Wells Fargo & Company: Here's Why Investors Shouldn't Miss Out!Hello,
Wells Fargo & Company is a financial services company. It provides a diversified set of banking, investment and mortgage products and services, and consumer and commercial finance, through banking locations and offices, the Internet
www.wellsfargo.com) and other distribution channels to individuals, businesses and institutions in all 50 states, the District of Columbia and in countries outside the United States. Its segments include Consumer Banking and Lending; Commercial Banking; Corporate and Investment Banking, and Wealth and Investment Management. The Wealth and Investment Management segment provides personalized wealth management, brokerage, financial planning, lending, private banking, trust and fiduciary products and services to affluent, high-net worth and ultra-high-net worth clients. Commercial Banking products and services include banking and credit products across multiple industry sectors and municipalities, secured lending and lease products, and treasury management.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS- Checklist
1.Structure drawing (Trend line drawing on past price chart data)- As shown below
2.Patterns identification (Naming patterns on past price chart data for future wave)- The price is currently correcting & filling the Nov 5th gap.
3.Future indication (Reading indicator for future wave)- 0 crossover on MACD.
4.Future wave (Drawing on future price chart using future indication from indicator)- As shown
5.Future reversal point (Identifying trend reversal point on price chart using structure)- Target price $90
FINANCIAL SUMMARY
BRIEF : From 2018 to 2023, total revenue increased overall from $96.25 billion to $116.22 billion, though it dipped in 2020 and 2022; net interest income fluctuated, starting at $49.99 billion in 2018, dropping to $35.78 billion in 2021, then recovering to $52.38 billion by 2023; meanwhile, net income was highly variable, peaking at $19.55 billion in 2019, significantly dropping to $3.38 billion in 2020, before soaring to $1.914 billion in 2023.
Risks to consider
•Revenue growth has become challenging at Wells Fargo. Though the Federal Reserve cut the interest rate by 50 basis points in September 2024, the bank’s Non-Interest Income may continue to face challenges in the near term as stabilizing funding costs might take time. The company is trying to increase fee-based income sources, but it will take some time to reflect in its financials. Hence, top-line growth is less likely to improve in the quarters ahead.
Q3 EARNINGS SUMMARY (Date of release 11.10.2024) (Next report date Jan 15,2025)
•Wells Fargo reported a net income of $5.1 billion down from 5.7 billion in the same Quarter last year 2023.
•Total revenue decreased to $20.37 billion, down from $20.86 billion in Q3 2023.
•Non-interest expenses were slightly reduced to $13.07 billion, compared to $13.11 billion a year earlier.
•The provision for credit losses was reported at $1.07 billion, down from $1.20 billion in Q3 2023.
•Average loans were $910.3 billion, a decrease from $943.2 billion.
•Average deposits increased slightly to $1,341.7 billion, compared to $1,340.3 billion.
•The bank repurchased 62 million shares, totaling $3.5 billion in Q3 2024.
•Return on Equity (ROE) was at 11.7%, down from 13.3% in the prior year.
•Return on Average Tangible Common Equity (ROTCE) decreased to 13.9%, from 15.9%.
•Consumer Banking and Lending revenues decreased by 5%, primarily due to lower deposit balances.
•Commercial Banking revenues showed a slight decline of 2%, while Corporate and Investment Banking revenues remained stable.
•CEO Charlie Scharf highlighted ongoing investments in diverse revenue sources, with fee-based revenue growing by 16% during the first nine months of the year, largely offsetting net interest income challenges.
Our recommendation
Wells Fargo reported third-quarter earnings of $5.1 billion, which included a one-time loss of $447 million ($0.10 per share) due to adjustments in their investment securities portfolio. Despite this setback, the bank's strategic realignment is expected to bolster future interest income. Over the past year, Wells Fargo's stock has corrected -12% since November 2024 giving us a great entry opportunity. Key to note is also that Wells Fargo’s Share Repurchase has been performing a share repurchase program. In the reported quarter 3 2024, Wells Fargo repurchased 62 million shares, or $3.5 billion, of common stock.
