Ways to achieve greater profits
It's not necessary to use heavy positions or hold onto trades in order to achieve greater profits. I want to emphasize the dangers of these two approaches again. Heavy positions - the most direct manifestation of this in the market is that even if you are in a relatively good position, once you are stopped out, the heavy position can lead to significant losses. Of course, it must be acknowledged that if you can correctly predict the direction, it can also bring significant returns.
However, when weighing the two approaches, preserving capital should always be the first principle. Holding onto trades is even riskier. Once you encounter a one-way market, if you keep adding to your position, the result will be huge losses or even blowing up your account. Therefore, both approaches are not advisable.
The correct approach is twofold. First, operate in markets with larger formations, using staged profit-taking and setting trailing stops to take advantage of greater market space with zero risk. By holding for the long term, you can maximize profits.
Second, as the market continues to move, add to your position appropriately in situations where you already have profits, and then set stop-loss orders to protect your capital. For example, if you sell at the upper bound and the market later falls below the lower bound, the entire formation will turn downward.
We understand that there is still a lot of room for the market to run, so if you have profits from your sell order at the upper bound and the formation begins to turn downward, you can use additional orders and stop-loss orders to hold onto the position with zero risk, thereby maximizing profits.
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Trading Psychology
Two methods to ensure no loss of principal
There are only two ways to avoid losing capital: one is to have a small stop-loss space (reflected in the entry position), and the other is not to bet too much at once. For example, buying one lot with $10,000 can earn $1,000, and buying ten lots with $100,000 can earn $10,000. Although the probability is the same, the more you do, the more you earn, and the less you do, the less you earn. However, controlling losses should be the top priority. As discussed earlier, if you buy too many lots this time and get stopped out, it will result in a big loss, which violates the principle of capital preservation.
Some traders become increasingly greedy after making profits and then add more positions. A typical behavior is adding positions. For example, if you bought 10 lots at first and then made a profit in the expected direction, the trader would blame himself for not buying more at the beginning. Then, he would begin to imagine that the market would continue to move in the expected direction and invest most of his capital in this product, let alone any correct practices such as taking profits in batches.
After you add more positions, it means that the cost has changed. Once the market reverses slightly, you will go from being profitable to losing money. At this point, you panic, lose your ability to think, and greed slowly turns into hope. You hope that this is only temporary, but the losses increase every moment. Perhaps you will have some luck a few times, but it won't be long before there is a risk of a big loss or liquidation.
It is important to understand that becoming rich cannot be achieved by just one market movement, so don't be obsessed with this one time. Greed makes people forget about risk, and don't always imagine that the market will move in the expected direction, ignoring the risk of the opposite trend. This is the key to keeping your capital out of danger.
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Who Moves the Forex Market | Forex Market Players
Forex is the largest market in the world, with the tremendous daily trading volumes and millions of market participants.
In this educational article, we will discuss who moves that market and who are its 6 the most significant players.
1. Governments
Governments tend to set economic goals and influence the markets with their political decision. They define the course of their nations, issuing policies and imposing regulations.
2. Central banks
Central banks implement the decisions of the governments, applying multiple instruments:
Central banks control the emission of the money, shifting the supply and demand.
They control interest rates and define the credit policies.
Central banks control the international trade and sustain the exchange rates of the national currencies by interventions and handling the foreign currencies and gold reserves.
3. Commercial banks
Commercial banks handle the international transactions.
Over 70% of total Forex Market transactions directly refers to the actives of commercial banks.
Commercial banks are also involved in speculation activities, benefiting from market fluctuations by relying on various strategies.
4. Corporations
Corporation is the business that operates in multiple countries.
With the constant capital flow between its branches and counterparts, corporations are permanently involved in a currency exchange.
Also, corporations usually hedge currency risks, storing their liquidity in particular currencies.
5. Investment funds
By investment funds, we imply the international or domestic professional money management companies. Dealing with hundreds of millions of investments, they quite often are operating on Forex market, buying foreign assets, speculating and hedging.
6. Retail traders
The main goal of retails traders and speculators is to make short terms profits from their transactions on the market.
Typically, the activities of traders constitute a relatively small portion of total trading volumes.
Knowing which forces move the forex market, you can better understand how it works. The spot prices that you see on the charts reflect the sentiment of all the above-mentioned participants.
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Non-farm payrolls data is about to bearish the gold market!Today, the U.S. February quarter-adjusted non-farm payrolls data will be released. Everyone knows that this data will play a key role in the gold market, because the performance of non-farm payrolls will directly affect the fundamental sentiment, which will determine the direction of the gold market in a short period of time.Does the non-farm payrolls data to be released today benefit the gold market or suppress the gold market?Let us make a bold prediction.
On Wednesday, the announced value of ADP employment in the United States in February was 242,000, the previous value was 119,000, and the forecast value was 200,000, while the actual announced value of 242,000 was much higher than the previous value and the forecast value. To a certain extent, it shows that the U.S. economy is strong and supports the dollar, thereby suppressing the gold market.
On Tuesday, Fed Chairman Powell's hawkish speech suppressed the gold market. However, after Fed Chairman Powell mentioned on Wednesday that the rate of interest rate increases in March depends on the data, the number of initial jobless claims in the United States released on Thursday was 210,000, higher than the previous value of 190,000 and the forecast value of 195,000, reflecting that the tight job market in the United States has still not eased, causing the market's expectations of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 50 basis points in March to cool down, US bond yields fell sharply, and the dollar was dragged down, which benefited the gold market.
And today's non-farm payrolls data show that the market expects the number of new jobs to be 205,000, compared with the previous value of 517,000. Judging from the ADP data guidance, the non-farm payrolls data show that the market expects the number of new jobs to be higher than the expected value of 205,000, and the number of initial jobless claims in February remained at a comparable level. Although the number of people applying for unemployment benefits at the beginning of the week was as high as 210,000, overall, the number of new jobs in the month will not have much impact, so I think the non-farm payrolls released today will be higher than the expectation of 205,000, thereby suppressing the gold market.
