 15.5% monthly decline. Sentiment from Market Chatter Real-time discussions on platforms like X highlight mixed but predominantly cautious views. Some traders eye short-covering bounces toward $60, citing oversold RSI and potential OPEC data surprises, but consensus leans bearish, with calls for sub-$60 targets due to inventory builds and trade war fears. Retail signals show sporadic buy setups, but institutional positioning favors shorts. Overall Direction and Outlook **Bearish** – USOIL's trajectory today points downward, with the corrective uptick likely fizzling at $60 resistance. Expect continued pressure toward $57–$56 unless a decisive break above $60.75 emerges, which would shift bias to neutral. Monitor upcoming EIA inventory data and US-China headlines for volatility spikes. Position sizing should account for low ATR (0.40), indicating subdued near-term swings. This assessment draws from a synthesis of price action, indicators, supply-demand fundamentals, and market sentiment for a comprehensive view.
TVC:USOIL
by DCAChampion
USOIL – Daily Rejection & 4H Bearish Engulfing: Short Setup from 💬 Trade Description: Price on **USOIL** recently pushed into a **daily supply zone** around the **62.00 area**, which had previously acted as a strong rejection point. On the **daily timeframe**, a **clear pin-bar rejection** formed, showing that buyers lost control and sellers are stepping back into the market. Dropping down to the **4-hour timeframe**, price created a **bearish engulfing candle** directly inside that same daily supply zone — confirming a strong **shift in momentum** and offering a precise entry opportunity. This setup aligns perfectly with the **higher-timeframe bearish structure**, where the market continues to print **lower highs and lower lows**. The reaction from the 62.00 zone suggests a potential continuation to the downside as price seeks liquidity near the **next major demand zone around 57.00**. ⚙️ Trade Breakdown: * **Weekly Bias:** Bearish — market creating lower highs. * **Daily Confirmation:** Pin bar rejection from daily supply. * **4H Entry Trigger:** Bearish engulfing after retest. * **Entry:** After 4H candle close. * **Stop Loss:** Above the 4H engulfing high. * **Take Profit:** Targeting 57.00 (next demand zone). --- ## 🧩 Technical Insights: * The **daily pin bar** served as higher-timeframe confirmation that sellers were defending a premium level. * The **4H engulfing** offered an early confirmation of short-term structure shift. * The **trade idea** follows a simple, high-probability model: **“Daily confirmation → 4H execution → Patience for follow-through.”** --- ## 💭 Trader’s Note: Patience was key on this one. I waited for the daily signal first before dropping to the 4H to catch the clean bearish momentum. This is how I’m structuring all my trades now — only executing when the higher-timeframe aligns with the lower-timeframe trigger. Discipline > Frequency. Quality > Quantity.
TVC:USOILShort
by Kingdom-Trader
Crude Oil Trading Strategy for Today"Smart money" quietly entered the market, and the buying power accumulated rapidly. In the last three trading days, the speculative funds (hedge funds, investment banks, etc.) in the crude oil futures market suddenly increased their bullish positions by 150,000 lots, marking the largest weekly increase in 3 months. These funds began to build positions in batches when the oil price dropped below $60, just like when the oil price fell to $58 last year, it was also these funds that entered the market, and the oil price soon rebounded by $5. At the same time, the inflow of funds into crude oil ETFs also increased fourfold. Ordinary investors began to follow suit and enter the market, and the buying pressure changed from "scattered" to "concentrated", providing sufficient short-term upward momentum. Crude Oil Trading Strategy for Today usoil @ buy 61-61.5 tp:62-62.5 SL:60
TVC:USOILLong
by Ryan_Lewis1
Crude oil review -DAILY- 27/10/2025Oil prices advanced as signs of progress in U.S.