From a technical perspective, the recent correction in the Wells Fargo & Company stock provides a perfect entry point for this stock. The stock has approached its moving averages, which often signals potential support levels. Additionally, there's an anticipation of a zero crossover on the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), an indicator used to spot changes in a stock's momentum, suggesting a possible shift from bearish to bullish trends. This combination of technical signals indicates that the stock might be at an advantageous point for entry. Our target for this stock is at USD 90.14 with a buy at USD 71.31.
Looking ahead, external factors like the election of Donald Trump and Republican control of Congress present potential opportunities for the U.S. banking sector, evidenced by a post-election rally of over 10% for many bank stocks. While valuations in the sector range from fair to slightly overvalued, easing capital regulations—such as the revised Basel III proposal that lowers capital requirements for large banks—could spur balance sheet growth, profitability, and shareholder returns. The proposed law revisions to reduce capital requirements and a more conducive environment for mergers and acquisitions could enhance profitability and shareholder returns. Our recommendation is Buy on this stock.
Community ideas
Bitcoin: Bullish Until 90K Is Broken.Bitcoin has found support in the low 90K area (read my previous week's analysis). As long as 90K stays intact it is within reason to continue to have bullish expectations. Also wrote in the previous article that overly optimistic expectations are not in line with the developing price structure. Based on the inside bar formation that is developing now (see arrow), price is likely to test the 102,500 area minor resistance. IF it gets there, and what happens after is anyone's GUESS. The idea here is to be prepared for the coming week by coming to the market with a sense of context while at the same time being open to ANYTHING. The market decides what actually happens, the only thing we can do is adjust and follow.
I like to think of everything within a limited range of scenarios. "If this scenario, then that" or "if this other scenario, then that other outcome". For example, IF the current candle closes as a doji and the high is cleared over the next day, price is likely to squeeze into the next resistance area which happens to be in the 102Ks (see thin rectangle). This information can help you to prepare for bullish setups and confirmations on smaller time frames to capture a portion of the 4K point potential. This is where a confirmation tool like my Trade Scanner Po comes into play. You come to the market with an idea and the tool provides an objective confirmation with defined risk and profit objective.
IF the current candle develops into a bearish engulfing instead, that would cancel out the bullish idea and increase the likelihood of price retesting the 90K AREA support zone. A location where long setups should be anticipated UNTIL the level is compromised. Again the market moves first, and then from there we can better anticipate the following movement.
At this point there is not much to do but wait for a confirmation one way or the other. The 100K area may also act as a psychological resistance so taking swing trades or positions with longer time horizons carries a lot more risk compared to signals around the low 90ks.
How you navigate the market depends heavily on the time horizon you choose. Smaller time horizons have smaller associated risk, but a larger amount of noise and false signals. Larger time frames are less noisy and offer larger movements, but the risk is much greater. It is possible to operate on multiple time frames but requires a decent amount of experience.
And while Bitcoin is still generally bullish, that does not mean it will stay that way. It is better to keep an open mind than to get married to an opinion ESPECIALLY if the source of that opinion came from some "expert". For better perspective, keep an eye on the weekly or monthly time frame. If the low of the current monthly candle is compromised, some kind of corrective move is likely to follow, NOT BTC 1.2 million.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
SPY Triple Bottom, Rally time?!AMEX:SPY SP:SPX
I'd really like us to end the week above $580 in order to have this either Double or Triple bottom friends!
I could see a flash crash down to fill the price GAP at $574.81 as well.
Either way from what I'm seeing on the TVC:VIX , Economic numbers, and the charts I believe we are getting close to a bottom friends.
Consolidate down to only the best names until we receive that confirmation. They did a fake out today and another FED putting FUD into the market didn't help with the GDP projection.
Not financial advice.
Nasdaq - This Can Still Be A Fakeout!Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) is starting to slow down:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
A couple of months ago, the Nasdaq perfectly broke above the channel resistance trendline again, attempting the creation of another parabolic rally. However bulls are not flexing their muscles properly so this breakout attempt could still turn into a devastating fakeout.