It should also be noted that the position of SPDR, the world's largest gold ETF, decreased by 3.47 tons to 903.15 tons on Thursday, a new low since the end of January 2020, suggesting that institutional and professional investors are still inclined to bearish the gold market.
It can also be seen from the trend of gold. Although gold has recorded a strong rise in the short term, the strong pressure above still exists. Therefore, the early rise of gold is most likely to be to prepare for non-farm payrolls data and reserve room for the decline of the gold market.Then everyone thinks that the non-farm payrolls data to be released today will benefit the gold market or suppress the gold market?Everyone is welcome to come and discuss.
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What is the golden rule of taking profits?
For trading stocks, futures, or forex, taking profits is also part of the trading process. For investors, taking profits and adhering to it during a trade is effective. When to take profits? Where is the best position for stop loss and take profit? Which strategy is more profitable? Taking profits and stop loss is one of the most important aspects of trading. If not handled properly, it could lead to losses. In previous articles, we have discussed the rule of stop loss. This chapter will discuss the rule of taking profits.
Investors are advised to follow and read this article. If it is helpful, please give it a like. Thank you.
Methods of taking profits
Taking profits means closing the position and securing profits when the trading goal is achieved to prevent market reversal. Taking profits can be divided into static and dynamic methods.
Static taking profits means setting a target for taking profits and closing the position when the target is reached. For example, if the profit expectation is 100 points and the price has risen 100 points, the position is closed to take profits. The target for taking profits is fixed and static.
Dynamic taking profits means the profit target is dynamic and is held until the price meets a dynamic standard before closing the position. For example, when holding a long position and floating profits, close the position when the market price breaks the bearish level. Traders cannot know in advance where the bearish level will appear and need to monitor the market dynamics.
Next, we will discuss five methods of taking profits.
Method 1: Fixed point profit taking
This is the simplest method of static taking profits. After entering the position, set a fixed profit space. This profit-taking method is more suitable for intraday and short-term trading. For example, after entering an intraday trading position, set a fixed profit-taking point of 50 points.
Intraday trading has a relatively obvious characteristic of fluctuating trends, and market prices tend to rebound and even fluctuate repeatedly. The profits from holding positions during market rebound may be given back, so setting a fixed profit-taking point can be more advantageous during trading.
In practical trading, the number of fixed stop-loss points should be set according to the volatility of different products. For products with high volatility, set a larger number of fixed stop-loss points, and for products with low volatility, set a smaller number of fixed stop-loss points.
Please note that this method should not be underestimated simply because it is simple. Whether this method is useful or not depends on the specific usage environment.
Method 2: Fixed profit and loss ratio take profit. This is a commonly used static take profit method in medium and short-term trading. First, let's talk about the profit and loss ratio. The ratio of the profit space of an order to the stop loss space is the profit and loss ratio. For example, if the profit is 100 points and the stop loss is 50 points, the profit and loss ratio is 2:1. Fixed profit and loss ratio means that the take profit is set according to a fixed ratio based on the stop loss space. For example, if the stop loss of an order is 100 points, setting the take profit at 100 points results in a profit and loss ratio of 1:1. Setting the take profit at 150 points results in a profit and loss ratio of 1.5:1. Setting the take profit at 200 points results in a profit and loss ratio of 2:1, and so on. The fixed profit and loss ratio method is easy to operate and highly executable. Moreover, when the market fluctuates and the stop loss space expands, the take profit space will also expand accordingly, making it very flexible.
Method 3: Take profit combined with technical indicators. This is also a static take profit method. After entering an order, the take profit is set based on technical indicators. For example, setting the take profit at the level of previous highs and lows, or at the support and resistance levels of the Bollinger Bands or important moving averages, is feasible. In addition, in practical trading, it is common to enter and exit at small time frames while looking at the support and resistance levels of larger time frames. For example, entering at the 5-minute level and setting the take profit at the support and resistance level of the 1-hour chart, or entering at the hourly level and setting the take profit at the Bollinger upper and lower bands of the daily chart, is essentially a logic of "going small and looking big".
Method 4: Take profit following the trend. This is a dynamic take profit mode and a trend-based take profit strategy. After entering an order, the position is held following the trend indicator, and the position is held until a reversal signal is issued, at which point the take profit is closed. Tracking with trend lines, channel lines, and turning points in the market are all common practices in daily trading.
Method 5: Combination of multiple methods, batch-wise profit taking.
The above four methods are the most mainstream and commonly used methods, but each method has its pros and cons.
For example, the fixed profit and loss ratio method cannot hold onto trend profits, and the trend tracking method cannot make profits in volatile markets. Therefore, some clever traders combine these methods and take profits in batches.
For example, after the order is entered, when the profit and loss ratio reaches 1:1, part of the position is closed, and the remaining position is exited using the trend tracking method to achieve greater profits.
In practical trading, traders can combine the above profit-taking methods in different ways, such as combining the support and resistance levels of the previous high with the fixed profit and loss ratio, or combining the support and resistance levels of the previous high with the trend tracking method.
After discussing these five profit-taking methods, it is only providing traders with an idea, and the specific results of practical trading must be reviewed and analyzed in combination with their own trading systems.
OANDA:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
What is the ultimate level of stop-loss in trading?
For trading in stocks, futures, or forex, stop loss is a part of the trade. It only works effectively for investors if it is included and adhered to in every transaction. As we all know, stock investment requires three basic skills: stock selection, stop loss techniques, and profit-taking strategies. However, many investors do not pay enough attention to stop loss and profit-taking techniques, and ultimately regret not setting stop loss and profit-taking points. Today, we will introduce the highest level of stop loss techniques.
