US30 SHORT SELL to Buy long term The US30 is currently on a bullish sugar rush, charging upward like it just chugged three Red Bulls. But hey, even bulls need bathroom breaks! So while itโs flexing its muscles, Iโm sneaking in some quick sell scalpsโbecause why not profit from its little caffeine crashes?
Once this over-caffeinated beast finally pauses to catch its breath (aka retraces), Iโll be waiting with open arms to buy the dip like itโs Black Friday and the US30 is on sale. Long-term buy? Yes, pleaseโjust gotta wait for that โpremium discountโ level. Because in trading, as in life, patience (and a little bit of cheeky scalping) pays off!
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Review and plan for 9th May 2025 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
Quarterly results.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Nifty Market view and trade plan * I explain weekly chart, in explanation I explained from last four months but actually it was from last four weeks.
So Nifty price action shows - Slight down to consolidation bias
Market has trapped lower low formation so 23500/23600 will act as strong demand zone
Major constituent of Nifty
1. Finnifty - Consolidatiing after hitting all time high so, down to sideways for short term ( one to four week)
2. Nifty IT - Slight down and consolidation
3. Nifty oil and Gas - Down this previous demand zone of 10750
4. Nifty Auto - Follows almost Nifty and Nifty oil and gas structure so down to side ways
5. Nifty FMCG - At the bottom of consolidation so down chance are high
Over all sideways to down bias
a strategy i made with chatgpt in the works before market openThe strategy involve the use of to EMAs. The 10 and 20 EMAs. and i have an alert on Tradingview that tells me when the golden cross occurs and on the next candle after the golden cross thats where i am supposed to enter the trade but since i am working at this time i missed my entry but still got a good entry on the next reset and took a 2.5:1 trade and it panned out.
Nifty Short-Term Setup Alertifty is showing signs of strength after a period of consolidation. Watch for a breakout confirmation. On a successful breakout, the next immediate target is 24,310. Maintain proper risk managementโset your stop-loss just below the consolidation range.
Plan:
๐น Breakout Entry
๐น Target: 24,310
๐น SL: above consolidation
Stay disciplined.
EURUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my EURUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
Inverse Head and Shoulders in SAND: Breakout Ahead?Crypto markets are waking up and SAND is showing a strong inverse head and shoulders setup that could spark a fast rally. ADA is also forming a bullish triangle with macro factors like tax cuts and a US UK trade deal adding momentum. The mood is shifting and big moves could be just days away.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-8 : Carryover PatternToday's Pattern is a Carryover pattern in Carryover mode.
After yesterday's FOMC news (unchanged), the markets are seeking a bit of direction. Bitcoin rallied and INVALIDATED a EPP Flagging pattern. In my opinion this suggests the SPY/QQQ may attempt to move a bit higher after the Fed decision.
Although, I still believe the global markets are reacting to uncertainty and tariff news within a very broad consolidation range. So, I'm cautious of trying to go ALL-IN on any long trades at the moment.
Until we break clear of the consolidation range, price could break strongly to the downside on news or geopolitical content. In reality, any type of big news could prompt a downward price move within an uptrend or a consolidation range.
It just seems as though the current global market environment is fraught with uncertainty - so I continue to stay cautious.
Gold and Silver pulled downward overnight. But I still believe metals will continue to rally - attempting to hedge against global risks.
With Bitcoin rallying a bit higher (still in consolidation) - let's see how the next few days play out.
I would be surprised if BTCUSD and the SPY rallied to new highs before the end of May. VERY SURPRISED given the status of the global markets.
But, the markets can stay completely irrational much longer than I can try to fight them. So we have to move WITH the markets - not against them.
Get some.
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Bank of England cuts rates but does no pivot, GBPUSD surgesThe Bank of England cut rates to 4.25% but held off on signalling faster easing. GBPUSD is rallying as traders unwind bearish bets. Add to that a new US-UK trade deal, and the pound could see further upside. Watch for a breakout above 1.3440 that could target 1.38 or even higher.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Weekly Forecasts UPDATES! ALL Markets Analyzed! Stocks & FOREXIn this Weekly Forecast UPDATE, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Gold and Metals futures, and the FOREX Majors for Thursday, May 8th.