Levels to watch: $20.000, $17.000, $30.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
The Best Correction for Tesla We’ve Seen in Months 🚀 The Best Correction for Tesla We’ve Seen in Months – Targeting $486! 🚀
📊 Trade Setup:
Entry Price: $380
Take Profit 1: $418.19 (previous support)
Take Profit 2: $486 (recent high)
Stop Loss: $350 (below the trend line)
📈 Analysis:
Tesla has seen its best correction in months, providing an incredible buy opportunity at a discount. The price recently hit a support level on the bullish trend line and is now showing early signs of upward movement. With a strong uptrend still in place, we’re looking for a potential move towards the previous support at $418.19 and ultimately the recent high at $486.
🎯 Targets:
$418.19: Previous support zone
$486: Recent high, key resistance level
🔹 Risk Management:
Stop loss set at $350, safely below the trend line, ensuring proper risk control.
⚡ Are you ready to ride the bullish trend with Tesla? Drop your thoughts below! ⚡
Bitcoin - Final Crash! Prepare to buy, new ATH soon.Bitcoin is ready for the final crash to around 85k! This is an excellent buying opportunity on the spot market, or you can use leverage on futures. I expect Bitcoin to hit 125k in 2025.
85k is a strong support because it's the start of the FVG (Fair Value GAP). It's the first major point and major support on this chart. Expect a strong rebound from this level. It's possible that Bitcoin will go a little bit lower to 83,842. This is also significant support because it's the 1:1 FIB extension from wave A to wave B. Bitcoin always reacts to this FIB extension; it's the most popular.
After we complete the C wave, we are ready to start a new impulse wave and start a new bull market. Also, I expect an altseason to kick in; for example, Ethereum should overpower Bitcoin. The Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) chart is on a strong resistance.
I think the plan is clear; 2025 will be very successful! Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
HEAD AND SHOULDERS: NOT JUST A SHAMPOO Alright, traders, buckle up. 🚀 What you’re looking at isn’t just a chart—it’s a warning shot. 💥
📉 Head and Shoulders? Classic textbook stuff. But don’t get comfortable. That neckline at 68,285 isn’t just a pretty yellow line—it’s the price’s last line of defense before it nosedives into the abyss. 🕳️
Let’s connect the dots:
Momentum? Fading faster than New Year’s resolutions. 🗓️ (👀 at that RSI—she’s screaming bearish.)
Buyers? They’re running out of steam, and it’s not looking pretty for the bulls. 🐂💨
But here’s the kicker: 🎯 When (not if) that line breaks, the price could freefall faster than your hopes in a Monday morning meeting. 💸📉
So, what’s your play? 🤔
Sit there, fingers crossed 🤞, hoping the neckline holds? Or take action, position yourself, and ride the wave down like the shark 🦈 you are?
Your choice. But remember—trading isn’t about hoping; it’s about acting. 💪
Let’s see who’s ready to capitalize and who’s stuck waiting on miracles. 👀
💬 Feel free to screenshot this when the price hits new lows and say you were here first.
TOTAL2/BTC Alts showing MAJOR WEAKNESS vs BTCAlts showing major weakness against BTC by Closing the Week in this trading region which will dump them another 15-20%
If BTC and Alts perform similar to last 2 cycles then Alts would have a 125 - 175% return above ₿itcoin
Notice the diminishing returns from each cycle 🧐
On a risk adjusted basis, the chart is suggesting that in future cycles it might just be better to be in BTC than Alts😲
Solana (SOL): Formed A Fakeout / Possible Further Drop of 30%Solana coin has formed a nice small fakeout move, which resulted in the price falling back within the zones of sideways tunned that have been the Solanas golden zone for some time. Now that sellers are showing dominance, we might see some further moves to lower zones here!
More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
Swallow Team
AMD’s Chart Shows Potential Life Signs After Nine Tough MonthsIs it finally time semiconductor giant Advanced Micro Devices NASDAQ:AMD to show some life after a more than nine-month-long beatdown? Let's investigate what the stock’s technical and fundamental analysis says.
AMD’s Fundamental Analysis
Advanced Micro Devices has lost better than 40% since hitting a $227.30 all-time intraday high on March 8.
In just in the past two weeks or so, three analysts with five-star rating from TipRanks have reduced their AMD target prices while either reiterating "Hold" ratings or downgrading the stock.