First, the comprehensive stop loss method is the highest level of stop loss for stock investment. Therefore, when setting the stop loss point, the overall situation must be taken into account. There is no stop loss method that exists separately from the investor's overall operation. If the stock market develops beyond the investor's ability, it means that the stop loss measures must be implemented.
Second, the highest level of stop loss is in the heart of the investor. When selling stocks, investors should not only rely on their eyes but also observe and analyze with their hearts. Many stock investors only believe in what they see when selling stocks. As a result, they often miss the selling opportunity when they finally realize the situation.
Third, the stop loss method based on consolidation time. If an investor buys a stock with a heavy position, but the stock price does not rise much after buying, and it starts to move sideways after a period of time, it is important to note that if the consolidation time is too long, it means that the main force cannot use funds to boost the stock price.
Fourth, stop loss based on real-time trends. If the main force of a stock has been washing the stock for some time and still has not controlled the stock when it is time to do so, it means that the main force has no intention of raising the stock price, and the future outlook is pessimistic. At this time, investors should take timely stop loss measures, otherwise, they will end up suffering losses.
Fifth, stop loss based on trading volume. If an investor encounters a stock that is severely oversold, and many investors are trapped at a higher price, it is time to sell the stock. However, sometimes, observing the daily k-line chart, it is found that there has been a huge increase in trading volume in recent days. Note that this is a trap set by the main force to lure retail investors.
In summary, the above is the relevant knowledge about stop loss techniques that we introduce to stock investors, hoping to help our friends in the investment field.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD MCX:CRUDEOIL1! FX:EURUSD
How Leverage Really Works | Margin Trading Explained
Leveraged trading allows even small retail traders to make money trading different financial markets.
With a borrowed capital from your broker, you can empower your trading positions.
The broker gives you a multiplier x10, x50, x100 (or other) referring to the number of times your trading positions are enhanced.
Brokers offer leverage at a cost based on the amount of borrowed funds you’re using and they charge you per each day that you maintain a leveraged position open.
For example, let's take EURUSD pair.
Let's buy Euro against the Dollar with the hope that the exchange rate will rise.
Buying that on spot with 1.195 ask price and selling that on 1.23 price we can make a profit by selling the same amount of EURUSD back to the broker.
With x50 leverage, our return will be 50 times scaled.
With the leverage, we can benefit even on small price fluctuations not having a huge margin.
❗️Remember that leverage will also multiply the potential downside risk in case if the trade does not play out.
In case of a bearish continuation on EURUSD , the leveraged loss will be paid from our margin to the broker.
For that reason, it is so important to set a stop loss and calculate the risks before the trading position is opened.
Let me know, traders, what do you want to learn in the next educational post?
How to grasp the impact of news on GOLD?
Here we will use the United States as an example since it is a major world economy with significant influence and weight.
Point 1: Release of important data
For instance, the release of US non-farm payroll (NFP), employment data (ADP), initial jobless claims, CPI, GDP, PMI, etc. all have varying degrees of impact on the price of gold.
Often, the release of this important data will trigger fluctuations in gold prices. Generally speaking, when the US dollar rises, gold falls, and when the US dollar falls, gold rises. However, there may be synchronous situations, which are very rare. If this occurs, investors need to analyze and consider it carefully.
For instance, the weakness of the US dollar often pushes up the price of gold, as the decline in the US dollar can allow investors who use non-US currencies as their base currency to buy cheaper gold with other currencies. It can also stimulate demand for gold, especially in the consumption of gold jewelry.
Point 2: Speeches by some important officials
For example, speeches by well-known officials such as those from the Federal Reserve and the US Treasury.
Undoubtedly, speeches by officials from different countries are a significant factor influencing the trend of gold prices, but the impact of officials' positions, identities, and the content of their speeches on the gold market varies in magnitude.
The above two points are a few of the news contents that have a significant impact on the price of gold. In addition, other economic data in the United States should also be noted as they all mutually influence and relate to each other.
COMEX:GC1! BIST:XAUUSD1! MCX:GOLD1!
How to achieve stable and sustained profits.
How to grasp the trend in this market? It is to follow the trend. When the trend comes, the invisible force is pushing you forward. To gain profit and income in the gold and foreign exchange markets, this is particularly important. What is the secret to making profits? The answer is simple and also the most overlooked and precious thing that is free, just like the air we breathe and the sunshine. What is the secret to making money? In fact, it is simple. Throw away all the news and fundamentals, return to rationality, and independently analyze and follow the trend.
Trading is a trial-and-error process! In the continuous occurrence of errors, the main problem faced is the shrinking of funds and psychological torment. A trader must reduce the probability of making mistakes because your profit comes from other people's losses. That is to say, when someone makes a mistake, there will be profits for others to earn in the market. However, you cannot calculate or predict how many people will make mistakes in the next step, how big the mistakes will be, nor can you guarantee that you will always be on the correct side. Therefore, in trading, the only thing you can do is to try to make the time of your mistakes as short as possible. The rest is to wait for others to make mistakes, let's work hard together!
In trading, we may have short-term profit goals, but long-term goals are based on short-term profits. Without short-term profits, long-term goals are meaningless. Therefore, we need to balance short-term and long-term goals to achieve stable and sustained profits.
Pay attention to me and make trading simpler.
Top Tips For Beginner TradersTrading can be a lucrative and exciting venture, but it can also be overwhelming and risky for new traders. Whether you are interested in stocks, forex, or other markets, there are some important tips to keep in mind as you begin your journey as a trader. Let's outline some of the top tips for new traders.
Start with a solid education
The first step to becoming a successful trader is to gain a solid education on the markets you are interested in trading. This can involve reading books, taking courses, attending seminars, and researching online. By understanding the fundamentals of trading, you can avoid many common mistakes and develop a strong foundation for your trading career.
