EURUSD: Part 1 funny story!I. Not proficient unconsciously.
When you enter the market and start trading, you may think that it's a great way to make money because you hear a lot about it and know of people who have made a lot of money from Forex. However, it's important to note that this is just the first stage and, like when you first learn to drive, it may seem easy at first but can be challenging as you continue to learn. Prices in the market can fluctuate wildly, adding to the complexity of Forex trading.
When you're new to trading, it can be overwhelming and confusing. You may find yourself unsure of what to do when you see the prices fluctuate in the market. Without proper knowledge, you may take risks that could potentially harm your trades. You may even fall into a cycle of increasing your trading volume when you feel confident, only to end up losing capital in the long run. This is a common stage for beginners that typically lasts a few months to a year before moving on to the next phase.
Continue ...
I will release the next part tomorrow, stay tuned.
Trading Plan
Why 90% Of Traders Lose Money?
Trading is a tough business and most people who start in the business lose money.
And these numbers aren't small at all, really. In fact, they might even be scary to look at. Therefore, in this article, we will look at some of the most popular reasons why more than 90% of new traders will lose their money in trading.
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The most common reason why many traders lose money is simply that they want to become professional traders without learning more about it first. They trade without even learning the differences between assets and how trading works. Other people start trading after seeing the hyped stories of millionaire traders on television.
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Some traders just follow the recommendations of others and do not conduct technical analyses of their own.
Traders should review the prices, analyze the volume, check the prior trends and analyze other technical indicators before placing their intraday orders.
Rushing just to place buy or sell orders is one of the biggest mistakes intraday traders make.
One should conduct proper technical analysis and then start trading.
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The phrase- “Trend is your best friend” always works in the market. Not following the trend is another biggest mistake that day traders make.
Unless a trader has many years of experience and understanding of the market, traders should try to avoid going against the trend.
If the market is in a strong uptrend, then one should try to trade in the up direction only unless there is any strong resistance or chart pattern breakout.
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Some traders follow rumors and recommendations which are spread by the media houses and brokers.
This is another big mistake that intraday traders make. One should not blindly follow the intraday trading tips and rumors without their own analysis.
Going by these recommendations without conducting your own analysis can cause huge losses.
As we have discussed above traders should conduct proper research before following any recommendations or intraday tips. As we all know that the intraday trading is a mixed bag of losses and gains. Not every trade goes right or is profitable. Thus traders should put a stop loss of their trades when doing intraday trading to protect their capital from losses.
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TRADING OR A JOB? DEEP DIVE❗️
Are you torn between choosing a job and getting into trading? Both have their advantages and pitfalls, but by combining the two, you can reap the rewards of both worlds.
🚷Firstly, let's consider a traditional job. A job offers security, stability, and a predictable income. You work for a set number of hours, and you receive a paycheck. You have employer benefits such as healthcare, 401k matching, and paid time off.
On the downside, you are limited to your salary, which may not always reflect your hard work and dedication. You may feel stuck in your role as there are usually limited opportunities for career advancement. And if you lose your job, you lose that source of income.
💹Now let's consider trading. Trading offers the potential for uncapped income, flexibility, and the autonomy to make your decisions. You can trade anywhere with an internet connection, and there are many different markets to choose from, such as forex, stocks, and commodities. You have complete control over your financial destiny.
However, trading is not for everyone. It requires a lot of time, effort, and discipline to become successful. There are risks involved, and you can lose money if you do not know what you are doing. It can also be a lonely profession as you may be working alone most of the time.
💡Now, what if we combine the two? This is where the concept of "side hustles" comes into play. You can keep your job for the stability and security, but you can also trade on the side to increase your income and diversify your portfolio.
By trading on the side, you can use the abundance of time outside of your job to learn, practice, and implement trading strategies. Gradually, you may earn enough money from trading to eventually quit your job and become a full-time trader.
However, the combination of the two must be approached with caution. Trading can be time-consuming, and you do not want to sacrifice the quality of your work at your job. It is also essential to practice risk management and not invest money that you cannot afford to lose.
⚖️In conclusion, both a job and trading have their advantages and disadvantages. Combining the two is an excellent way to increase your income, diversify your portfolio, and potentially become a full-time trader. But proceeding with caution, discipline, and good money management is key to success. Remember, the goal is to build a better future for yourself, and with the right balance between a job and trading, you can achieve it.
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The Story of a Failed Trader | OKXIDEASOnce upon a time there was a man who was a very poor and he belong to a middle class family but he had the ability to dream it. He was 20 years old and he also think that he spend all of had 20 years doing nothing, he was a dreamer. He wanted to become a rich man, he finding ways to become a rich man, he tried almost every thing but failed. One day he watched a video about trading on YouTube and he decided to become a trader, become a rich with trading and fulfill all of had dreams. He started to learn trading, he watched all of educational videos about trading on YouTube and spend had 15 hours every day just watching videos, now he knows about the basic trading he shifted to the analysis part of trading, he started to practice and learn the technical analysis. He find the method that he can trade with, he combined some technical indicator signals and created strategy for himself. Now he had very passionate about trading, wanted to open a real account and start trading with real account. He had some saving money around 500 dollar he deposited that money in the real account and start trading with that money. He started dreaming from the first day of trading and created some trading rules for himself like he had to take 10% risk per trade and don't take that trade which is below 1/1 risk to reward ratio. On the first day he had taken almost 3 trades and win all of them, now he was more excited for trading he had made $192 profit means something around 38% profit on 500 dollar account. He wanted to trade more but he was a little bit smarter one, he think that i am in profit and my wining ratio is 100% so why i just damage my wining ratio and why i just risk my today profit so he had decided to come back tomorrow. On the second day he had $692 total balance in the account, he had to play a little bit more smarter than a previous day and he decided to take 10% risk per trade of the current total balance $692 in the account rather than the starting balance which is $500. On the second day he take almost 4 trades and he won 2 trades out of 4 trades, now the account condition had almost break-even no loss & no profit, he decided to try again and trade more, he finding the reason to trade more and then he calculate today and yesterday total taken trades which is 7 trades, he think that i won 5 trades out of 7 trades so my wining ratio is almost around 70% which is good and i can trade more because my wining ratio is still above 50% so i am still in positive side. He trade almost 3 trades again and he lose all of them, now he had very sad and almost broken, he decided to step back and come back later. He sturdy himself and come back on the third day, now he had facing a little bit draw-down on the third day the total account balance is around 484 dollar, he started looking for the trades opportunity and at the end of the day he took almost 5 trades with the 10% risk per trade but the third day results had also again bad and he lose 4 trades out of 5 and just win 1 trade, he had very shameful from himself, he closed the laptop goes to outdoor and talk to himself. He analysis the current situation of the account, it that point the total account balance is around 276 dollar he almost around 45% in draw-down and the wining ratio had below 50% so now he entered to the negative side. On the fourth day morning he traded 2 trades and he lose both of them now he almost lose the hope and the account condition had around 72% in draw-down and he left only 138 dollar in the account. At the time he give up and he just decided to depend on just one trade, he just waiting for the best opportunity of the day and finally he got the trade but at the end he lose that trade again and he almost blow out had account.
After that all he had stressful and sad from almost one week, he decided to leave the trading and move on to the next thing and he looking to find other things that suitable for him because he think that trading is not suitable for him. One month later he just scrolling on the internet and he see the FAQ that 90% of traders lose and only 10% had succeed, now he had a little bit shock and he think that its pretty normal every trader in the 90% had facing that stage which stage that i faced.