Joseph Moore of Morgan Stanley, William Stein of Truist Financial and Vivek Arya of Bank of America took their targets for AMD down from $168.73 on average to a $152.67 mean.
The stock closed Friday at $125.24, so even that reduced average target would require AMD to climb more than 21% to hit it. Some "Hold" that would be.
Meanwhile, two other five-star analysts -- Gus Richard of Northland Securities and Thomas O'Malley of Barclays -- have recently either reiterated or initiated "Buy" ratings on AMD with target prices in the $170s.
AMD’s stock has struggled as the company chased Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA in the generative AI space without really capturing much more market share.
Broadcom NASDAQ:AVGO and Marvell Technology NASDAQ:MRVL are starting to crowd into that space as well, not to mention the hyper-scalers like Apple that have started to design their own chips as a means toward saving capital.
Still, there are the gaming and PC sectors -- spaces where AMD has practically eaten the lunch of rival chipmaker Intel NASDAQ:INTC .
As for earnings, AMD will report Q4 results in about a month's time. The Street is looking for about $1.09 in adjusted earnings per share on $7.5 billion of revenue.
If that holds true, the results would compare favorably to AMD’s year-ago $0.77 in adjusted EPS, while reflecting 22% year-over-year sales growth. That would also represent the fifth consecutive quarter of 20%+ year-over-year revenue growth.
AMD’s Technical Analysis
AMD’s chart as of Tuesday looks like it’s starting to tell us something potentially positive after months of problems -- the possibility of a so-called “double-bottom reversal pattern” completing its development:
Bottom No. 1 formed in early August at $121.83, while AMD might have just put in Bottom No. 2 a few days ago at $117.90.
The apex of the rally in between these two bottoms (which would form a pivot point in this pattern) occurred in early October at $174. All of that is potentially bullish.
Looking at AMD’s other technical indicators, readers will see that the stock’s Relative Strength Index (the gray line at top in the above chart) is still weak, but is rallying out of a technically oversold condition.
Meanwhile, the stock’s daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or “MACD,” denoted with the black and gold lines and blue bars at the chart’s bottom) appears to be trying to force a more bullish set-up.
Mind you, there's still plenty that could prevent any real bounce-back for AMD.
For instance, the histogram for the stock 9-day Exponential Moving Average (or “EMA,” marked with blue bars at the chart’s bottom) has improved, but is still negative.
However, the 12-day EMA (marked with a black line) has caught up to the 26-day EMA (the gold line) and could rise above it. That would historically represent a positive development.
On the other hand, AMD’s 21-day EMA (the green line above), 50-day SMA (the blue line) and 200-day Simple Moving Average (or “SMA,” marked with a red line) are all above AMD’s Friday close.
That historically means there will be algorithmic resistance on the way up for AMD, and that the stock is still technically in a downtrend.
That said, those are the lines that AMD will have to retake to pull swing traders and portfolio managers back from a risk-off sentiment toward the stock.
Time will tell, but I personally have a little more hope for AMD than I did a week or two ago.
(At the time of writing this column, Moomoo Markets Commentator Stephen “Sarge” Guilfoyle was long AMD.)
This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Moomoo is a financial information and trading app offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. In the U.S., investment products and services on Moomoo are offered by Moomoo Financial Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC.
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To Those Rushing to Buy Apple Right Now 2024.12.30Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Today’s analysis focuses on Apple (AAPL).
Weekly Chart
The chart above is a weekly chart of Apple, and it serves as the perfect explanation of why now is not the time to buy Apple.
Since 2004, Apple has consistently maintained an upward trend, repeatedly hitting new all-time highs.
Of course, with such a strong upward trajectory, buying at any level and holding long enough will eventually yield profits.
But aren’t we here to maximize our returns as chart enthusiasts?
We’re not just blindly throwing money into the market like those who don’t study charts.
Let’s get to the point:
After the subprime mortgage crisis, Apple has always experienced corrections of 30% or more from its highs.
Shouldn’t we be waiting for the 30% correction before considering a buy? Buying now, at the highs, is far from ideal.
