BTC and Crypto Forecast Bull RunBTC current sitation:
- Awaiting retracement to OTE level
- Once we get retracement, we look at ALTS for the start of the ALT seasons.
Coins to focus on:
- Specifically coins that are already at all time lows.
- Coins that have been around for a long time
- Coins that have a strong community backing
Listen carefully!
Community ideas
The TradingView Show with TradeStation: Bull Market or Fake Out?Join us for a timely TradingView live stream with David Russell, Head of Global Market Strategy at TradeStation, as we break down the latest rebound in the markets and what it could mean for traders and investors. In this session, we’ll dive into:
What the recent bounce off the lows might signal about a potential bull market return
How global trade dynamics and tariff news are shaping asset prices
Key charts, indicators, and technical patterns to watch for signs of sustained momentum
Essential strategies for navigating market recoveries, corrections, and upcoming Federal Reserve decisions
Bonus: Discover our latest broker integration update with TradeStation—now supporting equity options trading directly on TradingView. This upgrade brings advanced tools like the strategy builder, options chain sheet, and volatility analysis to your fingertips, making it easier to trade through uncertain market conditions.
This session is sponsored by TradeStation, whose vision is to provide the ultimate online trading platform for self-directed traders and investors across equities, equity index options, futures, and futures options markets. Equities, equity options, and commodity futures services are offered by TradeStation Securities Inc., member NYSE, FINRA, CME, and SIPC.
Disclosures from TradeStation:
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Tesla Stock Soars 60% in 4-Week Winning Streak. Should You Buy?With global trade tensions easing and the outlook clearing up a bit, especially with next month’s robotaxi launch, Tesla bulls are jumping right in to buy the dip and ride out a four-week rally. Is there more to that? Let’s find out.
Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA just pulled off a move most gym bros would call “bulking season.”
The stock is up 60% over the past month. That’s not a typo — it’s a full-on, pedal-to-the-metal rally that’s left shorts scrambling and bulls fist-pumping like it’s 2020 again.
In just four weeks, Elon Musk’s EV maker ripped higher with the kind of velocity typically reserved for SpaceX rockets or Dogecoin bonanzas.
But now that we’re at cruising altitude (and even dipped a little bit again first thing on Monday), the obvious question floats in: Should you still be buying this? Or is this just another one of the speculative dopamine-driven dead-cat bounces?
Let’s plug in, charge up, and break it down.
💡 From Earnings Letdown to Elon Euphoria
The move started innocently enough — with bad earnings. The first-quarter report disappointed Wall Street — revenue came in light. Margins shrank. Deliveries were meh. (Mandatory “keep an eye on the earnings calendar ” remark!) Most companies would’ve been punished after such a showing.
But Tesla is not like most companies.
Instead of spiraling, shares soared 18% the week after the report — because, surprise, Tesla said it will stick to its promises. The company reiterated plans for a lower-priced EV (a Tesla for the masses), and doubled down on its robotaxi rollout, the Cybercab, slated to launch in Austin, Texas, this June.
Cue the retail stampede.
Investors didn’t see a company in trouble. They saw a growth story still in motion, with enough Muskian magic to keep hope (and valuations) alive. Tesla didn’t need to crush numbers — it just had to convince traders it hadn’t stalled out.
Mission accomplished.
🤙 Macro Tailwinds and China’s “Chill Pill”
Tesla didn’t rally in a vacuum (though that sounds like an Elon side project). The broader market has been in risk-on mode lately , helped by:
Easing China–US trade tensions , which is great news for Tesla’s Shanghai Gigafactory and its global supply chain.
A less hawkish Fed narrative against the backdrop of cooling inflation , making growth stocks slightly less allergic to rising rates.
Renewed optimism around AI and automation, both of which Tesla has front-row seats to.
Tesla benefits from all of these themes. It’s not just a car company — it’s a tangled web of EVs, robotics, self-driving tech, and Elon’s very public moonshots. When macro winds are favorable, Tesla catches more than its fair share of breeze.