–China trade negotiations lifted market sentiment and improved the outlook for global energy demand. The easing of tariff threats and plans for a potential meeting between Presidents Trump and Xi have strengthened hopes for a trade deal, calming risk assets across markets. At the same time, U.S. sanctions targeting Russia’s largest oil producers added a modest geopolitical risk premium, providing further support to prices. However, persistent concerns about oversupply remain, with OPEC+ members continuing to raise output, and weak demand projections weighing on sentiment. While optimism around trade is providing short-term support, the broader backdrop of abundant supply and sluggish consumption is likely to keep gains limited. On the technical side, the crude oil price has corrected to the upside after finding support on the lower band of the Bollinger Bands, which are still quite expanded, indicating that there is sufficient volatility in the market to support any significant moves in the upcoming sessions. The 50-day SMA is still trading below the 100-day SMA, validating the overall bearish trend despite the recent bullish correction. The Stochastic is pushed near the extreme overbought levels, hinting that a bearish correction might be seen going forward, and if this scenario plays out, then the first area of support might be found around the $60 price mark, which is the psychological support of the round number as well as the 38.2% of the Fibonacci retracement level. In the event of a further move lower, the next support area might be seen around $58, which corresponds to the 23.6% Fibonacci level. Disclaimer: The opinions in this article are personal to the writer and do not reflect those of Exness
TVC:USOIL
by antreas_themistokleous_exness
Crude oil consolidates ahead of the FEDCrude oil had reached the 50-day moving average, driven by sanctions for Russia, and creating some bullish flow amid some short coverage, as open interest for crude oil futures has been declining steadily since October 15. The effect seems temporary, as the global record surplus expectations skew expectations for lower price levels. Thus, we may expect some rotation around the achieved level with some volatility around it. One should be careful with upside breakouts, as they have greater odds to be false, unless any game changing news will reach the market. Don't forget - this is just the idea, always do your own research and never forget to manage your risk!
TVC:USOIL
by Stanislav_Bernukhov_Exness
Crude Oil Trading Strategy for TodayInventory data validates the short-term demand resilience: The U.S. EIA data shows that the crude oil inventory decreased by 960,000 barrels on a week-on-week basis as of October 17th, with the decline exceeding market expectations. At the same time, the gasoline inventory also decreased simultaneously, alleviating concerns about weak demand. The unexpected decline in inventories coincided with geopolitical benefits, driving speculative funds to quickly enter the market to repair the previously oversold situation. Price patterns exhibit rebound momentum: Since October 17th, WTI crude oil has risen by more than 8% in the past three trading days, closing at $61.68 on October 24th, forming a "bottom-up volume-driven rebound" pattern; the main contract of Shanghai crude oil also rose significantly, with the closing price on October 24th rising by 6.7% compared to the low point on October 20th, and the trading volume has continuously expanded for three consecutive days, indicating a rapid accumulation of buying power. Crude Oil Trading Strategy for Today usoil @ buy 61-61.5 tp:62-62.5 SL:60
TVC:USOILLong
by Ryan_Lewis1
Crude oil analysis and trading strategiesAffected by the U.S. sanctions on Russia and India's reduction in crude oil imports from Russia, coupled with the boost to demand from the easing of trade tensions, crude oil prices have rebounded significantly amid multiple uncertainties. From the daily chart perspective, after oil prices touched around the 56 level, the candlesticks closed three consecutive bullish candles, successfully regaining the losses from the previous decline. Oil prices have broken above the moving average system, and the medium-term objective trend has shifted from a downward direction to a transition phase. The MACD indicator has opened upward below the zero line, indicating that the bearish momentum is weakening. It is expected that the medium-term trend of oil prices will gradually pick up, but a clear medium-term bullish pattern has not yet been formed. From the 1-hour short-term trend, oil prices have risen for three consecutive trading days, breaking through the 60 level and reaching a high above 62. The current moving average system shows a bullish arrangement, providing support for oil prices, and the short-term trend is generally upward. During the early trading session, oil prices fluctuated slightly within a high-level range. It is expected that the intraday crude oil trend will continue the upward rhythm. Based on comprehensive analysis, the trading strategy for crude oil today is recommended to focus on buying on dips. Resistance Levels:61.50, 62.00, 63.00 Support Levels: 59.50, 59.00, 58.50
TVC:USOILLong
by Henry_Matthew