The targets set in last weekend's forecasts are still in play! Trade accordingly.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
DOLLARThe Federal Reserveโs FOMC meeting on May 7, 2025, resulted in the decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at 4.25% to 4.50%, maintaining the current policy stance amid rising economic uncertainty primarily driven by trade tensions and tariff impacts.
Key Points from the FOMC Decision and Statement:
The Fed acknowledged that economic activity continues to expand at a solid pace, with the labor market remaining strong and unemployment stable at low levels.
Inflation remains somewhat elevated, with core inflation around 2.6%.
The Committee highlighted increased uncertainty about the economic outlook, especially due to the effects of President Trumpโs tariffs, which could raise both inflation and unemployment risks.
The Fed is taking a data-dependent, wait-and-see approach, prepared to adjust policy as needed based on incoming economic information.
The Fed continues to reduce its holdings of Treasury and mortgage-backed securities as part of monetary policy normalization.
Chair Jerome Powell emphasized that the Fed does not plan preemptive rate cuts and will monitor how tariffs affect inflation and growth before making further moves.
Market and Economic Context:
Despite President Trumpโs calls for rate cuts to stimulate growth amid tariff pressures, the Fed resisted, citing the need to balance its dual mandate of maximum employment and price stability.
The Fed noted the risk of stagflation-a combination of slowing growth and rising inflation-due to tariff-induced supply chain disruptions and pricing pressures.
Market expectations shifted after the meeting, with traders now pricing in a lower probability of near-term rate cuts, pushing the first likely cut to July or later in 2025
Summary of Geopolitical and Economic Risks Impacting the Fedโs Decision:
Trade tensions and tariffs between the U.S. and China remain a major source of uncertainty, affecting business confidence, supply chains, and inflation dynamics.
Inflation pressures from tariffs and supply disruptions complicate the Fedโs inflation targeting.
Labor market strength provides some support for the economy, but downside risks from trade policies are growing.
The Fed is navigating a delicate balance between controlling inflation and avoiding a sharp economic slowdown or rise in unemployment.
In brief:
The Fedโs decision to hold rates steady reflects caution amid mixed economic signals and geopolitical uncertainty, especially tariff-related risks. The central bank remains vigilant, ready to adjust policy as clearer data emerge on inflation, employment, and growth impacts from trade policies.
Impact on the US Dollar
The dollar stabilized and experienced a slight "micro bounce" ahead of the Fed meeting, partly due to optimism about upcoming U.S.-China trade talks.
However, broad skepticism remains about the dollarโs strength amid economic uncertainty and ongoing capital outflows from U.S. assets by major Asian investors.
Market consensus expects the dollarโs longer-term weakness to persist, as investors weigh the risks of slower growth and tariff-related disruptions.
Impact on Bond Markets
The Fedโs steady rate decision and cautious outlook have led to flattening or modest declines in Treasury yields, as investors price in delayed rate cuts and economic slowdown risks.
Uncertainty about trade policy and inflation is keeping bond markets volatile, with investors seeking safe-haven assets amid stagflation concerns.
Impact on Gold Prices
Gold prices have been supported by safe-haven demand amid geopolitical and trade tensions, rising inflation concerns, and a weaker dollar environment.
The Fedโs decision to hold rates steady without signaling imminent cuts keeps real yields low or negative, which is bullish for gold.
Tariff-related inflation and geopolitical risks (including U.S.-China tensions, Taiwan conflict risks, and Middle East instability) continue to underpin goldโs appeal as a hedge.
DOLLARThe Federal Reserveโs FOMC meeting on May 7, 2025, resulted in the decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at 4.25% to 4.50%, maintaining the current policy stance amid rising economic uncertainty primarily driven by trade tensions and tariff impacts.
Key Points from the FOMC Decision and Statement:
The Fed acknowledged that economic activity continues to expand at a solid pace, with the labor market remaining strong and unemployment stable at low levels.
Inflation remains somewhat elevated, with core inflation around 2.6%.
The Committee highlighted increased uncertainty about the economic outlook, especially due to the effects of President Trumpโs tariffs, which could raise both inflation and unemployment risks.
The Fed is taking a data-dependent, wait-and-see approach, prepared to adjust policy as needed based on incoming economic information.
The Fed continues to reduce its holdings of Treasury and mortgage-backed securities as part of monetary policy normalization.