Daily Chart
Historically, Apple has seen massive corrections, such as an 83% drop and another of 64%.
While we may not expect such extreme corrections now, 30% corrections from highs have consistently occurred.
Looking at current levels:
The white box zone, representing a 30% correction, would bring Apple to approximately $180–$164.
This is where we should start considering entries rather than buying now.
Zoomed-In Daily Chart
A closer look at the daily chart reveals that the 20 EMA and 60 EMA are currently in a strong uptrend.
However, analyzing the angle of the upward trend since April 2024, we can estimate that price consolidation may occur until approximately February 2025, when the price could test the trendline.
If the trendline breaks, a one-way decline toward the white box zone is likely.
What’s next?
While the white box zone is a logical area for initial entries, patience may still pay off.
Coincidentally, the timeline aligns with the U.S. presidential transition, which could amplify a downward correction.
If this happens, the price may dip into the orange box zone, potentially reaching the green box zone at its lowest.
Conclusion
Don’t rush to buy Apple.
Be patient. The right time will come.
Buy smart, not impulsively.
Timing is everything, so let’s trade wisely. 🚀
AUD/JPY ShortAUD/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Break above area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
BTC to 124k - Quick ThoughtsBitcoin is currently in a consolidation phase and is simply waiting to expand further toward 124k.
Ideally, we’d like to see the price take out the key low first and then head toward 124k.
If the price ignores the key low and goes straight to 124k, we can be pretty sure it will retrace at that level and then look to take out the key level afterward.
What Those Peaks and Valleys on Your Chart Are Telling You (RSI)Hello, Traders! 👋🏻
Have you ever noticed those peaks and valleys at the bottom of your trading charts? Like tiny mountains rising and falling, they seem to reflect the market’s heartbeat 🩺. But what do they actually mean? Think of them as the market’s thermometer — showing you when it’s overheated or cooling down. This tool is none other than the Relative Strength Index (RSI).
RSI meaning? RSI is one of the simplest indicators traders use to time their moves. It tells you when an asset is overbought or oversold, helping you spot potential reversals and entry points.
In this article, we’ll break down how RSI works, why it’s such a powerful tool, and how you can use it to read the market.
What Is RSI?
What is the Relative Strength Index/RSI? RSI isn’t just a random line on your chart. It’s a momentum oscillator that measures how quickly prices are moving up or down. Think of it as a score for how strong the market’s mood is right now. Let’s dive into how to use the RSI indicator effectively.
1. Overbought and Oversold Levels. The most common way to use RSI trading is to look for these levels.
If RSI rises above 70, ➡️ the market might be overbought . This could be a good time to think about locking in profits or avoiding new buys.
If RSI falls below 30, ➡️the market might be oversold . This could signal a buying opportunity.
But don’t jump in blindly. These levels are just a starting point. Always check for confirmation from other indicators or chart patterns.
2. Spotting Divergences. Divergences happen when the RSI and the price move in opposite directions—a powerful signal that something is about to change.
Bullish Divergence: The price makes a lower low, but RSI makes a higher low. This suggests that selling pressure is weakening, and a reversal to the upside may be coming.
Bearish Divergence: The price makes a higher high, but the RSI makes a lower high. This indicates that buying momentum is fading, and a downturn could be near.
Divergences often occur before major reversals, giving you a chance to prepare for your next move.
Why RSI Deserves a Place in Your Toolkit
The Relative Strength Index is more than just a line on your chart—it’s a window 🪟 into the market’s psychology. It helps you see when traders are getting too greedy or too fearful, giving you the edge to act decisively.
But remember, no indicator works in isolation. Pair RSI with other tools, adapt it to different market conditions, and always trade with a plan.
So, traders, how do you use RSI in your strategy? Do you rely on it for entries and exits, or do you combine it with other tools? Let’s discuss it!
HOVR Heading For New Horizons?! Cup & Handle Set-UpLets break down NASDAQ:HOVR on the Daily Chart!
Price from Mid-Sept to Early-Dec outlined the "Bowl" of the Cup and on Dec. 11th, Price made the Retracement to the Golden Ratio Zone to start the "Handle"!
