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BITCOIN WEEKLY CHARTBitcoin Break of Supply Roof: Implications for Price Action
Bitcoin’s recent breach of a critical supply roof (resistance zone between $95,000–$98,300) has significant implications for its near-term price trajectory.
this range may represent a "supply roof" where holders accumulated Bitcoin. A breakout suggests these holders are either holding for higher prices or have already distributed, reducing immediate selling pressure.
On-Chain and Fundamental Support
Institutional Demand: Corporate treasuries (e.g., MicroStrategy) and ETFs continue accumulating Bitcoin, reducing available supply.
Negative Funding Rates: Despite price gains, futures markets show neutral-to-negative funding rates, indicating room for leveraged longs to enter.
Post-Halving Scarcity: The April 2024 halving has tightened new supply, with only ~19.86 million BTC in circulation (94% of total supply mined).
Conclusion
A decisive breakout above $98,000 would signal a bullish regime shift, targeting $100,000–$109,000 in May/June. However, traders should watch for volume confirmation and macroeconomic cues to validate the move. Failure to hold gains could see Bitcoin retest lower support, but the broader 2025 outlook remains bullish, with institutional adoption and scarcity dynamics underpinning long-term upside.
Critical events this week: US CPI data (May 30) and ETF flow trends will be pivotal for sustaining momentum.
XLM/USDT Breakdown: Structure Shift & Bearish Retracement Setup🚀 XLM/USDT Trade Outlook 🔎
I've been reviewing the XLM/USDT pair, and it's showing a very familiar setup compared to other majors. 🔁 On the daily timeframe, we've seen a notable shift in structure, with a clear break to the downside. 🧱📉 Dropping into the 4-hour chart, that structural break is even more apparent, adding confidence to a bearish bias. 🔍
Currently, the pair is extended away from value—and I’m anticipating a pullback into the fair value zone, where I’ll be watching closely for a potential short setup. 📐💼
🎯 In the breakdown video, we cover:
The prevailing trend context 🌊
How market structure is unfolding across timeframes 🔂
Price action cues to validate the setup 🎥📈
Key support and resistance areas for both entry and target planning 🎯
For risk management, I’m positioning the stop above the retracement high, using roughly 2x ATR for calculated protection 🛑⚙️. A potential reward could extend to 5–6x ATR, depending on how price reacts around prior structure levels on the left. ⬅️📊
As always, I’m cross-checking with my Fibonacci levels for extra confluence—and the alignment here is looking solid. 🔢🧲
Remember, this is not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence. ⚠️💡📉
$VARA Network **BULLISH BREAKOUT??** LIVE ORDER FLOW** PIVOT LEVARA Update!
Please don't ask me what my targets are. I post these videos every day and as anyone can see the targets change with the market. One second I am shorting at 7300 next I am longing at 6200. We aren't watching grass grow, the market is like a living organism, it moves constantly. Also, I'm not putting levels via text anymore, if you want levels you will need to learn how to get them on your own from my videos. I show order flow heat map on every video and it isn't rocket science. If you are a new follower, yes I am long on VARA on the MACRO but I am neutral within the range. If you are swing trading a range you are to be neutral at all times. If you asked me for my opinion, this asset could easily reach or exceed $1.85 one day or dump into negatives. I do stake a lot of my coins, it pays 38%-80% on NOVA wallet so why in Gods name are you not staking some of your coins right now? Anyway, good luck out there guys. I'm not taking questions about levels and targets though, seriously man, if you don't know order flow by now and you have been with me for a long time what in the world are you doing at this point. If you are new year, let it be clear, order flow is something you have to have in your toolbox if you are swing trading. If you aren't using it you are trading blind because the market changes constantly.
-Staking rate on NOVA Wallet 38% annual
4.13 Billion Staked
2.837 Circulating Supply
Dow Jones - April ReviewUnlike ES and NQ, YM has the potential to book massive gains if the algorithm was to spool prices higher into the $42,836 lower range FVG in comparison to the others. However, if the market is weaker than many anticipate, YM could be frontrunning the overall stock index pairs (out of NQ, ES and YM) to the downside.
Gun to my head, we are bound for some short term bullish price action back up into the premium array
S&P 500 - April ReviewI see more potential in S&P 500 than Nasdaq for the mere fact that the premium array at $5,773.25 - $5,902.50 has not been met yet but Nasdaq has already made it's way inside of the same SIBI imbalance. (refer to my most recent S&P500 analysis)
Aiming for low hanging fruits for now.
TSLA technically turntUP... so the stock pops on a sob story. there will be action. pullback possible, but doesn't have to. 2-3 week rallies expected while the getting is good.
*weekly bullish close (engulfing)
*pullbacks should not be lower than prev week high (270 good)
*it's big tech earnings, so running during other strong tech success while down is a TSLA thing
tootles
what is fair value gap ? what is fair value gap ?
-This Analysis is based on educational purposes using the concepts of Smart Money and Liquidity Sweep area
- We create two fair Value gaps in which market will act on that
first one is between 3247 to 3260 area expecting move down from that point and touched 3192 to 3165 which is a strong liquidity zone
BUYS For the Markets. Wait for BUYS in Gold and Silver.In this video, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Gold and Silver futures, for the week of May 5 - 9th.
The Indices are moving higher, and it's buys until they are not. Simple.
Gold is near potential support at 3201. This may present a great buying opportunity once the lows are swept. A weakened USD will help this cause.
Silver has made a bearish market structure shift (MSS), so buys are not yet on the table. If it disrespects a Daily -FVG, then sells are warranted. It is considerably weaker than Gold.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
XAUUSD is ready to FALL monthly target 3000!Through my weekly Episode multi time frame analysis , you will get deep insights .
Market in on rising channel since last year and did not respect the 2900 milestone after breaking it.
is it the time to retracement?
our eyes will be at 2980 milestone on this next 2weekly candles.
bearish scenario:
if any h4,D1 close below 3160 stay bearish side and our setup.
bullish scenario
if market again surpass 3280 then buying up to 3330 then 3360 where we have again selling sequence to 3000 milestone.
I'm expecting the bullish scenario I have mention will not activated.
Week of 5/4/25: EURUSD AnalysisEurusd has been consolidating internally, but has made a final push bearish from Friday NFP. We're looking for a short at the flip zone of the 1h POI, but if it goes past that to the extreme of the internal structure, we will be cautious and wait for a break to switch bullish.
Thanks for stopping by!
Major News:
FOMC - Wednesday
Unemployment - Thursday
Week of 5/4/25: AUDUSD AnalysisAfter a hellish week of consolidation, price has made its move higher (finally) and we're back to a trendy chart.
My analysis the beginning of the week shows 2 POIs that I am interested in for longs, and if it breaks the level that I pointed out bearish, I will look for shorts.
Thanks for tuning in!
Major News:
FOMC - Wed
Unemployment - Thurs
SPY: Where to next? These are just my thoughts and opinions, not advice.
I forgot to mention in the video, Monday has a bearish forecast. If you pay attention to the Weekly forecast I share in the video, this is more similar to the bullish path (selling into Monday). :-O.
Bit of a longer video because lots to talk about.
Safe trades everyone!
USDJPY Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my USDJPY analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.