📊 Technically Speaking: Breakouts and Burnouts
From a chart perspective, the move has been textbook FOMO.
Tesla sliced through its 50-day, 100-day and 200-day moving averages like butter. Volume popped. Momentum soared. And it finally reclaimed the $300-350 zone that acted like a gravitational sinkhole for months. In other words, Tesla is back above the $1 trillion valuation handle.
Is there a flipside, though? The chart’s showing signs of overextension. RSI is flirting with overbought territory. Momentum is hot — but not sustainable forever.
That doesn’t mean you short it. It just means don’t chase it like it’s a Black Friday deal on dual monitor setup.
🔎 Valuation? Let’s (Not) Talk About That
Oh right, valuation. That inconvenient little thing.
Tesla is still trading at eye-watering multiples. Forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio? North of 170. Tesla’s profits peaked in 2022 and have since been tumbling. But who cares — compared to traditional automakers, Tesla is operating on a completely different planet.
Analysts are eyeballing earnings per share for 2025 to land at $3.30. Even if markets were to slap a 50x forward P/E ratio, it would give Tesla a valuation of $165 a share and still be at a premium.
And to be fair, bulls will say that’s exactly the point. Tesla isn’t a car company. It’s an AI platform with a vision for the future. An energy business. A robotaxi empire-in-waiting. Maybe even a sentient Mars colony someday.
So… the price doesn’t have to make sense — if you buy the vision.
But if you’re looking for fundamentals, well, they’re still catching up.
🚗 The Robotaxi Wildcard
Let’s talk robotaxis.
Tesla’s robotaxi launch next month could be a game-changer — or a meme. If it works, and the Cybercab is a success, even in a limited beta, it will validate one of Elon’s long-promised, never-quite-delivered moonshots . It opens the door to software revenue, recurring cash flows, and the holy grail of auto tech: mobility-as-a-service.
If it flops? Well, it won’t be the first time. But this time, the market has already priced in success.
That’s risky.
🧐 Should You Be Buying?
No one ever went broke taking profits. And if you rode this 60% move, pat yourself on the back and consider trimming. It doesn’t make you a bad long-term investor. It makes you a responsible one.
If you missed it? Don’t FOMO in at the top (but also — who’s to say that’s the top?). Tesla’s chart has looked like this before — only to collapse in a pile of overhyped press releases and supply chain “hiccups.” But if you see a pullback or at least some consolidation? Great trades are about patience, not hot takes.
❤️ Bottom Line
Tesla’s four-week tear is impressive. It’s got narrative fuel, technical follow-through, and macro support. But that doesn’t mean it’s an all-you-can-eat rally buffet.
Tesla is still a volatile beast with sky-high expectations and a CEO who can tank the stock with a tweet or an Oval Office speech. It’s also a company that might reinvent urban transport next quarter.
So what’s the play? Are you ramping up your long bets on the volatile EV stock or you're more of a waiting-for-the-pullback trader? Share your thoughts in the comments!
Disney Stock Pops on Strong Earnings Data. Turnaround Working?The Magic Kingdom just pulled a rabbit out of its hat — and Wall Street’s loving it.
Disney stock NYSE:DIS surged 11% on Wednesday, not just for its best day in a year, but for the kind of earnings beat that makes analysts reconsider their entire valuation model while retail traders tweet “ NYSE:DIS to the moon.”
Is the House of Mouse finally finding its footing? Just a day ago, Disney shares were languishing 60% below their 2021 record. Let’s break it down.
♫ Earnings That Deserve Their Own Theme Song
Starting with the headline: adjusted earnings per share clocked in at $1.45 , stomping the $1.20 consensus estimate. Revenue came in at $23.62 billion, a 7% jump from last year’s earnings performance and another beat that sent traders racing for their mouse ears.
