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Arbitrum (ARB): Multiple Good Risk:Reward Ratio Trades | SidewayArbitrum caught our attention with a possible BOS forming on smaller timeframes and a good sideways channel forming, which eventually we are looking to be broken, where we might be taking a sweet long position with some good R:R.
More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
Swallow Academy
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-5-25 : GAP Reversal PatternToday's pattern suggests the SPY will open with a GAP range from yesterday's candle Body and attempt to reverse the trend we saw last week.
I believe this move will resolve to the downside, as I've been warning of the May 2-5 Major Bottom for many weeks.
I believe the extended uptrend over the last few weeks was pure speculation related to Q1 US earnings. It is hard to argue that traders playing into the Q1 earnings boost didn't play the right side of the trend after watching the markets rally over the past 2+ weeks. But, I still believe the markets will consolidate and attempt to move downward over the next 10- 20+ days.
The one thing that we have to understand is Q1 was almost on auto-pilot from Biden's economy/spending until Trump threw a curveball at the global markets with tariffs.
I don't believe the US & global markets have truly priced in a global -25% to -45% economic contraction because of the ongoing tariff negotiations. It has been reported that shipping rates are down 60% in China. I believe we still need another 30-60+ days to work out the tariff issues and to allow the markets to settle into proper expectations for future economic output/growth.
Because of this, I continue to urge traders to stay cautious.
Sitting on CASH right now (only trading 20% of your total capital) is probably the smartest thing you can do at the moment.
I still expect the July and October 2025 lows to be the base/bottom of the markets, leading to a stronger upward price trend.
Right now, I've very cautious we've just seen a "dead-cat bounce" off recent lows because of Q1 earnings expectations.
Now that we've passed most of the Q1 data - we are staring at Q2 & Q3. What comes next.
I believe Gold/Silver will continue to price in extreme risk factors - resulting in a strong rally through May and into June.
I believe Bitcoin will stall and move back down to the lower consolidation range.
Let's see how things play out this week.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
GOLD: Very Complex Price DevelopmentGOLD: Very Complex Price Development
The fundamental and technical analysis are not in line at all with gold this time.
GOLD increased at a time when Trump is doing positive comments:
Over the weekend, US President Donald Trump said that they will lower tariffs on China "at some point" and added that they could announce trade deals this week when asked about it. Trump also noted that they could start imposing 100% tariffs on imports of foreign-produced movies.
Finally, he argued that interest rates should be lowered but reiterated that he will not remove Jerome Powell as Fed Chairman before his term ends in May 2026.
You may watch the analysis for further details!
Thank you!
SPY: Where to next? These are just my thoughts and opinions, not advice.
I forgot to mention in the video, Monday has a bearish forecast. If you pay attention to the Weekly forecast I share in the video, this is more similar to the bullish path (selling into Monday). :-O.
Bit of a longer video because lots to talk about.
Safe trades everyone!
Indicators that Warn of a Top or Bottom Before It HappensHybrid Leading Indicators use all 3 data sets from each transaction that occurs in the stock market. Today this lesson talks about Chaikin Oscillator and Chaikin MFI. Both are used on the same chart as the volume oscillator reveals the volume and price correlation to what the Dark Pool Buy Side institutions are buying or selling for long term holds. The oscillator also shows pro trader activity and indicates with a spike to the top or bottom of its chart a probable reversal of the trend the next day. When the Oscillator spikes to the top, then a profit taking day by pros or a run down is likely the next day.
When the oscillator hits a V shape at the bottom of the chart, the stock price is likely to move up the next day, warning those selling short to exit quickly. The oscillator also shows topping price and volume changes before the Flat Top forms. It also shows Bottoming development before the recent rebound in $NASDAQ:PYPL.
Money Flowing into or out of a stock is also a critical analysis for swing traders as it confirm whether you should continue swing trading to the upside OR if you should switch quickly to selling short. MFI in this chart is harmonious with the oscillator, both confirming a strong indication of the direction the stock will take over the next few days.
A bottoming formation starts well ahead of the actual final low. This is important to recognize early when selling short, to avoid a huge whipsaw day that can cause huge sell short losses.
When you can read the chart as easily as you read a book, your Spatial Pattern Recognition Skills are finely tuned and you can be proud to be a member of the semi-professional retail swing traders. Let that be your goal, along with consistent profits with minimal losses.