He decided to come back to trading and start from the zero, he started to modify had strategy and created new rules for had strategy like he set this time risk to reward ratio for had trades is minimum 1/2 and he decided to risk only 2% of the total account also he decided to take only 2 trades per day, this time he opened the demo account rather than the real account and start trading with demo account, he decided to journal had journey and after one month of consistency he hadn't break any rules and when he see the results after month he had profitable, now he feel like stronger and he continue the journey with that same demo account after three months he had similar results and still profitable. In that time he think that i don't have much money and in trading it's required a lot of money to earn a lot of profits, he started to search for that how he had to prove himself to big investors and raise money for himself to trade. One day he searching and he knows about prop firms trading now he had interested in that and wanted to know more about prop firms, he think that this is the big opportunity for himself to become succeed quickly, now he decided to trade with prop firms and buy the challenge from the prop firms, he adjusted had strategy rules and trading plan according to the prop firms requirement, now but the only problem is that he don't have money to actually buy the prop firms challenge. By the way he was dropout from the school after completing had secondary education and so he just setting at the home, he don't have much money to buy the challenge, the pocket money of him had just depend on him father and he hadn't want to say to father to give me extra money because of him father was very poor and he work as a taxi driver, so then he had decided to get the any kind of job for himself and try to earn some money in the form of salary and buy the challenge with that money, he worked hard and after one month he got the salary and then he just swift to the prop firm website and buy the $50000 account challenge for himself, now he started trading with challenge account phase one, on the phase one he decided to risk only 1% per trade, take only 2 trades a day and the every trade risk to reward ratio had to minimum 1/2 after one month of consistency he gained +8% profit, he was in profit but he hadn't achieved the prop firm required profit target which is +10% in that case prop firm gives traders free retake so then he take the challenge again with the new account and new month from zero and he think that my wining ratio for the previous month is almost around 40% with minimum 1/2 risk to reward ratio and my daily limit is 2 trades so i need to increase my daily limit from 2 to 3 because if i traded with the same rule 2 trades a day then i hadn't pass with 40% wining ratio. He calculate some numbers like he think, if i take 3 trades per day so then at the end of the month my all trades had to be 60 trades per month and if i maintain my 40% wining ratio then i can easily pass the challenge with that mindset he started the challenge and strictly follow the rules after month he hadn't maintain the 40% wining ratio and he end up with some loss and failed the challenge, this time he almost faced big depression after some days left he realized had mistake and he think i made mistake that i increase my daily trades limit because of this my wining accuracy goes down, i just forced myself to take 3 trades per day and get trapped into the normal trades.
At that time he hadn't left any pathway he almost try everything but at the end he faced failure, him father had now getting older and he decided to step back again he start going to the normal job and start saving 30% of had salary, he do that job for almost one year and after one year later he had some saved money in the bank account to buy multiple 10x challenges, he come back to the trading but this time he hadn't leave the job and he do trading like part time thing. He started had journey again he decided to hadn't give up and repeat the process so then he started buying challenges after one by one in some challenges he failed in phase one in some he failed in phase two in some he almost pass the challenge and got the live funded account but hadn't get payout and lose the account in the first month.
The journey had started goes on and he just repeating the process and doing try again and again.
Will be continued.....
Some lessons from the story
> Never open real account in the start, try to learn first on demo account.
> Don't try to be smart in the front of the market.
> Don't lose hope in draw-downs just repeat the process of your trading plan.
> Take every trade with the hope of wining.
> Never depend on a single trade.
> Don't leave too fast stay in the market.
> Give yourself enough time to create the solid proven strategy that works at least for you.
> Respect your trading limits.
> Don't depend on just trading and never leave your job, consider trading like part-time thing in the starting.
> Learn from your mistakes and improve your performance.
> Make mistakes but don't repeat that mistakes again.
> Never depend on small capital always look for an opportunity.
> Journal your journey, record your trading performance and improve next time.
> Don't fear from failure.
> Be patient, market is here not going anywhere.
> Don't force yourself to take normal trades wait for good opportunity always.
> Don't count the numbers, you need to count the percentage.
> Don't try to be rich quickly.
> Step back, if you damaged from market then simply step back and come back stronger don't try to fight.
If you learned any other lessons from the story, let me know in the comments.
What you feel about one day he will be succeed or just the failure always, also let me know in the comments.
I hope you enjoyed the story, appreciate my work with like comments and share.
I wish you good luck in trading.
Common Fears in Trading and How to Overcome Them
As we discussed many types, psychology plans a crucial role in trading. Even the best strategy in the world, can be screwed by emotional decisions.
In this educational articles, we will discuss 5 common fears in trading and the ways to overcome them.
1️⃣Fear of the Unknown.
Lack of experience make many traders face "unusual" situations on the market: the setups, patterns, fluctuations and formation that they have never seen before. Such events cause inaction and paralyze. Not knowing how to deal with such situations, newbies make irrational decisions that most of the time incur losses.
✔️Solution:
The best way to beat the fear of the unknown is to keep learning:
reading the books, watching the charts, studying the historical data will help you to be prepared for various situations.
Also, your mindset plays an important role here: your adaptability, your willingness to accept the changing nature of the market are essential for your success in trading.
2️⃣Fear of Being Wrong.
Testing multiple strategies and trading techniques, the only way for the newbie traders to prove their efficiency is to try them, try them on real market. And of course, the majority of the stuff that you will try won't work. In trading, each mistake costs money, hence, losses will be inevitable.
The fear to make a mistake will be chasing you.
✔️Solution:
The best way to overcome the fear of being wrong is to build a confidence in your actions. After trying multiple strategies, you will certainly find the one that works. More you will trade with that, more winning trades you will catch, more confident you will become in your system.
3️⃣FOMO - Fear of Missing Out
There are thousands of instruments to trade. Many markets are opened 24 hours a day. Of course, you can not monitor them all, and even if you have a fixed watch list of the instruments that you trade, you can not monitor them 24/7.
Some opportunities will always be missed. Some trading setups will form while you are sleeping, and accurate patterns will form on the instruments that are not in your watch list.
Realizing the fact, that something will always be missed, is painful.
For that reason, newbie traders are trying to be present everywhere at anytime. But the paradox is that more options breed more confusion.
✔️Solution:
Always remember the fact that patience always pays.
Opportunities will always come, but in order to catch them, you need focus. And fewer instruments you have in your watch list, more attention you pay to them.
4️⃣Fear of Losing Money
The biggest risk in trading is the fact that your entire trading account can be blown in a glimpse of an eye.
Moreover, trading can be learned only by trading. And losses are inevitable, no matter how good you are.
That makes newbie traders be scared of opening just one single position.
✔️Solution:
I always give my students the recommendation to trade with the amount that they can afford themselves to lose.
Consider your trading account as an investment. With each single trade, you are investing in your skills, in your knowledge. You pay the market to teach you.
5️⃣Fear of Not Taking Profit at the Right Time
Imagine you opened a trade and the market suddenly starts moving in the direction that you expected. It is coming closer and closer to your target... A few seconds after, however, the market rolls over. You see how your profits start evaporation. Probably you chose incorrect take profit level? Maybe it is the moment to close the trade manually?
You are scared that all the profits will be gone.
✔️Solution:
Take profit level selection is a very hard element of each trading strategy. The only way to not let your emotions intervene is to build the solid system that proved its efficiency and learn to be disciplined to follow that no matter what.
Always remember that no one can teach you how to deal with yourself. How to deal with your emotions.
You should go through all these fears by your own and find the way to beat these dragons.
The solutions that I shared helped me to beat my dragons, I hope that they will help you to beat yours!