After a year of streaming skepticism, cost-cutting, and investor hand-wringing over whether Bob Iger’s encore CEO tour could work magic, this quarter delivered. Bigly.
💪 Streaming Had No Business Going That Hard — But It Did
Wall Street was braced for a Disney+ subscriber drop. Instead, the company added 1.4 million new subscribers to 126 million, easily topping expectations of 123 million.
Not only are people still subscribing despite price hikes, but the direct-to-consumer segment (Disney+, Hulu, ESPN+) posted revenue growth of 8% to $6.12 billion, powered by both higher prices and surprise stickiness. Operating profit in streaming? A cool $336 million, up from $47 million a year ago.
Disney even raised its full-year adjusted EPS guidance to $5.75, a 16% gain from fiscal 2024 — a confident flex in a market where most companies are still managing expectations with surgical pessimism.
⏫ Mickey’s New Best Friend: Margin Expansion
It wasn’t just top-line fireworks — the net income boom was one for the books: $3.28 billion in profits, compared to a $20 million loss a year ago.
Operating margins in streaming are on the rise. Profitability, once seen as an elusive dream for all the big streaming platforms, is suddenly in sight. Disney is guiding toward $875 million in streaming profit for this fiscal year — and based on this quarter, that may end up conservative.
🎡 Parks Still Pay the Bills — With a Sprinkle of Magic
Now let’s talk about the real engine behind Disney’s machine: the parks and experiences division.
Domestic parks posted a 13% profit increase, powered by higher visitor spending and the launch of a shiny new cruise ship.
That’s important in an economy where every other headline screams “recession imminent.” Disney’s park guests are ignoring macro headwinds and enjoying the fantasy — and that’s music to shareholders’ ears.
Worried about tariffs? Sure, but they haven’t shown up on Disney’s balance sheet just yet. And until they do, Disney’s parks remain a cash printer with castles.
🏟️ A Park in Abu Dhabi — Why It May Be Big
Tucked in among the streaming buzz and EPS upgrade was something that made global investors raise an eyebrow: a new Disney theme park in Abu Dhabi.
On the surface, this sounds like a headline for 2031. And sure, it’ll take a few years to plan and build, and a few more to create the commemorative popcorn bucket. But long-term investors should pay attention.
Abu Dhabi isn’t just a tourist destination — it’s a capital backed by one of the world’s largest sovereign wealth funds and a keen interest in diversifying the revenue streams beyond oil. A Disney park there isn’t just another expansion — it’s a geopolitical bet on premium travel.
As Iger put it, it may seem modest now, but it’s quietly huge for the brand’s future footprint.
👀 What’s Behind the Magic? And Can It Last?
So the big question: is this a one-time sugar rush, or the start of a sustained turnaround?
There are reasons to be optimistic. Disney's streaming growth looks increasingly sustainable. Its content pipeline (including ESPN's evolving digital presence) is improving. The parks continue to defy economic gravity. And Iger seems to be rebalancing the business with a more profitable, investor-friendly mix.
But let’s not forget: content costs are still high, competition in streaming hasn’t gone anywhere, and park margins may come under pressure if consumer sentiment shifts. The macro backdrop remains complicated, and even Mickey can't outwit the Fed forever.
Still, this quarter wasn’t just “less bad than feared.” It was actually good — and that's a narrative shift that could power momentum.
🐭 The Mouse Still Got It
Disney’s earnings report, delivered in the heat of the earnings calendar , could be interpreted as a signal that the entertainment giant isn’t just navigating the new entertainment landscape — it might actually be mastering it.
And in a market starved for upside surprises, Disney just reminded investors that storytelling is its business — and this one’s finally got a happy twist.
The question now is whether traders and long-term holders believe in the next chapter. For now, with the stock back above $102 and the Magic Kingdom delivering financial magic, the bulls are back in the castle.
Your turn: Are you buying into Disney’s turnaround? Holding for the next golden age? Or still side-eyeing that subscriber chart? Let’s hear your play on NYSE:DIS below.