Today we have Price printing a STRONG Bullish Candle Breaking the Confirmation of the Cup & Handle Pattern @ .8799!
Fundamentally, NASDAQ:HOVR secured a $8.4 Million investment from an "unnamed investor" to help with the advancement of the Hybrid Electric Vertical Take-off Aircraft, the Cavorite X7.
-https://www.tradingview.com/news/mtnewswires.com:20241220:A3286797:0/
*In order for the Pattern to be Validated, WAIT for Price to Close above Confirmation @ .8799, then we will expect Price to come back down to Retest the Break @ ( .8900 - .8799 ), THEN the Pattern is Validated and we can look for Buying Opportunities!!
Indicators:
-RSI Above 50
-BBTrend Printing Green Bars
-Bullish Volume Building
Why I Think More Companies Will Buy Themselves Back in 2025I noticed that Nordstrom is making headlines today as the Nordstrom family moves to take the company private, effectively "buying it back" from public shareholders. I find this fascinating and may add it to one of my themes for 2025: more small and mid cap companies will leave public markets and go private.
What is Nordstrom's doing? The strategy involves acquiring all outstanding shares not already owned by the family, removing Nordstrom from the public stock exchange. Taking the company private allows the family to regain full control, enabling strategic decisions without the pressure of quarterly earnings reports or shareholder scrutiny. Actually, the exact quote from the company is rather interesting: The Nordstrom family believes it will be more successful without the scrutiny and demands of the public market.
For Nordstrom, going private could mean focusing on long-term investments and restructuring without the constraints of public market expectations, costs or regulations. Ah, the freedom to build! A few things to note about this:
1. Look at the trend of Nordstrom's in the chart above into this go private offer.
2. Nordstrom's will save massively on legal costs and fees associated with going public.
3. I think more companies that are floundering at the small and mid cap level will opt to go in this direction.
4. More CFOs and CEOs will ask if it's worth it to stay public if there is no immediate benefit.
5. What's also interesting is that the companies can always go public again if they think they need to raise money once again or need to tap back into the markets.
This will be a space to watch and I will be writing about this more in 2025.
Giveaway: Happy Holidays & Merry Christmas!It's that time of year where we can openly say (without sounding too cringe) how thankful we are to have you. Your unwavering support, charting enthusiasm, and shared passion for the markets is what drives us. You've been the heartbeat of our work and community.
As we close the book on another year of trading, we’re reminded that it’s not just the numbers or the record highs — it’s you that makes this journey worthwhile.
Happy Holidays from all of us at TradingView! May your holidays be filled with warmth, laughter, and just the right amount of volatility to keep things exciting. 🥂📈
Wishing you a breakout year ahead, fewer false signals, and plenty of wins — on and off the charts.
🥁 And now... 🥁
🎁 THE GIVEAWAY 🎁
Who:
🏆 THREE LUCKY WINNERS 🏆 walk away with prizes
What:
🚀 PREMIUM PLAN 🚀 for a full year
When:
⏳ JANUARY 3 ⏳ we announce the winners
To participate, leave a comment under this Idea, answering the two-part question:
1️⃣ What was your best trade this year?
2️⃣ What is your trading goal for 2025?
And now follow these rules:
1️⃣ Like this Idea
2️⃣ Follow our official account
Note:
💡 You can only participate once — three lucky winners will be picked randomly by the TradingView Santa to win a Premium plan for one year.
Watch this space — announcing the winners on January 3 !
Top Trading Ideas of 2025: AI, Bitcoin, Stock Picks and PoliticsIf you’re extremely online and watching the blog of every investment bank, financial institution and markets-focused media outlet, you’ve probably seen a few of those already — year-ahead previews are just too enticing to pass on.
With this Idea, we’re aiming to lay out what our traders care about the most — the big trading and investment trends that will drive a huge chunk of the buying and selling. While only a forecast, this type of outlook could help you to better prepare your trades and set your gaze upon the assets and categories that will slosh around billions upon billions next year.
So let’s do it.
🤖 AI on the Horizon
A thematic priority and one of the top investment trends in 2025 will undoubtedly be Nvidia artificial intelligence. AI is touted as the game changer of the tech industry and all big tech players are racing to seize as big a market share as they can.