Raise your expectations.
Trade Wisely,
Martha Stokes CMT
GOLD Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionGold ended last week under pressure as investors booked profits following improved risk appetite, driven by easing trade tensions and a strong U.S. labor market report.
📰 NFP came in at +177K in April, with the unemployment rate steady at 4.2%, matching forecasts—possibly keeping the Fed cautious on policy easing.
Technically, Gold remains bullish but is now testing the $3,200 support zone, and sellers are gaining momentum.
As we head into next week, gold price action is at a critical decision point, and whether buyers or sellers will take control is unclear.
In this video, I break down the key technical zones, share my trading plan, and discuss potential opportunities to help navigate the uncertainty ahead.
Disclaimer:
This is my take based on experience and what I see on the charts. It’s not financial advice—always do your research and consult a licensed advisor before trading.
#GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #GoldPrice #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #FundamentalAnalysis #GoldOutlook #FedRateDecision #NFP #GoldBreakdown #GoldBulls #GoldBears #USJobsReport #ForexMentor
BUYS For the Markets. Wait for BUYS in Gold and Silver.In this video, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Gold and Silver futures, for the week of May 5 - 9th.
The Indices are moving higher, and it's buys until they are not. Simple.
Gold is near potential support at 3201. This may present a great buying opportunity once the lows are swept. A weakened USD will help this cause.
Silver has made a bearish market structure shift (MSS), so buys are not yet on the table. If it disrespects a Daily -FVG, then sells are warranted. It is considerably weaker than Gold.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
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Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Market Update - 5/4/2024Market is looking very solid, stocks are breaking out, leaders are leading, there is follow-through, markets are above the 50dma, breadth is the strongest it has been since 2020.
We are likely to see continued strength. Short term we might be a bit extended, I would like to see some sideways movement for 1-2 weeks before heading higher. Maybe a slight pullback to the 50dma would be healthy.
How about my portfolio? Flat for the last 2 months. Gave back all the gains I made doing stupid trades. In fact, most of my losses come from EPs which I have to admit, I don't know how to trade. I risk 3x as much on them while not even knowing how they work properly. Had I only traded breakouts this month, I could have made about 3-4% return compared to the current 0%.
So going forward, I'll put EPs on backburner, will keep studying them but not trading them. I need to master 1 setup before adding more.
I am confident I will make it. I will have setbacks for sure, I will have large drawdowns and time periods where I feel like I want to quit. But I've never felt more confident about my system and about my ability to trade, at least breakouts. I will stick to what I'm good at.
USDJPY Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my USDJPY analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
AUDUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow Analysis !In this video I will be sharing my AUDUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
Each Timeframe gives you crucial information so USE IT!!!All the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!!
www.tradingview.com
Market Insights with Gary Thomson: 5 - 9 MayMarket Insights with Gary Thomson: Fed and BoE Rate Decisions, Canada Jobs, Earnings Reports
In this video, we’ll explore the key economic events, market trends, and corporate news shaping the financial landscape. Get ready for expert insights into forex, commodities, and stocks to help you navigate the week ahead. Let’s dive in!
In this episode, we discuss:
— Fed’s Interest Rate Decision
— BoE’s Interest Rate Decision
— Unemployment Rate in Canada
— Corporate Earnings Statements
Don’t miss out—gain insights to stay ahead in your trading journey.
This video represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
BTC/USDT 1H Chart: Channel Breakdown Alert!Hey Bitcoin traders! Let’s dive into this 1-hour BTC/USDT chart. Bitcoin has made a decisive move, and it’s not looking good for the bulls!
BTC was trading within a well-defined ascending channel, with key levels at $95,800 (upper resistance) and $88,000 (last higher high). The price recently tested the support around $95,800 but failed to rebound, and now it’s crashed below the channel’s support, currently sitting at $94,300. This breakdown signals potential bearish momentum!
The next critical support to watch is $92,000, and if that fails, we could see BTC slide toward the previous resistance at $84,400. On the flip side, a recovery above $93,000 might bring some relief, with resistance at $98,000 and a potential retest of $100,000.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $95,800, $98,000
Support: $92,000
Breakdown Target: $86,000
Recovery Target: $98,000+
The bears are in control — where do you think BTC is headed next? Let’s hear your thoughts below!