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Cutting Expenses and Increasing Income
There are steps you can take to get a handle on your finances – and your financial stress. The very first step is to figure out if your income covers all of your current expenses. An increase in expenses or a drop in income usually means a change in lifestyle. The sooner you look at your household budget, the more options you have and the better off you will be in the long run. Once you have a better understanding of where your money is going, it’s time to look at ways to make the best use of your hard-earned dollar.
Cutting Expenses
If you find that your expenses are more than your income, you can take steps to develop a spending plan and move toward balancing your budget.
Begin by listing your expenses, starting with expenses that provide basic needs for living. Some of these are fixed, such as rent or mortgage payments, car payments, or installment loan payments. Some are variable, such as clothing or consumer goods. These expenses have some flexibility.
It is important to know what you are currently spending to find ways to reduce spending and balance your budget.
After you have your list, the next step is think about what can be reduced or completely cut out. Think about how a repeating weekly or daily expense will add up over an entire year.
How can you save more?
Buy gently used clothing. Instead of spending BMV:60 or more on name brand jeans with holes, your teenager may find “cool” jeans for $6.
Save on energy costs. Turn down the thermostat 5 degrees. Turn off lights or a television when no one is in the room to save money on the electric bill.
Deferring on a repair or doing it yourself. If you don’t have the skills or the tools, perhaps there is a neighbor or friend that can help.
It is essential to stick to your spending plan. With less income, each spending decision is critical. Finding ways to pinch pennies can add up to dollars you can use to make ends meet
Even in good economic times, financial experts recommend a spending plan for effective money management. But good financial planning is an even more essential tool in tough times. Setting priorities for spending is a necessary step in finding a way to balance your budget-especially when you have less money available to spend.
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How to use Volume and Volatility to improve your tradesVolume and volatility are two important factors that can affect your trading performance. Volume measures the number of shares or contracts traded in a given period, while volatility measures the degree of price fluctuations. Understanding how these two factors interact can help you identify trading opportunities, manage risk, and optimize your entry and exit points.
In this article, we will explain how to use volume and volatility to improve your trades in four steps:
1. Analyze the volume and volatility patterns of the market or instrument you are trading. Different markets and instruments have different volume and volatility profiles, depending on factors such as liquidity, supply and demand, news events, and market sentiment. For example, some markets may have higher volume and volatility during certain hours of the day, while others may have lower volume and volatility during holidays or weekends. You can use tools such as volume bars, volume indicators, average true range (ATR), and historical volatility to analyze the volume and volatility patterns of your chosen market or instrument.
2. Identify the volume and volatility signals that indicate a potential trade setup. Volume and volatility signals can help you confirm the strength and direction of a trend, spot reversals and breakouts, and gauge the momentum and interest of the market participants. For example, some common volume and volatility signals are:
- High volume and high volatility indicate strong conviction and participation in a trend or a breakout. This can be a sign of a continuation or an acceleration of the price movement.
- Low volume and low volatility indicate weak conviction and participation in a trend or a breakout. This can be a sign of a consolidation or a slowdown of the price movement.
- Rising volume and rising volatility indicate increasing interest and activity in the market. This can be a sign of a potential reversal or breakout from a consolidation or a range.
- Falling volume and falling volatility indicate decreasing interest and activity in the market. This can be a sign of a potential exhaustion or continuation of a trend.
3. Choose the appropriate trading strategy based on the volume and volatility conditions. Depending on the volume and volatility signals you observe, you can choose different trading strategies to suit the market conditions. For example, some possible trading strategies are:
- Trend following: This strategy involves following the direction of the dominant trend, using volume and volatility to confirm the trend strength and identify entry and exit points. You can use trend indicators, such as moving averages, to define the trend direction, and use volume indicators, such as on-balance volume (OBV), to measure the buying and selling pressure behind the trend. You can also use volatility indicators, such as Bollinger bands, to identify periods of high or low volatility within the trend.
- Reversal trading: This strategy involves identifying potential turning points in the market, using volume and volatility to confirm the reversal signals. You can use reversal patterns, such as double tops or bottoms, head and shoulders, or candlestick patterns, to spot potential reversals, and use volume indicators, such as volume profile or accumulation/distribution line (ADL), to measure the distribution or accumulation of shares or contracts at different price levels. You can also use volatility indicators, such as standard deviation or Keltner channels, to identify periods of overbought or oversold conditions that may precede a reversal.
- Breakout trading: This strategy involves trading when the price breaks out of a consolidation or a range, using volume and volatility to confirm the breakout validity and direction. You can use support and resistance levels, such as horizontal lines, trend lines, or Fibonacci retracements, to define the boundaries of the consolidation or range, and use volume indicators, such as volume breakout or Chaikin money flow (CMF), to measure the inflow or outflow of money during the breakout. You can also use volatility indicators, such as average directional index (ADX) or Donchian channels, to measure the strength or weakness of the breakout.
4. Manage your risk and reward based on the volume and volatility expectations. Volume and volatility can also help you determine your risk-reward ratio, position size, stop-loss level, and profit target for each trade. Generally speaking,
- Higher volume and higher volatility imply higher risk and higher reward potential. You may need to use wider stop-losses and profit targets to account for the larger price fluctuations. You may also need to reduce your position size to limit your exposure to the market.
- Lower volume and lower volatility imply lower risk and lower reward potential. You may need to use tighter stop-losses and profit targets to account for the smaller price fluctuations. You may also need to increase your position size to enhance your returns from the market.
By following these four steps, you can use volume and volatility to improve your trades in any market or instrument. Volume and volatility are dynamic factors that reflect the supply and demand forces in the market.
What is Trading Plan? Detailed Example
A short ⚠️disclaimer before we start:
the rules that will be discussed in this post are applicable only for technicians - traders that are relying on price action/structure/etc.
Also, we assume that structure levels do work and for us, key levels are considered to be the safest trading zones/points.
In order to increase the accuracy of your predictions analyzing different financial markets, you must learn to identify the direction of the market.📈
The identification of the market trend must be based on strict & reliable & testable rules.
It can be based on technical indicators or price action
Personally, I prefer to rely on price action.
There are three main types of market trends:
Bullish Trend
Bearish Trend
Sideways Market
Depending on the current direction of the market, on the chart, I drew a flow chart✔️ that will help you to act safely.
➡️Sideways market signifies consolidation & indecision. Usually being in such a state the market tends to coil in horizontal ranges.
To trade such a market safely, the best option for you will be to wait for a breakout of the range & wait for the initiation of the trend.
➡️Once you spotted a bullish market, do not rush to buy.
Your task will be to identify the closest strong structure support .
You must be patient enough to let the price reach that support first (and by the way, there is no guarantee that it will happen) and then you must wait for a certain confirmation.
Only once you get the needed confirmation you can buy the market.
➡️The same strategy will be applicable to a bearish market.
Spotting a short rally it is way early to just sell the asset from a random point.
You must find the closest strong structure resistance and wait for the moment when the price will approach that.
Then your task will be to wait for a confirmation and only when you got the reliable trigger you short the market.
🦉Try to rely on this flow chart and I promise you that you will see a dramatic increase in your trading performance.
And even though it may appear to you that this flow chart is TOO SIMPLE, in practice, even such a set of rules requires iron discipline and patience.
Thank you so much for reading this article,
I hope you enjoy it!
Let me know, traders, what do you want to learn in the next educational post?
Steps to Becoming a Profitable Trader
This is a roadmap to becoming a profitable trader. Follow these steps to avoid wasting time and bouncing around from idea to idea. We start with a basic strategy idea we like, then build off it. We MAKE it profitable by following the steps outlined.