Tariff timeline: how Trump’s shifts hit the Nasdaq 100This chart tracks key US tariff decisions and rhetoric from February to May 2025 and their direct impact on the Nasdaq 100. It highlights the sharp escalation in tariffs against China and other trade partners, followed by market volatility and brief rebounds tied to policy softening. Notable events include the April 2 national emergency, China’s retaliation, and the May 12 tariff pause deal. The Nasdaq’s movements mirror investor reactions to uncertainty, diplomatic signals, and easing measures, showing how trade policy remains a major force behind short-term equity market swings.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
GOLD - Bullish Trend Continuation w/ Bat Pattern & Complex PBGold has been on a tear for sometime now & well, you know what they say, all good things must come to an end. In saying end, we don't necessarily mean a forever end, but perhaps sometimes a break.
After failing to make a new high, it seems like Gold has reached it's excess or exhaustion phase & is beginning to show signs of relief. If this relief were to continue, not only do we have a good structure level to look for buys at, but it's also accompanied with a potential bullish bat pattern.
Please leave any questions or comments below & if you'd like to share your views from either a fundamental or technical perspective, please do so as I love the conversation.
Akil
Will the USD Bears come back? Stock Market just pulling back?In this video I go over the EUR/USD, GBP/USD and USD/JPY. Will the USD bears come pouring back in or give up the previous low on the EUR/USD...
Some markers I'm watching is a "hidden" divergence on the MACD and it's potential signal for continued bullish strength for the EUR/USD, especially with the U.S. credit rating getting lowered by Moodys.
I'm also watching for a potential reversal to the stock market's massive rally the last couple of weeks. Is this a true reversal or just a major pullback in the grand scheme of things? The last 2 weeks of May will be interesting to watch develop.
As always, Good Luck & Trade Safe.
BTC - New Impulse Soon!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 BTC has been bullish, trading within the rising channel marked in orange. 🟧
In a typical trend, corrections are usually bearish. 🔻
However, in BTC’s case, the correction phases marked in red are flat — a strong signal that the bulls are in control 💪 and not allowing the bears to trigger a classic pullback.
As long as BTC holds within the rising orange channel, we expect the next impulse phase to kick off soon 🚀 — aiming for the $115,000 round number. 🎯
This move will be confirmed once BTC breaks above the current flat correction zone marked in red. ✅
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Gold Market Update: Bulls Still in Control?Gold Market Update: Bulls Still in Control?
Gold has been volatile, requiring close attention. Following our previous analysis, gold declined from its last bearish pattern, dropping from 3230 to 3120.
However, yesterday it rebounded sharply, surging from 3120 to 3251 despite the absence of any news—an indication that bullish momentum remains strong.
The predominant trend is solid, but heavy manipulation and the substantial holdings by central banks and hedge funds continue to prevent a deeper decline.
The chances remain high that this movement is part of a bearish correction. While it may look unstable, but another rise could still be possible.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Rare Platinum Setup Offers 7x Risk to RewardA breakout above 1000 in platinum could deliver a 7x risk to reward setup. In this short clip, we break down the technical pattern, timing, and trade plan.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Nvidia Overtakes Apple as 2nd-Biggest Company. Microsoft Next?Well, well, well — if it isn’t the GPU-maker-turned-global-tech-Goliath lapping the iPhone factory on the market cap leaderboard . Again.
Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA has officially snatched the second-largest company title from Apple NASDAQ:AAPL , bringing its market cap north of $3.3 trillion, while Apple sat there like a vintage iPod on shuffle at $3.17 trillion — playing the same valuation tune for days.
So, what’s powering this meteoric rise? It’s not just graphics cards for gamers — that’s 2015. And it’s not graphics cards for Big Tech — that’s 2024. It’s graphics cards paid for by Middle Eastern oil money.
😎 Saudi Chips: Not the Potato Kind
Here’s the scoop: Saudi Arabia and the UAE are ready to shell out billions to become AI superpowers. And who’s their go-to guy? Nvidia, of course.