To get a feel for what may be coming, let’s look at what happened this year. According to technology-focused analyst firm Omdia, Microsoft MSFT was the biggest buyer of Nvidia’s NVDA flagship AI chip Hopper. (One of these babies will run you about $30,000.) Estimates point that the tech giant bought 485,000 Hopper chips (~ $15 billion ). It’s understandable because Microsoft is OpenAI’s biggest investor with about $13 billion jammed into the ChatGPT parent.
Next in line for the Hopper chip in 2024 is Meta META with 224,000 units. Other big spenders for the AI-enabling tech include Tesla TSLA , Amazon AMZN and Google GOOGL .
Next year, that upside trend is expected to pick up the pace with Hopper’s successor Blackwell — a next-generation AI chip , which has seen insane demand , according to Nvidia’s main man Jensen Huang.
With all that AI buzz, investors will be closely following Nvidia’s every step for signs of whether the chip juggernaut could carry on the miraculous growth.
₿ Bitcoin is the New Orange
What’s the new year without some orange-colored cryptocurrency? Bitcoin BTCUSD is now a $2 trillion beast ready to tear down every permabear’s gloom-and-doom forecast. So what can you expect to see in 2025?
With Donald Trump’s inauguration on January 20, the cryptocurrency industry is poised for deregulation (think, crypto companies finally getting bank accounts). The President-elect has set out to assemble a team of A-list venture capitalists , entrepreneurs and, frankly, billionaires.
And with the Congress largely made up of crypto bros, digital-asset companies hope regulators will wave away a whole string of suits against them — Coinbase, Kraken and Binance have been carrying a target on their backs for years.
Stripping down weighty rules will help companies expand services and establish bigger footprints, potentially powering Bitcoin’s valuation.
Other than having banks take deposits or lend to crypto companies, something else can propel Bitcoin. The US government may soon have its very own Bitcoin strategic reserve . The vehicle will aim to collect a total of 1 million Bitcoin over a five-year time horizon. The goal: keep stacking and never sell.
🎯 The Game of Whack-a-Mole
Here’s why stocks won’t be skyrocketing in 2025: the Federal Reserve just said it’s nearly done with lowering interest rates. After Fed boss Jay Powell announced another trim to borrowing costs Wednesday, he struck a cautious note saying that the US central bank is now projecting two rate cuts, down from a previous forecast of four.
In other words, stock picking is back on the menu. It’s easy to feel smart — even a genius — when your trade is in profit together with the broader market. But true craftsmanship is best seen amid churning waters when markets are volatile, tough and choppy.
No doubt there will be winners even if equities are moving sideways or looking down. But it’s hard to imagine that US stocks could pull off a third straight 20%+ annual gain (the S&P 500 SPX was up more than 24% in 2023 and is up 24% on the year so far).
Also, the broad-based index is at a record high . So is the 30-stock Dow Jones Industrial Average DJI and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite IXIC . Among the big factors that could contribute to a negative year for stocks are rate hikes, recession or stubborn inflation.
All in all, stock pickers, this might just be your year!
🏛️ Power Plays and Market Sways
President-elect Donald Trump’s agenda is pretty clear by now and he isn’t even officially sworn in. If it could be summed up in a sentence it would probably be “America, heck yeah.”
Trump’s second four-year term is expected to usher in a new era of growth through an America-first approach, sweeping deregulation and tax cuts. All that mix of reflation policies threatens to flare up price pressures again. Add to that some hefty tariffs on US imports and you get a powerful concoction of “wait and see if this bursts in your face.”
Inflation expectations have already crept up and the recent consumer price index readout for November does sound some alarm bells. If things are heating up, Trump’s moves may bring them to a boil — tariffs are inflationary and immigration control is inflationary.
And so if the election win introduced animal spirits into the markets, the presidency starting next year will get a chance to make good on all the promises given by the President-elect (and expose some potential weaknesses).
📣 With that, we conclude the walk through what we think makes the most sense to grab headlines next year. What’s your take — do you think there are opportunities to be seized in 2025? Share your thoughts and let’s spin up a discussion!