1. Focus on One Idea or Strategy
Focus on one specific idea.
An idea is not “price action” or “technical analysis”. That is too broad.
But you could start with the idea of day trading an 8 and 21-period moving average crossover.
Or MACD signal crossovers on a 1-minute chart.
Or the rounded top or bottom or pattern, or triangles, or Keltner channel bounces off the center line in strong trends.
Basically, you need an idea and a time frame (1-minute chart, daily chart, etc).
2. Define the Strategy
Since you have your idea, you already know the basic concept of the strategy. If you don’t have a strategy yet, that’s where a bit of research comes in: finding something you like the idea of. There are loads of free strategy articles on this site, in the courses offered, and from other sources such as books, Youtube, etc.
Whatever strategy you decide on, it needs to include these key components:
A trade setup. The trade setup is what needs to happen for us to even consider a trade. It could be a specific chart pattern, moving average crossover, price action signal, etc.
Where, when, and why we enter
A trade trigger is a precise event that tells us to get into the trade. When the “trigger” event occurs, it turns a possible trade setup into an actual trade.
Where, when, and why we exit profitable trades
Where, when, and why we exit losing trades
If and how we trail a stop loss.
3. Polish Your Strategy
Keep practicing. Keep improving your strategy.
Try that on different markets, under different circumstances.
Make it better and better till it starts making money.
Keep it simple and focused on one trading idea.
Get better and better at that idea. Keep refining and building your confidence in the method.
We gain confidence by seeing something work and being able to implement it. And that’s what all these steps are about.
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♦️BAD MINDSET IS YOUR ENEMY♦️
♦️Forex trading is one of the most exciting and lucrative ventures that anyone can undertake. With the right mindset and tools, one can make a lot of money by trading currencies. However, the opposite is also true. A bad mindset can lead to disastrous consequences in forex trading. It is, therefore, important for traders to understand the effects of a bad mindset and avoid them at all costs.
♦️One of the most common effects of a bad mindset in forex trading is overthinking. When traders overthink, they become too analytical and too cautious. This can lead to missed opportunities and bad trading decisions. Overthinking can also lead to indecision and second-guessing, which can be harmful in a fast-paced and dynamic market like forex.
♦️Another effect of a bad mindset is emotional trading. Emotions like fear, greed, and impatience can lead to irrational trading decisions. For example, a trader may hold onto a losing position for too long in the hope that it will eventually turn profitable. This can lead to bigger losses and a further deterioration of the trader’s mindset. Similarly, greed can lead to taking on too much risk, which can also lead to disastrous consequences.
♦️A bad mindset can also cause traders to be too dependent on their trading strategies. While having a good trading strategy is important, it is equally important to be flexible and open-minded. A trader who is too reliant on their strategy may miss out on profitable opportunities that do not fit their style. This can lead to missed profits and frustration.
♦️Lastly, a bad mindset can lead to overconfidence. Traders who are overconfident may take on too much risk or ignore important market signals. This can lead to catastrophic losses and a severe blow to the trader’s ego. Overconfidence can also lead to ignoring basic risk management principles, which is a recipe for disaster.
♦️In conclusion, a bad mindset can have a significant impact on forex trading success. Traders who are too analytical, too emotional, too dependent, or too overconfident may make bad trading decisions that can result in losses. It is, therefore, important for traders to stay calm, flexible, and open-minded in their approach to forex trading. A winning mindset can help traders achieve success and make profitable trades in the dynamic and exciting forex market.
Thanks for reading bro, you are the best☺️
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Avoiding and Managing Margin Calls
Trading on margin offers a variety of potential benefits, as well as some additional risks, including margin calls. This lesson explains margin calls, your obligations, and what you can do to help avoid them.
A margin call is a demand from your brokerage firm to increase the amount of equity in your account. You can do this by depositing cash or marginable securities to your account or by liquidating existing positions to generate cash.
To avoid margin calls, you need to understand fully what triggers a margin call, along with the steps you can take to minimize the risk of a margin sellout.
Margin calls can be a stressful experience with serious financial implications. Your brokerage firm may sell securities you own—without notifying you and without regard to tax consequences—in order to increase the equity in your account. Therefore, consider these suggestions to minimize the odds of experiencing a margin call:
Prepare for volatility: Leave a considerable cash cushion in your account that protects you from a sudden drop in the value of your loan collateral.
Set a personal trigger point: Keep additional liquid resources at the ready in case you need to add money or securities to your margin account.
Monitor your account daily: Consider setting up alerts to notify you when the value of your positions declines significantly.
If you fail to understand the concept of margin or not knowing what to do when faced with a margin call from your broker, you will definitely experience the shock of your trading account blow up.
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Investment Risk Scale
When investing funds in any format, you need to understand the
investment approach and risk involved in the planning you undertake.
Example investment risk categories when investing capital or income are as follows:
1-2
Lowest Risk
Very Cautious Risk
You are not prepared to accept any exposure to investment loss although you
are aware that any investment has some possibility of loss, for example if a bank
holding your money was to collapse. The value of your money may also fall in
real terms if inflation exceeds the return that your investment achieves. You
accept that the returns from your investments are likely to be low compared to
the potential returns from investments that have a higher risk rating.
3-4
Cautious Risk
You are prepared to accept a higher risk of capital loss in return for the
opportunity to earn more than from deposits and low risk type investments but
do not wish to take as much risk as with a medium risk strategy. While there can
be no guarantee, investments in this category are not likely to fluctuate in value
as sharply or as quickly as a portfolio largely made up of equity investments.
5-6
Balanced Risk
You are prepared to accept that the value of your investments will fluctuate
with the aim of achieving higher returns in the medium to long term. You accept
that there is an increased risk of capital loss over investing in more low risk
investments. Medium risk investments can fluctuate in value more rapidly and
quickly over a short periods of time than more low risk investments.
7-8
Adventurous Risk
You are prepared to accept fairly high levels of risk with your investments,
with the aim of achieving higher investment returns in the longer term. You
accept that this may mean that the value of your investments may fluctuate
considerably over a short periods of time and that there is an increased risk of
capital loss compared with a lower risk investment strategy.
Therefore, you may consider investments mainly in equities/shares and is likely
to involve investment in various overseas markets as well as UK markets. This
increases risk because of currency fluctuations as well as investment risk. Risk
can be reduced by diversifying your investments across sectors and markets
9-10
Highest Risk
Very Adventurous
Risk
You are prepared to accept high levels of risk with your investments, with the
aim of achieving higher investment returns in the longer term. You accept that
this may mean that the value of your investments may fluctuate significantly
over a very short periods of time and you could lose a significant proportion
(possibly all) of your investment.
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⚠️ Risk Management Examples Showcase📍What Is the Risk/Reward Ratio?
The risk/reward ratio marks the prospective reward an investor can earn for every dollar they risk on an investment. Many investors use risk/reward ratios to compare the expected returns of an investment with the amount of risk they must undertake to earn these returns. A lower risk/return ratio is often preferable as it signals less risk for an equivalent potential gain.
📍Consider the showcased example:
An investment with a risk-reward ratio of 1:3 suggests that an investor is willing to risk $100, for the prospect of earning $300. Alternatively, a risk/reward ratio of 1:4 signals that an investor should expect to invest $100, for the prospect of earning $300 on their investment.
Traders often use this approach to plan which trades to take, and the ratio is calculated by dividing the amount a trader stands to lose if the price of an asset moves in an unexpected direction (the risk) by the amount of profit the trader expects to have made when the position is closed (the reward).