Develop a trading plan
Before making any trades, it is essential to develop a trading plan that outlines your strategy, risk management approach, and goals. Your plan should also include details such as the types of trades you will make, the timeframes you will trade on, and the tools and indicators you will use to analyze the markets.
Practice with a demo account
Many brokers offer demo accounts that allow you to practice trading without risking real money. This is a valuable way to test out your trading strategies and get a feel for the markets before committing to real trades. Practice trading on a demo account until you feel comfortable with your approach and have a solid understanding of the markets.
What I love about Trading view is that you can demo trade without a broker. You can save the headache of having to find a broker later in your trading journey when you're ready to trade live.
Manage your risk
One of the most important aspects of successful trading is managing your risk. This involves setting stop-loss orders to limit your losses and using proper position sizing to ensure that you do not risk more than you can afford to lose. Never trade with money that you cannot afford to lose, and always be mindful of the risks involved in each trade.
Think of each trade as it's own idea that gets a portion of your capital. That makes it easier to trade in size instead of betting everything in 1 or 2 trades.
Keep a trading journal
Keeping a trading journal is a great way to track your progress and identify areas for improvement. Record your trades, the reasons behind them, and the outcomes. Analyze your trades regularly to identify patterns, mistakes, and successes, and adjust your trading plan accordingly.
Your journal will differ from other trader's journal so be mindful you're keeping dated records of everything you do.
Be patient and disciplined
Successful trading requires patience and discipline. Avoid the temptation to make impulsive trades based on emotions or rumors, and stick to your trading plan. Remember that trading is a long-term endeavor, and focus on making consistent gains over time rather than trying to get rich quick.
If you add stress to your journey, the road to being a profitable trader will not be enjoyable. Being patient and disciplined can reserve your mental and physical capacity as a trader.
Stay informed
Finally, it is important to stay informed about the markets you are trading in. I'm big on not following every trader's advice or suggestions because then, you'll trade their journey. While their journey may be great yours could suffer if they decide to stop trading and you can't hold your own.
To get the best results, stay up to date with current price movement. If you are a fundamental trader, stay up to date on what economical data is moving the market. be sure you understand what you do for yourself and not based on what others have to say about the market.
In conclusion, trading can be a rewarding and profitable venture, but it requires dedication, discipline, and a solid education. By following these top tips for new traders, you can avoid many common mistakes and develop a strong foundation for your trading career. Remember to stay patient, manage your risk, and stay informed, and you will be on your way to success in the world of trading.
I'll be live-streaming here on Trading view tomorrow at 1:00 pm EST. to give more tips to help the beginner trader.
I hope to see you there and I hope you enjoyed these tips.
CURRENCY CORRELATION HEAT MAPCurrency correlation is important to understand in forex trading because it could impact your trading results often without you even knowing it.
In this post, I will share some information about correlations in forex trading and how you are able to use it to your advantage to avoid unnecessary losses. Throughout my journey as a beginner trader, I have bought or sold 2 different currency pairs many times without knowing they are negatively correlated just to let the gains be offset by
the other pair.
My aim in this short post is to bring awareness about the positive and negative correlations between the currencies, specifically the most traded major pairs in the forex market.
What is correlation in forex trading?
A foreign exchange correlation is the connection between 2 different currency pairs. There is a positive correlation when 2 pairs move in the same direction, a negative correlation when they move in opposite direction, and no correlation if the pairs move with no relationship. In order to understand the relationship between 2 currencies, you must know the correlation coefficient and how it relates.
What is correlation coefficient?
A correlation coefficient represents how strong or weak a correlation is between 2 forex pairs. They are expressed in values and range from -100 to 100 or -1 to 1, with the decimal representing the coefficient. The higher the value of the correlation coefficient will largely reflect the movement of the other pair.
See Figure 1. Correlation Heat Map
For example, If the reading is -70 and above 70, it is considered to have strong correlation between the two. Readings anywhere between -70 to 70 means that the pairs are less correlated. With coefficients near the 0 mark, means little or no relationship with one or another. As traders, implementing risk management in our trading plan also reflects to correlations as you may think its a good ides to buy 2 highly correlated pairs thinking you will double your profits when in reality you may lose double the money as both trades could end up in a loss as you're doubling your risk.
Figure 2 . Positive Correlation: EURUSD / AUDUSD
As we can see on this line chart between EURUSD / AUDUSD, both pairs have a strong correlation coefficient as they are moving in almost the same direction. The correlation coefficient is valued at 75 as noted on the heat map. For example, if you place a buy order EURUSD and place a sell order on AUDUSD, expect a win and a loss in most cases.
Figure 3. Negative Correlation: EURGBP / GBPUSD
On this line chart, we can see that both of these parts are moving in opposite directions which are showing a negative correction between the two which in fact is also known as an inverted correction. The correlation coefficient is valued at -90 on the heat map which means if you place a buy order on EURGBP and a place a sell order on GBPUSD you may double your profits, but again you're doubling your risk.
Figure 4. No Correlation: GBPJPY / USDJPY
This line chart shows that both of these pairs move in the same direction with a correlation coefficient of -9 which has almost no correlation. If you place a buy order on GBPJPY and place a sell order on USDJPY, one of these trades will most likely end up in a loss. The pairs that have no correlation usually have different and separate economic conditions therefore coefficient values tend to be lower.
In summary, understanding which pairs are correlated with one another will be able to help build your strategy and improve your trading results. Every trading strategy NEEDS to have Risk Management implemented in it as it is the key to sustainability for the long run.
Trading is a marathon NOT a sprint.
To learn more about forex correlations and their relationships, please see the following links.
References:
www.tradingview.com
ca.investing.com
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The Seven Major Factors Affecting Gold.Firstly, the demand for gold commodities affects the price.