Chair Jerome Powell emphasized that the Fed does not plan preemptive rate cuts and will monitor how tariffs affect inflation and growth before making further moves.
Market and Economic Context:
Despite President Trumpโs calls for rate cuts to stimulate growth amid tariff pressures, the Fed resisted, citing the need to balance its dual mandate of maximum employment and price stability.
The Fed noted the risk of stagflation-a combination of slowing growth and rising inflation-due to tariff-induced supply chain disruptions and pricing pressures.
Market expectations shifted after the meeting, with traders now pricing in a lower probability of near-term rate cuts, pushing the first likely cut to July or later in 2025
Summary of Geopolitical and Economic Risks Impacting the Fedโs Decision:
Trade tensions and tariffs between the U.S. and China remain a major source of uncertainty, affecting business confidence, supply chains, and inflation dynamics.
Inflation pressures from tariffs and supply disruptions complicate the Fedโs inflation targeting.
Labor market strength provides some support for the economy, but downside risks from trade policies are growing.
The Fed is navigating a delicate balance between controlling inflation and avoiding a sharp economic slowdown or rise in unemployment.
In brief:
The Fedโs decision to hold rates steady reflects caution amid mixed economic signals and geopolitical uncertainty, especially tariff-related risks. The central bank remains vigilant, ready to adjust policy as clearer data emerge on inflation, employment, and growth impacts from trade policies.
Impact on the US Dollar
The dollar stabilized and experienced a slight "micro bounce" ahead of the Fed meeting, partly due to optimism about upcoming U.S.-China trade talks.
However, broad skepticism remains about the dollarโs strength amid economic uncertainty and ongoing capital outflows from U.S. assets by major Asian investors.
Market consensus expects the dollarโs longer-term weakness to persist, as investors weigh the risks of slower growth and tariff-related disruptions.
Impact on Bond Markets
The Fedโs steady rate decision and cautious outlook have led to flattening or modest declines in Treasury yields, as investors price in delayed rate cuts and economic slowdown risks.
Uncertainty about trade policy and inflation is keeping bond markets volatile, with investors seeking safe-haven assets amid stagflation concerns.
Impact on Gold Prices
Gold prices have been supported by safe-haven demand amid geopolitical and trade tensions, rising inflation concerns, and a weaker dollar environment.
The Fedโs decision to hold rates steady without signaling imminent cuts keeps real yields low or negative, which is bullish for gold.
Tariff-related inflation and geopolitical risks (including U.S.-China tensions, Taiwan conflict risks, and Middle East instability) continue to underpin goldโs appeal as a hedge.
USDJPY and GBPJPY Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
An Example Of How To Trade When You Live A Busy LifeIn this video, I demonstrate a swing trading approach that requires very little time in your day.
This type of trading, using limit orders, allows you to locate a strategy set-up, place your order in the market, set an alert, and then just let the market do it's thing.
I hope it's insightful!
The Meditrader
Bitcoin Bulls Aim for $102K โ Breakout or Rejection Ahead?๐๐ Bitcoin Bulls Aim for $102K โ Breakout or Rejection Ahead? ๐๐ง
Good morning, good afternoon, or good evening โ wherever you are in the world, Bitcoin is pumping, and thatโs always a good sign for the bulls! ๐
In my last BTC update, we anticipated a bounce from the key support zone around $93,600โ$93,800, and price respected this level to the dot, rocketing upward just as expected. ๐ฅโ
That level acted as a strong springboard, and now BTC is climbing through a well-respected ascending channel on the 15-min chart.
๐ Key levels to watch:
Middle of the channel: ~$98,689
Top of the channel: ~$100,636
Psychological level: $100,000
Projected breakout target: $102,774 (60% probability ๐ฆ)
Major resistance beyond: $113,000
However, there's always the alternate scenario: a 40% chance that we reject under $97,400, re-enter the lower end of the channel, and potentially drop toward $92,000 if that support fails. This would flip the bullish structure short-term โ something to keep on your radar. โ ๏ธ
This is a high-momentum situation, and Iโll be watching for confirmation of breakout or breakdown. Stay alert, keep your risk in check, and let the chart guide your trades. ๐๐
Let me know your thoughts in the comments โ are we headed for $113K or due for a cooldown?
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR ๐
XAUUSD top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.