It is very important to calculate your R:R before entering a trade. Sometimes the trade might not be worth the amount you're risking vs the reward you can get.
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How Much Gold Does Your Portfolio Need?Economists make forecasts to make weathermen look good. Trying to forecast trends in complex systems is never easy. As with weather, financial markets are influenced by a myriad of factors which can make prediction akin to gambling. Time in the market beats timing the market so a far safer bet is building a diversified and informed portfolio.
As mentioned in our previous paper , gold is a crucial addition to any well-diversified portfolio. Gold offers investors the benefits of resilience during crises, diversification, and low volatility while also being a good hedge against inflation.
With crisis ever-present, from pandemics and geo-political conflict to financial instability and recession, uncertainty is on everyone’s lips, including central banks which bought a record 1,135 tonnes of gold last year. Central Banks have shown no signs of slowdown going into 2023, buying 74t in Jan and 52t in Feb, the strongest start to central bank buying since 2010. It is clear why, with rising global inflation due to 2 years of unprecedented QE. A decade of cheap money has its costs which are coming back to bite both consumers and central banks.
This is now being played with collapsing banks and crumbling businesses. Though governments may term these exceptions, they’re the inevitable consequence of hiking rates too fast. And even though inflation has now started to cool, it is proving stubborn and the risk of recession looms. In crisis, institutions and individuals rush to gold.
It’s no wonder then that gold prices spiked in March nearing an All-Time-High above USD 2,000/oz. Gold continues to trade above the key 2000 level even in April. Even now crises show no sign of slowing. Recession talks have become commonplace and phantoms of 2008 haunt with bank collapses. The world is increasingly moving towards reshoring and friendshoring, and de-dollarization is talked about more and more. It is almost inevitable that gold will break its all-time-high soon.
But, buying gold is the easy part, in fact, our previous paper covered 6 Ways to Invest in Gold. Managing gold as part of a larger portfolio is more nuanced. Allocating the right amount, finding the right entry, and knowing when to cash out are all critical.
This paper aims to address two questions –
1. What are the key drivers of gold prices in this decade
2. How should investors use gold in balancing portfolios to navigate turbulent times?
What Propels Gold After Its All Time High?
SVB and Credit Suisse pushed it to its brink. In fact, spot prices in India, Australia, and the UK sailed even above their All-Time-High. But what propels gold now?
Financial Instability
Was Credit Suisse the End?
“The current crisis is not yet over, and even when it is behind us, there will be repercussions from it for years to come.” - Jamie Dimon
Unfortunately, Credit Suisse was likely just a symptom of the larger problem. 2-years of near-free money has inevitably led others to make risky bets which catch up to them during periods of QT.
Additionally, Credit Suisse and SVB’s collapse were both set off by an unprecedentedly aggressive rate hiking cycle. Fed is stuck between a rock and a hard place as they try to control runaway inflation with aggressive rate hikes. Higher rates for longer increase the risks of financial instability.
Stubborn Inflation and Recession Risks
Stubborn inflation? Wasn’t inflation on its way down after almost a year?
Yes and No. Although yearly inflation has definitely cooled in most countries from their peak last year, inflation continues to tick up month-by-month above the targets that central banks have set for themselves. It is not expected to reach below their targets even before 2025 in many countries.
This is because although energy and commodity prices have cooled with demand waning, core inflation continues to remain stubbornly high. Additionally, food and energy prices are still volatile.
On the back of this, recession risks remain high. Recently released FOMC meeting minutes showed that officials expect a recession in the second half of the year. A recession in many countries now seems inevitable. Gold shines during recession and high-inflation environments.
High Interest Rates
Wasn’t the Fed done hiking?
Currently, CME’s FedWatch tool shows a ~72% chance of another 25bps hike next month despite the surprisingly low US CPI print.
Does another 25bps matter?
What’s more important is that 25bps is the peak rate and most central banks are calling this summit a pause and not a pivot. As such, rates will likely remain high for the remainder of 2023. Gold tends to perform well during high interest rate and risk-off environments.
Escalating Tensions, Friendshoring, and De-Dollarization
Last but definitely not least are central banks and their gold-buying binge. Though some of this can be explained by the ultra-high inflation. It is undeniably also driven by rising political tensions. The conflict in Ukraine continues to rage and the US extend its trade war against China with the CHIPS act. This is driving many of the largest economies to reshore and friendshore key supply chains.
This also means relying less on the USD which can be weaponized by the US. De-dollarization has been underway for the last 23 years as the share of USD holdings in foreign exchange reserves has declined from 71.5% to 58.3% over the past 23 years. Current conditions make it more likely that the trend will accelerate. Gold inevitably benefits from all of this as it is one of the only assets that no other central bank can print or freeze.
All of these factors will likely drive gold in the coming decade. But instead of setting a price target, investors can be prudent and methodical by properly allocating it as part of a larger portfolio.
Using Gold in a Portfolio
From 2000 until now, the following portfolios would deliver:
Since 2000, gold has been the best performing asset out of the 3 main components of a basic portfolio – Large Cap stocks (SPY), Treasury Bonds (10Y), and Gold. Gold price has risen 609% compared to SPY at +193%. Investing in 10-year maturity treasury bonds would have netted investors 110% during these 23 years.
As such, larger portfolio allocation towards gold would have yielded investors far more during this period. However, this comes at the downside of higher volatility. Gold has had an average 12-month rolling volatility of 15.8% over the last 23 years, slightly higher than SPY’s 14%.
Still, not all volatility is bad, especially if the returns outweigh the risk. Volatility to the upside can be beneficial to investors. In order to measure the returns from the portfolio after accounting for higher volatility-associated risk, investors can measure the risk-adjusted returns using the Sharpe Ratio and Sortino Ratio.
Sharpe Ratio measures the amount of excess return generated by taking on additional volatility-related risk. The higher the Sharpe Ratio, the better the portfolio is performing relative to its risk. The figure below contains the Sharpe Ratio for each of the portfolios across the last 23 years.
Since each year had a different risk-free rate due to changing monetary policy, the Sharpe ratios vary for every year and there are periods during which gold-heavy portfolios have highest Sharpe ratios and others where it has the lowest. This highlights gold's sensitivity to changes in monetary policy.
Sortino Ratio also measures risk-adjusted returns like the Sharpe Ratio however it only considers the risk of downside volatility. In other words, it measures return for every unit of downside risk. The figure below contains the Sortino Ratio for each of the portfolios.
A key difference between the Sharpe and Sortino Ratios can be seen in the readings for 2009. Sharpe Ratio for a gold-heavy portfolio is the lowest in 2009 due to high volatility in gold prices. However, since this was volatility to the upside, the Sortino Ratio for a gold-heavy portfolio in 2009 is the highest.
In 2023, a Gold heavy portfolio has performed the best and has the highest Sharpe and Sortino Ratio due to gold's relative overperformance amid the banking crisis.
DISCLAIMER
This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.
Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
❗️CONFIRMATION BIAS IS YOUR ENEMY❗️
🏛As traders, we are constantly bombarded with information on the global economic landscape, market trends, and potential investments. With so much information at our fingertips, it is easy to fall victim to a cognitive bias known as confirmation bias.
🏛Confirmation bias, also known as selective perception, is the tendency for individuals to seek out and interpret information in a way that confirms their existing beliefs or hypotheses. In the world of trading, confirmation bias can be particularly dangerous, as it can lead traders to make decisions based on incomplete or biased information.
