alt season 🥱
Cardano / TetherUS forum
alt season 🥱
Current Price: $0.8976 USDT
(Flat 0.02% in last 24h, up 1.48% weekly – holding steady in consolidation after 59.95% 90-day rise.)
😟 Investor Mood: Measures the Overall Vibe
Retail Traders Sentiment: 38% Bullish 🟢 | 62% Bearish 🔴
Institutional Traders Sentiment: 70% Bullish 🟢 | 30% Bearish 🔴
Key Takeaway: Retail frustration from range-bound action clashes with whale buys – neutral vibe, but smart money edges toward upside on volume pickup.
😨 Fear & Greed Index
Score: 49 (Neutral) ⚖️
🔍 Fundamental Score: 8/10 🟢
Strong Tech Base: Plomin fork live, enhancing decentralization and governance.
Adoption Edge: Over 1.3M staking wallets, SERPRO partnership in Brazil.
Minor Hurdle: dApp growth lags behind Solana's pace.
🌍 Macro Score: 7/10 🟡
Positive Liquidity: Fed cuts boost altcoin inflows.
Regulatory Boost: Grayscale fund approval and Nasdaq index inclusion.
Caution Flag: Rising BTC dominance and inflation data curb momentum.
📈 Overall Market Outlook: Mild Bull (Long) ➡️
Bullish Signals: RSI neutral at 51.5, MACD positive crossover.
Bear Risk: Low volume tests 200-day SMA hold.
Quick Tip: ADA's ecosystem metrics steady – monitor Fed impacts for next leg up. 🚀
📝 Detailed Explanations for All Sections
Investor Mood: This captures trader emotions via social ratios, on-chain flows, and volume. Retail's bearish tilt stems from a 1.5:1 bullish-to-bearish commentary drop (Santiment data), driven by stalled breakouts and profit-taking after August gains. Institutions counter with 70% bullish from whale accumulations (e.g., $73M+ inflows YTD) and ETF approvals, seeing ADA as a compliant DeFi play amid regulatory nods like commodity status.
Fear & Greed Index: At 49, it blends volatility, surveys, and BTC dominance for crypto-wide mood (0=extreme fear, 100=greed). Neutral signals balanced trading – no mass exits but limited hype, tying to ADA's steady staking (60%+ participation) and on-chain activity without panic.
Fundamental Score: 8/10 reflects Cardano's core tech and use cases. Plomin hard fork decentralizes further; Chang upgrade enables on-chain voting. Adoption shines with 1.3M+ wallets and Brazil's SERPRO for public blockchain pilots, holding top-10 cap at $31B. Deduction for slower dApp TVL vs. rivals, but upgrades like Hydra scalability keep it robust for enterprise.
Macro Score: 7/10 weighs global econ on crypto. Fed rate easing adds liquidity for alts; Grayscale's ADA inclusion and Nasdaq index draw institutions. Offset by BTC dominance rise (USDT.D breakout signals caution) and inflation prints pressuring risk assets – ADA's CBDC design helps, but flows favor majors.
Overall Market Outlook: Mild bull from techs (rising channel above 200-day SMA) and sentiment divergence, with whales loading during retail dips. RSI 51.5 allows upside; MACD flip confirms momentum. Risk if volume fades, testing $0.85 – ecosystem strength (governance votes, DEX flows) supports long bias amid neutral greed.
time 1h London
buy 0.867
sl 0.861
tp1 0.877. 50%
tp2 0.887. 50%
tp 3 0.9
R/R 4.6
Cardano made headlines this week after becoming what analysts call the most decentralized blockchain in the world. TapTools confirmed that all founding entities are no longer members of the Constitutional Committee, transferring governance power fully to the community."