In addition to its use as a daily decorative item, gold plays an important role in industry, occupying an irreplaceable position in industries such as dentistry, electronics, and others. As a hedge tool, the price of gold is influenced by demand, and the supply and demand relationship directly affects the price of gold. Changes in production will also affect the gold price, such as the demand for teeth in Japan and the demand for jewelry in India, both of which directly affect the monthly price trend of gold each year.
Secondly, the gold output determines the supply-demand balance of gold.
The production of gold-producing countries directly affects the supply-demand balance of gold. Currently, China has the largest gold production, followed by South Africa. Any unexpected event, such as strikes and other special situations, will have an impact on the gold price.
Thirdly, international interest rates and exchange rates directly affect the gold price.
Interest rates and exchange rates have a direct impact on the gold price, especially the trend of the US dollar. The international status of the US gold price directly determines the status of the country's international finance, and the price of the US dollar also directly affects the price of gold. As the US dollar, which also has investment functions like gold, it directly affects the gold price. If the investment trend of the US dollar is strong, gold investment will be relatively less, while the opposite is true for the US dollar in a weak investment market, where the role of gold as a reserve asset and a hedge will be stronger.
Fourthly, inflation stimulates the gold price.
When the consumer price index rises and inflation affects investments, gold is no exception. When the price fluctuation of a country is severe, and the inflation rate is high, and the price fluctuation is severe, people's panic will intensify. When purchasing power declines, people will worry about future security and choose to buy gold to hedge, which will cause the gold price to continue to rise. Although the current role of gold in fighting inflation is not as significant as before, high inflation will still stimulate the gold price.
Fifthly, political situations such as wars can stimulate the gold price.
Political instability promotes the rise of the gold price, and war causes a rise in commodity prices, leading to a rise in gold prices. Similarly, as a critical strategic material, the price of gold has a remarkable correlation with the price of oil. When the price of oil rises, the gold price rises as well. Conversely, when the price of oil falls, the gold price also falls.
Sixth, as a safe-haven demand, gold is the first choice
Due to the small total reserves, the price of gold is relatively stable, and because it has served as a currency, it is an excellent tool for hedging and hedging. As an important hedging tool, gold has strong political sensitivity. Jewelry in prosperous times, gold in troubled times, when the economy is in recession, investment will favor gold more, and it will also directly affect the price of gold.
7. Investors’ psychological expectations
The psychological expectations of investors are an important factor affecting the price of gold, but they usually do not act alone. Instead, they often change in conjunction with the variations in the aforementioned factors, amplifying or reducing the expected value of gold and causing significant differences in its price.
Following the footsteps of the market, respecting the market, and aweing the market is to follow the market
Pay attention to me and you will discover that trading is so simple and enjoyable!
How to achieve profits by managing emotions?Market fluctuations are often a direct reflection of the emotions of market participants. Managing and controlling emotions is essential for successful trading. If you cannot control your emotions, you will suffer from impulsive emotional behavior and make bad decisions, which will harm your trading performance.
Negative emotions such as fear, hatred, anger, greed, jealousy, pessimism, and despair can lead to negative consequences for traders. Traders who have negative emotions may lack the ability to leave positions, refuse to accept reality, and blame others, resulting in selling positions only after a long period of price declines, missing the best buying points, and selling too early.
Negative traders may also regard failure as a negative, significant, and final result, attributing losses to their own shortcomings or negligence.
Everyone experiences various emotions, but people with high emotional intelligence can better manage their negative emotions and vent them appropriately. Emotional control skills can be developed through practice, but it is important to note that this process is a long-term and systematic one. Traders must be psychologically prepared for this.
Therefore, no matter what happens, you must control your impulsive emotions. Take a deep breath for 10 seconds, then choose the best course of action. This often leads to more rational and correct decisions.
Do not make decisions when impulsive, and do not make promises when excited. By managing your emotions, you gain control over your life.
There are various emotions in life, and you must learn to manage and control them. Do not be a slave to your emotions. Manage your negative emotions and cleverly transfer them . Similarly, controlling emotions in life determines emotional control in trading.
The three stages of emotional failure leading to trading losses are: 1) being careless before unexpected events occur; 2) being panicked after unexpected events occur; 3) being eager to make up losses after suffering losses. The solutions are as follows:
Always respect the market and trade with caution. Approach the market with a trembling, cautious attitude.
Once you suffer losses, do not panic. Stop trading temporarily, find the cause, identify the problems, and improve your system.
Impatience is the biggest reason for traders' losses. Heavy positions are impatience, opening and closing positions without signals is impatience, frequent trading is impatience, adding positions is impatience, which is essentially greed, wanting to make money quickly. Be patient, make calm decisions, and the market will reward you.
Human weaknesses that need to be overcome in the trading process
Fear of missing out
Before entering the market, you may have a bullish or bearish view and enter accordingly. Once you have a position, you are constantly concerned with the fluctuations of your account funds, tormented by various temptations, fears, greed, persistence, hope, and emotions influenced by these changes, and ignoring the market itself. This greatly interferes with normal thinking and judgment.
Whether it's a long or short position, whether it's a profit or loss, as long as small gains and losses are within an acceptable range, one should beware of large losses. Traders should focus on the correctness of the process and be content with the results as they come. If you think about the results in advance, it will disturb the entire trading process and result in losses every time.
The human mind always jumps ahead to imagine unrealistic outcomes and ignores what is actually happening in the present. This is a big mistake in our lives. These are the causes of fear or greed, which can lead to traders regretting after placing an order or closing a position, causing hesitation and indecision.
The reason for this is that there is no effective trading system, causing traders to lack confidence in any aspect of the trading process.
Confronting the market
Traders must first understand that the market does not shift according to human will. The education we have received since childhood is based on competition, such as overcoming various obstacles and fighting difficulties. This consciousness has deeply rooted itself in the hearts of traders.