🏛For example, imagine you hold a strong belief that apple stocks are going to rise in the coming months. You begin to search for information to support this belief - perhaps you read articles, listen to news broadcasts, and consult financial websites that all confirm your hypothesis. Meanwhile, you are dismissing any information that contradicts your belief, such as negative earnings reports, changes in the market, or negative press.
🏛The problem with this type of thinking is that it can lead traders to ignore crucial signs that could indicate a shift in the market. Confirmation bias can cloud our judgment and hinder our ability to make objective, data-driven decisions.
🏛To avoid confirmation bias, traders need to actively seek out and consider evidence that contradicts their established beliefs. By doing so, traders can obtain a more comprehensive view of the market and make informed decisions based on all available information.
🏛Furthermore, it is essential to rely on multiple sources of information, including information from trusted analysts, financial experts, and data-driven research. Traders must be able to evaluate information objectively and dispose of preconceived notions that may color their decision-making process.
🏛In conclusion, confirmation bias is a cognitive bias that can significantly impair traders' abilities to make sound decisions in the market. Traders must be cognizant of this bias and actively work to identify and address it by seeking out multiple sources of information, analyzing data objectively, and challenging their preconceived beliefs. Only by doing so can traders ensure that their decisions are based on informed and rational conclusions, rather than biased opinions or incomplete information.
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The Benefits of Keeping a Trading Journal for Your PsychologyTrading can be a challenging and emotional endeavor. As traders, we must navigate through various market conditions, deal with losses, and manage our emotions. It's not surprising that many traders struggle with maintaining their psychological balance. However, one tool that can help traders keep their emotions in check and improve their trading is a trading journal.
A trading journal is a document or software that traders use to track their trades, analyze their performance, and record their thoughts and emotions during the trading process. Here are some of the benefits of keeping a trading journal for your psychology:
Self-Awareness
Keeping a trading journal helps traders become more self-aware of their thoughts, emotions, and behaviors while trading. By recording their trades and reviewing them, traders can identify patterns in their behavior, emotions, and decision-making. This self-awareness can help traders recognize their strengths and weaknesses, and develop strategies to improve their trading.
Improved Decision-Making
A trading journal can also help traders make better decisions. By analyzing their trades, traders can identify mistakes they made and learn from them. They can also identify successful trades and analyze what they did right. This process can help traders develop a more effective trading strategy and improve their decision-making skills.
Accountability
A trading journal can help traders hold themselves accountable for their trading decisions. By recording their trades and emotions, traders can see where they went wrong and take responsibility for their mistakes. This accountability can help traders learn from their mistakes and avoid making the same ones in the future.
Stress Management
Trading can be a stressful activity. By keeping a trading journal, traders can vent their emotions and reduce their stress levels. Writing down their thoughts and emotions during trading can help traders release their negative emotions and feel more relaxed. This stress management technique can help traders maintain a healthy psychological state while trading.
Goal Setting
Keeping a trading journal can help traders set and achieve their goals. By recording their trades and analyzing their performance, traders can identify areas where they need to improve and set goals to achieve those improvements. These goals can be related to profitability, risk management, or any other aspect of trading. Setting and achieving these goals can help traders feel a sense of accomplishment and increase their motivation.
In conclusion, keeping a trading journal is an excellent tool for traders to improve their psychological state while trading. By increasing self-awareness, improving decision-making, holding oneself accountable, managing stress, and setting goals, traders can improve their overall trading performance. Therefore, it's highly recommended for traders to keep a trading journal to improve their trading psychology.
The Process of Creating StrategyHello traders,
In this post i am going to show that how we can create and develop the trading strategy that works.
Now the first step we need to do is just search and find the any trading method that suitable for us for example that would be like elliott wave, ict concept, VSA, just using indicators and maybe you can also create your own method and backtest it. when you learned the method now its time to create your trading rules every strategy has own different rules like what is your risk to reward ratio? what is your trade management plan? either you manage your trade or just take the trade and come back after its hit TP or SL, how much is your daily limit means how much trades you will be taking in a day or in a week if you want to become a swing trader depends on you, what is your risk per trade? can you will be cutting the risk to half or just use fixed risk after lose trade? what is your daily limit of losing? can you hold trade overnight or over weekend? what is your trading timeframe? what is your trading sessions? etc...
These all kind of rules you will be require to create for yourself they might be different rules depends on your strategy method now we learned the method and created the rule move forward to the next step is open the live demo trading account and trade with your strategy and apply the rules don't break the rules that you created trade at least 30 days and journal your data your taking trades after 30 days check the journal you will see your data for example in your rules you set 1/2 risk reward ratio so you need to have around 40% winning ratio check the journal check the results did you have a 40% winning ratio if the answer is yes then good to go i am sure that you know what to do next but if you failed and your winning ratio is below 40% now analyze your journal data the trades you taken you will see some of bad trades that you don't wanted to trade again just avoid those trades next time and try again the process for the next 30 days. repeat the process one day you will be profitable and consistent but if you not then try again again learn from your mistakes and don't do that mistakes again.
When yo have been profitable this is the time you wanna enter in the market open the real live trading account and start trading with your strategy and follow the rules that you created for yourself run the process and always remember trading is not quick rish scheme you need to have a lot of patience, trading is a long run game like marathon race and its required patience. some of my advice is don't try to break the rules, don't depend on one trade, some times market will give you some results that you don't want from it but be patient and be consistent with your strategy with your rules, you will be facing drawdowns but that is the learning process you will learn a lot from the drawdown so with the time you will be better consistent and be profitable just don't leave the process too soon and believe in yourself and try again again and again, trading is a very beautiful and also the easiest thing to live life but firstly in the starting it required from us to pass the test. trading is a very easiest thing but also a very hardest thing. i hope you find this post useful, i wish you good luck and good trading.
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The Two Types of Risk Management PlanHello traders,
1) Fixed Risk
Calculates position size for next trade as a percentage of account depend on how much risk you willing to take every time every trade you taking you need to use fixed risk for every trade like for example 1% risk per trade so in this type of risk management plan we should require 100 losing trades in a row to blowing out our account a lot of people just using this simple method and this is very easy and understandable.
2) Cutting the Risk :
In this method cutting the risk we just normally trade 1% risk per trade but if we lose that trade so we just cut the risk to half for example if i trade with 1% risk and i lose so now the next second trade which i am taking i will be using 0.5% risk in that trade if i lose then i will be just keep using the same risk 0.5% some traders are are keep reducing the risk size like they come all the way to to 0.25% maybe they work for it but in our scenario if we keep losing we will be not reducing more than 0.5% risk per trade and when win comes then after our winning trade we will be back to the normal risk which is 1% risk per trade and keep trading with 1% risk per trade so short summary is if we lose cut the risk to half if we when if we win back to the normal risk if we win again stay with same normal risk but if lose then reduce the risk to half.
The reason behind that is in the fixed risk you have 100 traders to blowing out your account means 100 chances but in cutting the risk now we just calculate if we lose 100 trades in a row like fixed risk we would not blow out our account,, let's say we take our first trade and we lose now we are in -1% then another trade we will be taking with 0.5% per trade risk so here is 0.5% × 100 trades = 50 means if we continue to lose in a row after 100 trades we will be facing -50 draw down, so cutting the risk to half after lose trade is the safest method who wants to play safe and more chances to survive in the market.
I wish you good luck and good trading.
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Peter Lynch's Updated Investment StrategiesPeter Lynch's Investment Model: Adapting the Wall Street Legend's Strategies to Today's Markets
As someone who has been inspired by Peter Lynch, another of my investing mentors, I am excited to explore how his strategies can be adapted to the ever-evolving financial landscape. In this article, my goal is to share valuable insights that fellow investors can apply in today's dynamic markets while still drawing from the wisdom of this Wall Street legend. This is a follow-up to the article I wrote about Warren Buffett's investment model, as both figures have greatly influenced my investment approach.
Peter Lynch has long been regarded as one of the most successful mutual fund managers in history. His investment strategy, which focuses on growth and finding "tenbaggers" (stocks that can increase in value tenfold), has proven to be highly effective. However, as the financial landscape evolves, it's essential to examine the continuing effectiveness of his approach in today's markets. This article will explore key aspects of Lynch's investment model and assess which elements remain relevant and which may have lost their edge.
Section 1: The Core Principles of Peter Lynch's Investment Model
1.1 Growth investing and finding "tenbaggers"
a. Earnings growth: Lynch focuses on companies with strong earnings growth potential, as this is often the primary driver of stock price appreciation.
b. Market-beating returns: By identifying "tenbaggers," investors can achieve market-beating returns and significantly grow their portfolios.
c. Industry trends: Lynch pays close attention to emerging trends and industries, which can provide opportunities to invest in high-growth companies.
1.2 Investing in what you know
a. Understanding the business: Lynch emphasizes the importance of investing in companies whose business models are easy to understand, increasing the likelihood of making informed decisions.
b. Personal experience: Investors can leverage their personal experience and knowledge to identify promising investment opportunities.
c. Thorough research: Lynch advocates for thorough research and due diligence before making any investment decisions.
1.3 Valuation and price-to-earnings ratio (P/E)
a. Relative valuation: Lynch often uses the P/E ratio to compare the valuation of different companies within the same industry.
b. Earnings growth and P/E ratio: Lynch's strategy focuses on finding companies with high earnings growth rates trading at reasonable P/E ratios.
c. PEG ratio: The price-to-earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio is a key metric in Lynch's approach, which compares a company's P/E ratio to its expected earnings growth rate.
Section 2: The Changing Landscape: Points of Lynch's Strategy Losing Effectiveness
2.1 Overemphasis on P/E ratio
a. Limitations of P/E ratio: The P/E ratio may not accurately capture the value of companies with significant intangible assets or those experiencing temporary earnings fluctuations.
b. Alternative valuation methods: Investors should consider incorporating alternative valuation methods, such as discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis and enterprise value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) ratio, to better assess a company's true worth.
2.2 Rigid focus on growth investing
a. Cyclical nature of growth stocks: Growth stocks can be more susceptible to market fluctuations and economic downturns, making them potentially riskier investments.
b. Value investing opportunities: A rigid focus on growth investing may cause investors to overlook undervalued stocks with strong fundamentals.
c. Portfolio diversification: Balancing growth and value stocks can help manage risk and enhance overall portfolio performance.
Section 3: Adapting Peter Lynch's Investment Model to Today's Markets
3.1 Incorporating technology and disruptive innovation
a. Embracing technology: Investors should seek out companies with innovative technologies that have the potential to become industry leaders in their respective sectors.
b. Identifying disruptive companies: The rapid pace of technological innovation has led to disruptive companies reshaping entire industries, with early investors often reaping substantial rewards.
c. Balancing growth potential and risk: Investing in technology and disruptive companies may carry higher risks, but also the potential for greater rewards, which can be balanced through careful portfolio diversification.
3.2 Expanding the investment horizon
a. Global opportunities: By investing in companies from diverse regions, investors can capitalize on global growth opportunities and reduce dependence on specific markets.
b. Mitigating regional risks: Diversification across geographies helps to mitigate risks associated with regional economic downturns or political instability.
c. Tapping into emerging markets: Investors can seek opportunities in emerging markets with strong growth potential and favorable demographic trends, further diversifying their portfolios.
3.3 Incorporating ESG factors and long-term sustainability
a. Aligning with growth investing: Companies with strong ESG performance are more likely to be sustainable in the long term, aligning well with Lynch's growth investing approach.
b. Improved risk management: Incorporating ESG factors into the investment decision-making process can help identify potential risks and opportunities that may not be apparent through traditional financial analysis.
c. Attracting investor interest: As ESG investing gains traction, companies with strong ESG performance may attract increased investor interest, potentially driving higher valuations and returns.
Peter Lynch's investment model has stood the test of time, but in today's dynamic and rapidly changing financial landscape, it's crucial to adapt and evolve his principles. By embracing new technologies, diversifying investments, incorporating ESG factors, and expanding the investment toolkit to include passive investing and quantitative analysis, investors can continue to benefit from the wisdom of this Wall Street legend and successfully navigate the complexities of modern markets. The spirit of Peter Lynch's investing philosophy remains relevant, but adapting and tailoring it to the current environment can help ensure continued success in today's investment world.
15 Key Principles for Trading SuccesHello fellow traders! I have compiled an article containing valuable insights and practical advice to help you navigate the trading world. Covering essential topics such as technical analysis, risk management, and adapting to market conditions, this resource is designed to enhance your trading skills. Dive in, learn, and apply these principles to your trading journey. Wishing you success and happy trading!
1. The Importance of Risk Management in Trading
The key to successful trading lies in managing risks effectively. You need to have a solid plan to protect your capital and stay in the game. Some risk management strategies include using stop losses, limiting margin usage, diversifying your portfolio, and risking only a certain percentage of your portfolio on any given trade. Remember, the best traders know how to limit losses while maximizing profits.
2. Building a Solid Trading Plan
Every successful trader has a well-thought-out trading plan that they follow religiously. This plan should include your trading goals, strategies, risk management, and entry and exit points. Crafting a solid trading plan helps you stay disciplined and focused, ensuring long-term profitability.
3. The Value of a Trading Mentor and Learning from Others
Having an experienced trading mentor can significantly boost your trading performance. A good mentor can provide valuable insights, guidance, and constructive criticism, helping you refine your strategies and avoid common pitfalls. Also, don't hesitate to learn from other traders by subscribing to high-quality trading YouTube channels or participating in online forums.
4. A Comprehensive Education in Finance and Economics
To conquer the financial markets, you need a strong foundation in the basics of finance, macroeconomics, and microeconomics. This knowledge will help you understand the driving forces behind market movements and make more informed decisions. Khan Academy offers excellent free courses in these subjects, and for technical analysis, consider reading "Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets" by John Murphy.
5. The Power of Charting and Technical Analysis
Mastering charting and technical analysis is essential for making accurate market predictions. Spend time learning how to use your charting platform, like Trading View, and familiarize yourself with various indicators, tools, and strategies. Knowledge is power, and the more you know about your tools, the better your trading results will be.
6. Staying Humble and Detached in Trading
Leave your ego at the door when it comes to trading. It's not about being right; it's about making money. Stay humble and unemotional, and don't let pride or personal attachments cloud your judgment. Remember, every trade has inherent risks, and past performance does not guarantee future success.
7. The Benefits of Keeping a Trading Journal
Maintaining a trading journal helps you track your progress, learn from your mistakes, and refine your strategies. Record your insights, trading plans, and the outcomes of your trades. This practice will make you more disciplined and focused, ultimately improving your overall trading performance.
8. Avoiding Speculation and Emotional Trading
Successful traders make decisions based on data and analysis, not speculation or emotion. Keep your feelings in check, and never enter or exit a trade based on fear, greed, or personal attachment. Stay objective and remember that data-driven decisions yield the best results.
9. Staying Informed and Recognizing Market Trends
Pay close attention to market trends and financial news. Be aware of what's happening in the world, and use this information to inform your trading decisions. However, be cautious of hype and mania, as they often signal the peak of a trend, rather than its beginning.