In fact, when traders enter the market, they still carry this mentality. Often, some elites from various industries come to the market and suffer failures, and even more thoroughly than ordinary people.
This is because successful people in other industries have a strong sense of self and do not believe they will fail. They are also unwilling to accept their own failures. Their success makes their personalities become very tough, so when the market turns against them, they do not know how to yield and compromise, but adopt a confrontational attitude until they are destroyed.
People in life tend to defend their views to some extent, unwilling to admit their judgment errors. Therefore, regardless of whether a person is right or wrong, they will stick to their attitude to the end. What they defend is not the truth, but their self.
This inherent nature of struggle and the attitude of not wanting to yield or give up self is the biggest obstacle in trading. Holding positions, not setting stop losses, and not admitting mistakes can eventually result in large losses or even liquidation.
The pursuit of perfection
The pursuit of perfection is a very greedy and extreme mentality. Because of this pursuit, it does not allow any flaws, cannot bear even very small losses, and it is difficult to execute a stop loss when necessary, and wants more profit when it is time to close a profitable position. Because of this pursuit, a person tries to capture every movement and does not want to miss any market situation.
Everyone has their own limitations and areas in which they are not good at. The pursuit of perfection can easily lead to frequent and impulsive trading.
To be continued...
A unified digital currency for Russia and Iran? The digital rubl
According to news from Russia, the unified digital currency between Russia and Iran may be implemented before the end of the year, which means that the bilateral local currency settlement between Russia and Iran has taken a big step forward and has reached the threshold of a unified digital currency. Not long ago, the Central Bank of Russia announced that it would officially launch the digital ruble pilot project on April 1. It seems that not only Russia has its own digital currency, but also Iran has been tied to it. The unified digital currency of the two countries has not appeared since the advent of CBDC. However, maybe Russia and Iran can come up with something new and let the world continue to explore new directions
To say that Iran's strength is limited, especially its high-tech strength is even more limited. The best technology at present is to provide drones to Russia. This is still developed on the basis of capturing American drones, but Iranian drones are indeed more useful. Great, Russia has used a large number of Iraqi-made drones on the front line of Ukraine, which has caused major damage to Ukraine, but when it comes to high-tech finance, Iran is stretched, and it has no ability to develop digital currency alone, tied to Russian tanks to develop a unified Digital currency, for Iran, may be able to enter the era of digital currency ahead of schedule.
At present, the most typical digital currency is the digital currency of a country, including the digital Hong Kong dollar developed by an autonomous region like Hong Kong. There has never been a unified digital currency developed by two countries, and the progress is very fast now.
The digital ruble is about to start, which is also very important for Russia. Joining the digital currency competition will help Russia de-dollarize and realize currency independence. Therefore, Russia is not far behind in digital currency research and development, at least ahead of the euro, etc., and even the digital dollar has reached It has not yet started. Russia is one step ahead. The purpose is to firmly grasp the currency autonomy and realize the internationalization of the ruble in the process of promoting de-dollarization. This is conducive to safeguarding Russia’s sovereignty and interests. It is an inevitable move for Russia. Now is the critical moment.
Judging from these signs, Russia is going to start the digital ruble first, and then start the unified digital currency with Iran after the digital ruble is running smoothly. In fact, it is to develop a new digital currency on the basis of the digital ruble. Utilize the original infrastructure, and it is likely to be a digital ruble in disguise, but Iran can voluntarily accept it. Under the premise of not being able to develop its own digital currency, it will willingly accept the digital ruble or even the digital ruble in disguise. Russia and Iran are getting closer.
Fundamentally speaking, due to the extremely low cost of digital currency, transaction payment settlement and circulation are very fast, the digital currency of any country can be exchanged and payment transaction settlement at the fastest speed, so there is no need to engage in a unified unified number Currency, you only need to do a good job in the infrastructure platform, but it is not realistic for Russia to develop digital currency for Iran, so it is simply bundled together. This is a reasonable guess at present. How far it will go is hard to say at the moment, it can only be further observation and analysis.
Traders, if you like me or have your own opinion about it, please write in the comments. I will be happy
Promise me, you must live better than me
A morning is a legend, and every morning is indispensable in the chain of life legends. Today's morning breeze, today's morning glow and sunrise, is the only one in your life, if you miss it, you will miss it forever. I don't know tens of thousands of thousands of years of practice, we are lucky to have this accident of life, and we have this opportunity to write legends. Friends, when you have completed the necessary energy supply, don't be greedy for the port at night, let's set sail!
I wish my friends a happy weekend, a harmonious and happy family, and investment will make money. I am very lucky to be friends with you in this vast crowd. I hope my appearance will bring you good luck.
When Your Trading Journey Begins...
Hey traders,
In this article, we will discuss your first steps in trading.
Being interested in financial markets and being attracted by an idea to become a full time trader, you decide to learn how to trade.
The first obstacle that you will most likely face with is a tremendous range of topics and strategies to study:
key levels, price action, technical indicators, fundamental analysis...
The problem is that there is no one single way to learn how to trade.
Each educational article, each guru on YouTube dictates their own specific path.
You will most likely feel lost, not being able to grasp what even to start with.
You will chaotically jump from one topic to another, not being able to understand which concepts do actually work.
The situation will even worsen once you decide to try to trade on real money. I do not know any trade who would not blow his first trading deposit.
Not only you will be paralyzed by the complexity of the subject, but you will also lose money simultaneously.
There will be a lot of times when you will think about leaving this game. Many times, you will consider the entire trading industry to be a scam.
That is the moment where most of the traders quit.
I am telling you all that simply because I want to show you that we all have the same path. We go through the same obstacles and we think the same way.
The only difference between a true winner and a loser, however, is that winners never give up. Winners keep working hard and stay patient. And at the end of the day, magic things happen to them.