10. The Art of Strategic Entry and Exit Points
Before entering a trade, plan your entry point, stop loss, and profit target. Always ask yourself how much risk you're willing to take for a potential profit. By carefully considering these factors, you'll make more informed decisions and improve your overall trading success.
With these principles in mind, you'll be well on your way to mastering the financial markets and achieving consistent profitability in your trading endeavors. Remember, the key to conquering the financial markets lies in continuous learning, discipline, and adaptability. Keep refining your strategies, stay informed about market trends, and always be prepared to adjust your approach as needed.
11. Adapting to Different Market Conditions
Markets are ever-changing, and it's crucial for traders to adapt their strategies to suit different market conditions. Develop various strategies for both bull and bear markets, and be prepared to switch gears when the market demands it. Flexibility is the key to long-term trading success.
12. Utilizing Diversification for Risk Mitigation
Diversification is an essential part of risk management. By spreading your investments across different assets, sectors, and even trading styles, you can reduce the impact of losses in any single area. This approach helps to protect your overall portfolio and ensures more consistent performance.
13. The Importance of Breaks and Mental Health
Trading can be intense and emotionally draining. It's essential to take regular breaks and maintain a healthy work-life balance. By stepping away from the charts, you can recharge, gain perspective, and ultimately make better decisions when you return to trading.
14. Networking and Building Connections in the Trading Community
Engaging with the trading community can provide valuable insights, ideas, and opportunities. Attend trading events, join online forums, or participate in social media groups to network with other traders. Sharing experiences and learning from others can greatly enhance your trading skills.
15. Constantly Improving and Evolving as a Trader
Finally, never stop learning and evolving as a trader. The financial markets are constantly changing, and what works today may not work tomorrow. Stay curious, keep learning, and be open to new ideas and strategies. By embracing change and growth, you'll ensure long-lasting success in the trading world.
In conclusion, conquering the financial markets requires a combination of solid education, discipline, adaptability, and a willingness to learn from others. By implementing these principles and continuously improving your skills, you'll be well-equipped to navigate the complex world of trading and achieve lasting success. So, roll up your sleeves, dive into the markets, and start your journey towards becoming a master trader.
Patience in Trading Hello traders,
Patience in trading is ability to wait to take the right action, if you have not enough patience you will have bad trades bad decisions and cause you to take action too soon.
3 things you should avoid if you want to become a better trader and improve your patience in trading.
1) Don't Rush :
Market is there not going anywhere so don't need to rush in bad trades stick to your best trade setups and always looking for an opportunity don't rush into normal trades.
So don't need to rush just relax and take things step by step, enjoy the journey of your trading.
''If you need to hurry, you are already too late''
2) Over Confident :
Over confident is a very worse thing especially in trading when someone overestimates their own skill and knowledge which can lead to them making mistakes.
There are some types of over confident like wishful thinking, over ranking, and illusion of control etc...
These all of types over confident can lead to big losses in trading.
Some of things that you can do to overcome your over confidence in trading is :
> Don't believe too much in your skills
> Always use stop loss
> Don't thinking just only for today
> Create your trading rules and don't break stick to it
> Always stay in the middle line don't go to the extreme which cause you over confident and don't go to the slight which cause you depression.
''We can never reach a stage where we can say, i know everything and i have nothing more left to learn''
3) Believe :
Believe in yourself if you don't have enough believe in your trading system or any kind of decisions you take in trading you can lead to big losses like comes in fear and try to close running trades and don't have enough believe in your taken trades.
Try to believe in yourself, try to believe in your decisions, try to believe in your trading system and be patient with your taken steps and wait for the outcome either it will bad or good doesn't matter just continue the process and learn from your previous mistakes and be better next time.
''Trust yourself, you know more than you think you do''
These are 3 things that you should need to do for patience in trading.
If you have any advice to be patient in trading please let me know in the comments.
I wish you good luck and good trading.
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Forex market players: Who trades Currencies and Why?
The foreign exchange market is used by banks, investment companies, companies and even individuals who want to either cover themselves against the risk of foreign exchange fluctuations or to speculate in hopes of making a profit. 95% of all forex transactions are purely speculative in nature. Only 5% of all forex transactions result from international companies who need to convert their money back to the company's main operating currency.
Commercial banks are the main participants in the forex market, but their "market share" is slowly shrinking. Currently, 43% of all transactions pass through the interbank market, as opposed to 63% in 1998 and 53% in 2004. In terms of forex trading activity, the main role of banks is to serve as middlemen for the other market participants. Their objective is to make profits through "market making", which means that they offer their clients a "buy" price and a "sell" price.
Institutional investors are the second biggest players. They include investment and insurance companies, pension funds and hedge funds. They participate in forex trading in order to cover their stock, bond and currency portfolios and they represent 30% of all foreign exchange transactions.
Central banks intervene to manage their stock of currency and state money. Their transactions represent 5% to 10% of all forex trading volume. The central banks can also intervene in order to defend their respective currencies and to adjust economic or financial inbalances.
Brokers allow private individuals to access the forex market by transmitting their clients' orders to commercial banks or to trading platforms. They get paid from the spread or by charging a commission on each transaction.
Multinational companies participate in forex trading in order to convert their money during import or export activities. Their transactions represent approximately 5% of all global forex transactions. Some companies even have their own trading floors, with traders speculating in order to make profits and to reduce the risks related to exchange rate fluctuations.
Private investors/individuals have recently been trading the forex market as well, thanks to the internet, which allows them to have real-time access to currency exchange rates. Today, their transaction volume adds up to over 5% of all forex transactions.
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Trading Success Through Journaling: Reflect, Learn & GrowHello traders, today we will talk about how journaling can be a really helpful tool for you in your trading journey. Journaling is a simple yet powerful tool that can help you gain insight into your mental and emotional state, identify patterns and triggers, and make more informed decisions. In this post, we'll explore how you can use journaling to improve your trading performance.
1. Reflect on your emotions: After each trade, take a moment to journal about your emotions during and after the trade. This can help you identify patterns in your emotional responses and provide insight into how certain emotions may affect your trading decisions.
2. Identify triggers: By journaling about specific events that preceded a trade, you can identify the triggers that lead to your emotional responses. This can help you take steps to manage your emotions before they affect your trading decisions.
3. Evaluate your decision-making: After each trade, take a moment to journal about the decision-making process you used. This can help you identify any biases or patterns in your decision-making that may be affecting your trading results.
4. Set goals and track progress: Use journaling to set goals for your trading and track your progress over time. This can help you stay motivated and focused on your long-term goals.
5. Increase self-awareness: Journaling can help you become more self-aware of your thoughts, feelings, and behaviors. This can help you identify any negative thought patterns and work to change them, which can lead to improved trading performance.
To make the most of journaling, you should be honest with yourself and write down what you truly feel and think. Journaling is a powerful tool for reflection, learning and making adjustments for the future.
It's important to note that journaling is not a standalone strategy, but rather it's a tool that can be used in conjunction with other analysis and indicators to inform trading decisions. Also, you don't need any specific equipment, just a pen and a notebook, and you can journal at any time.
In conclusion, journaling can be a powerful tool for traders looking to improve their performance and manage stress. By gaining insight into their mental and emotional state, traders can make more informed decisions and improve their overall trading results. Give it a try and see how it can help you in your trading journey.
I would love to hear about your own experiences with journaling in trading. Please feel free to share your thoughts, feedback, and tips in the comments section below. Your input and feedback is valuable to me and to the trading community!