After years of practicing and suffering, one day you will certainly realize how the things work. One day you will become a full time trade. Just don't give up, always remember, “The nearer the dawn the darker the night.”
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Risk-to-Reward > Win RateWe have mentioned it in a list of our previous educational posts and we will state it again: your risk-reward plan is much more important than your win rate. You can have a 90% win rate and still be losing in the long-run. On the contrary, you only need a 35% win rate to be a consistently profitable trader on the longer term.
Beginners mainly focus on winning as many trades as possible and it is totally understandable, because we have all been there. "The more trades I enter, the more money I will make" principle has destroyed many trading careers. The explanation to the "Why?" question is pretty simple: when we are new to trading, every win gives us euphoria and makes us think we are the rulers of the market. Guess what happens next, the market hits back, puts us in a position where we are stuck in a losing streak, and humbles us enough to quit trading and think it does not work.
As we get more experienced, we lean towards the "Less is more" principle and believe that quality will always be over quantity.
As an instance, we have orchestrated 2 scenarios on the graph.
The example on the upper side of the screen shows how our trader has a 80% win rate but has yet failed to remain in profits due to the fact that he does not have a solid risk management plan.
On the opposite side of the road, we have Trader B who is able to remain in consistent profits by winning only 20% of the executed transactions. All those minor losses that he made got covered by one big win, and as long as he keeps following the current risk management policy and strategy of his, he is sure that he will be consistently profitable in the long run.
How important is liquidity in the forex
In the foreign exchange market, understanding liquidity and volatility is crucial for investors, as liquidity refers to the level of trading activity and volatility is highly influenced by liquidity. If liquidity is too poor, it can lead to significant price fluctuations, making it difficult for investors to manage risks.
What is liquidity, and why is it important?
Liquidity can be used to observe the level of activity in the foreign exchange market, specifically how many buy and sell orders are actively traded.
The foreign exchange market is a 24-hour trading market, with a daily trading volume of nearly $6 trillion, making it one of the most liquid markets in the world.
However, it is worth noting that not all currency pairs have excellent liquidity in the foreign exchange market. In fact, currency pairs often have varying degrees of liquidity depending on whether they are major, minor, or exotic currency pairs. Liquidity decreases in the order of major currency pairs -> minor currency pairs -> exotic currency pairs.
What are the major currency pairs with the "best" liquidity?
EURUSD
The euro against the US dollar is the most actively traded currency pair in the foreign exchange market due to the eurozone and the US being the two largest economies globally.
Due to the enormous trading volume of the EURUSD currency pair, it also has high liquidity, making its volatility usually lower than other currency pairs. However, even the most liquid instruments can experience significant price swings under certain conditions, such as the outbreak of the Covid-19 pandemic in March 2020, when the Fed implemented zero interest rates and unlimited QE, causing the EURUSD to surge instantaneously, one of the high volatility scenarios.
USDJPY
The US dollar against the Japanese yen is the second most traded currency pair in the foreign exchange market, second only to the EURUSD.
The USDJPY currency pair also has high liquidity because during periods of economic uncertainty or financial market turmoil globally, the Japanese yen is widely regarded as a "safe-haven currency." Thus, market funds are easy to flow into buying the Japanese yen, often resulting in a significant increase in trading volume of the USDJPY currency pair.
GBPUSD
The British pound against the US dollar currency pair is also known as "Cable" because GBPUSD was the first currency pair to be traded via transatlantic communication cables.
The UK and the US are two major Western economies with close trade relations, making the trading volume of GBPUSD also massive.
What are the "lowest" liquidity exotic currency pairs?
Exotic currency pairs usually have the lowest liquidity, such as the Polish zloty against the Japanese yen.
As the economic trade volume between Poland and Japan itself is not high, the delivery demand or hedging risk demand of the two currencies is relatively small. Therefore, exotic currency pairs usually have low liquidity.
Does the liquidity of the forex market vary during different trading sessions throughout the day?
In daily forex trading, there are periods of low activity, such as during the Asian session when prices tend to consolidate. However, during the London and US sessions, prices are more likely to experience significant fluctuations.
Among the trading sessions throughout the day, the US morning session has the best liquidity, as it overlaps with trading hours in Europe and London. The forex trading volume during the European and London trading sessions accounts for over 50% of the daily global trading volume, with the overlapping period with the US morning session accounting for approximately 20% of the total daily trading volume.
The volatility of forex is directly influenced by liquidity.
Liquidity has a significant direct impact on market price volatility in all financial markets, including the forex market. High liquidity markets have higher trading volumes and therefore lower volatility, resulting in more stable commodity prices. In contrast, low liquidity markets have lower trading volumes, higher volatility, and commodity prices are more likely to experience significant fluctuations.
As a professional with in-depth knowledge of futures products such as cryptocurrencies, forex, stocks, gold, and crude oil, I regularly update my trading strategies. Thank you for your support and likes, and please feel free to leave me a message if you have any questions. I will provide you with the most reliable advice and hope to be of help to you.
How to survive in the market for the long-term?
In the market, regret is a frequent word. Many people face the complex investment market and often feel fear, hesitation, and regret, whether it's before buying, after buying, after selling, or just watching without buying. How to avoid this phenomenon? The fear, hesitation, and regret are largely due to not knowing how to manage positions and follow the crowd. Often pursuing high probability profits results in the opposite.
Risk management is an unavoidable issue when it comes to this. Whether you are a financial master or an individual investor, the importance of risk management is paramount. To relax and operate in the market, you need to face your current situation, make correct judgments on the profit and loss ratio, determine your operating frequency and position management, and give yourself correct psychological guidance.
Everyone's personality is different, and their risk tolerance and trading styles are also different. There is no strategy that is 100% accurate, but if you want to survive in the market for a long time, you need to control risk. Don't be afraid of losses. Losses are inevitable, but the key is how much loss you can tolerate. This is the core of risk management. For small losses, we need to prepare ourselves psychologically. This is a link in risk management. Don't rely on luck. The losses brought about by a lucky mentality are incalculable.
About 70% of the time in market fluctuations is in oscillation, and only about 30% of the time is in a unilateral surge or decline. Therefore, accumulating small victories is the magic weapon for long-term success. Always wanting to go all-in and make a big move at once may result in missed profits due to not exiting in time. No matter what state you are in now, I hope I can bring you a little bit of help!
The Simpliest Math Behind Every Succesful TraderWhat exactly is risk management?
The ability to control your losses so that you do not lose all of your equity is referred to as risk management. This is a system that may be applied to everything that involves probabilities: trading, poker, blackjack, sports betting, and so on.
Many inexperienced traders underestimate the significance of risk management or don't understand the basics when it comes to risk management.
Would you risk $5,000 on every trade if you had a $10,000 trading account? Probably not. Because it only takes two consecutive losses in order to lose everything.
🧠 Now, let's imagine a thought experiment, in wich 🤩Alex and 🤨Peter are both traders with $10,000 in their accounts. Alex is a high-risk trader who puts $2500 risk on every trade. Peter is a cautious trader who puts $100 risk on every trade. Both apply a trading strategy that has a 50% success rate with an average risk-to-reward ratio of 1:2.
For good example, let's imagine the next 8 trades had the following results:
4 losing trades in a row
4 winning trades in a row
Here is the result for Alex: -$2,500, -$2,500, -$2,500, -$2,500 = -$10,000 Loss of the total account 😭😭😭😭
Here is the result for Peter: -$100, -$100, -$100, -$100, +$200, +$200, +$200, +$200 = +$800 Profits. 🏆 🏆 🏆 🏆
Can you tell the difference? See how risk management show the difference between being a profitable or losing trader. Peter managed to recover losing trades, and get into good profits after 8 trades. Alex didn't survive 4 trades...
🚨 You might have the finest trading strategy in the world, but if you don't manage how much you lose, you'll lose it all. It's only a matter of probability and time.
However, following this basic example will assist you to make your trading more profitable. Simply give it a shot.
Kind regards
Artem Crypto
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Biases that influence your decisions Biases that influence your investment decisions
Most people who invest in the stock market don't reach their goals. The top 1% of investors can double or even triple their returns from the market.
Reason: how investors think
How this article will help you avoid these biases: * Awareness - Knowing what biases affect your decision making is half the battle.
*Routine: I've made a list of biases that affect your analysis and biases that make you overestimate investments.
Cognitive frivolity
All of the following biases work so well because of the way people's minds work. Cognitive light-mindedness is a state of mind that is wanted and linked to good feelings. This is the main reason why people make bad choices.
Halo effect
It is much easier to think in black-and-white stereotypes than in gray ones. The halo effect explains why we like or dislike everything about someone or something that is connected to them. It's harder than we think to agree with some ideas and disagree with others.
What You See Is All There Is
All there is is what you see. You can't think about something you don't know. In a strange way, self-righteousness goes up when you only listen to one point of view. Again, we choose certainty over uncertainty.
Anchoring
Our decisions are mostly based on the first information we get. If you know that Apple shares are worth $150, they will look like a good deal at $120. Not even knowing if $150 is close to what something is really worth.
Regression (Correction)
We love to find links between things that don't have any. Regression to the mean can be one of the most important, but often overlooked, factors. Due to price balancing, everything tends to be worth about the same.
Perceptual bias
We think that events were easier to predict than they really were because of what we already thought. In hindsight, it's easy to make up connections between things. The truth, though, is more complicated. There are a lot of good ways to guess what will happen.
The Fallacy of Mastery
Both buyers and sellers know the same things. They buy and sell stocks based on what they think. People don't believe that short-term stock picking is good luck because it's done by smart people.
Loss aversion
Loss aversion makes us ignore even gambling that has a good chance of going our way. A loss has twice the weight of an equal gain.
Dedication bias
Commitment is linked to good traits like consistency and intelligence. In this way, we don't break our promises. Investment decisions must be talked about in public. The more you talk, the more you can persuade yourself of something.
Leaning toward recent events
We tend to give too much weight to things that have happened recently. Because of this effect, the market tends to move in a certain direction most of the time. When things are going well, we think they will only get better. We think that when things go wrong, they will only get worse.
Effect of ownership
When we own something, we value it more. This is one way we can explain why we did what we did. Before we buy a stock, we look at it critically and try to find any risks. After making a purchase, we think about the good things about it to justify our choice.
This is called confirmation bias
We choose what to believe based on what we already know. What doesn't fit with our ideas is either ignored or called a lie.
Thinking based on odds
We often think based on how we feel. But in our lives, everything is a game of chances. Using reasoning to think about the most likely outcomes will help us make better decisions.
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✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
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Trading is a trial and error process
In the case of constant mistakes, the main problems faced are shrinking funds and psychological suffering! A trader must reduce the probability of making mistakes, because your profits come from the losses of others. That is to say, when someone makes a mistake, there will be profits for people to make in the market, but you can't calculate and predict how many people will make mistakes in the next step, and how big a mistake they will make, and you can't guarantee that every time you Both are on the right side. Then, in trading, the only thing you can do is when you make a mistake, try to keep the time of the mistake as short as possible. All that's left is to wait for someone else's mistakes, do you agree with me?
Trading is to trade for profit, not to trade out of anger, so traders must understand what action to take at what stage the price is in! Traders are not always long, nor are they always short, traders always change with market changes! Traders must have their own defensive measures to control risks! Of course, money management is a must in your trading!
We don't necessarily have to trade every day. We can't earn enough wealth for a lifetime in one day. While learning to relax ourselves, we should also give the brain time to rest. If you agree with my views and investment suggestions, I hope you can provide valuable suggestions suggestion.