CEO Jensen Huang, who was in Riyadh this week, announced that Nvidia will supply “several hundred thousand” of its most advanced processors to Humain, a state-backed Saudi firm tasked with building AI infrastructure across the desert kingdom. That includes 18,000 units of Nvidia’s cutting-edge GB300 Grace Blackwell chips — the stuff data scientists dream about.
Nvidia calls this initiative “sovereign AI” — governments building and running their own AI on national infrastructure. Think of it as building data sandcastles, except the sand is made of petrodollars and server farms.
The geopolitical context? President Trump’s Middle East tour is clearing regulatory roadblocks, scrapping AI export restrictions drawn up under Biden, and opening the region to top-shelf American tech.
And Wall Street is paying attention.
💪 Trump Dumps Diffusion Rule, Nvidia Pumps
One of the major tailwinds for Nvidia’s latest rally came in the form of a policy reversal. The Biden-era “AI Diffusion Rule,” which aimed to restrict exports of advanced chips, has now been tossed by the Trump administration.
According to the Bureau of Industry & Security, the rule would have “undermined US innovation” and strained diplomatic relations. Translation? Nvidia was about to have its international wings clipped — but now it's free to fly across the Persian Gulf with pallets of GB300s.
The rule reversal instantly boosts Nvidia’s global reach — and opens the floodgates for billions in international chip demand. Naturally, the stock responded positively, climbing 5.4% on Monday, 5.6% on Tuesday, and 4.1% on Wednesday.
🚂 Not Just a Hype Train (But Bring Snacks Anyway)
Nvidia’s rally isn’t just FOMO (but there is some froth every now and then ).
It’s backed by earnings, expansion, and actual demand. Every major AI player — from startups to sovereign nations — needs Nvidia chips. And there’s no clear rival. AMD NASDAQ:AMD is a step behind. Intel NASDAQ:INTC is still trying to remember how to make people excited again.
But at these levels, expectations are sky-high. Even a great quarter that’s not utterly perfect could trigger some profit-taking. After all, trees don’t grow to the sky — but apparently semiconductors are expected to .
👀 Eyes on Microsoft, But Timing Is Key
So what’s next? Can Nvidia dethrone Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT , currently valued at just about $60 billion more, and become the biggest company in the world?
Easily, especially if Huang’s tech juggernaut keeps this pace and posts another monster earnings beat. Nvidia reports on May 28, and you can bet every institutional desk, Reddit thread, and our very own TradingView community will be glued to their multi-screen setups to get those numbers.
Microsoft still sits at the top with a $3.36 trillion valuation — within striking distance. All it would take is another ~1.8% pop for Nvidia and a sleepy session for Microsoft.
But be warned: Wall Street loves a Cinderella story until the glass slipper misses earnings by two cents.
🧐 Final Thoughts: Watch Out Everyone
Apple may have Siri. But Nvidia has the chips to build a thousand Siris — and a few Skynets while we're at it.
Whether it can overtake Microsoft depends on the next earnings report (or the lead-up hype).
So the question isn’t “Will Nvidia stay #2?” It’s: How long until it’s #1 — and what could possibly stop it?
And if you’ve got it on your watchlist, circle May 28 in red marker and don’t forget to pay attention to the earnings calendar .
Because that earnings print might just rewrite the leaderboard again.
Your move : Are you riding NASDAQ:NVDA to the top? Waiting for a pullback? Or nervously watching from the sidelines with popcorn and regret? Hit the comments with your play.
Summary of S&P 500 and some of the stock I'm invested inThis is my first video on TradingView, where I’m sharing insights on my current trades, how they're performing, and some key lessons from recent mistakes that I need to address moving forward.
Quick Summary:
S&P 500 is starting to look overextended, increasing the likelihood of a pullback.
This isn’t the ideal time to jump into new trades. Instead, I’m waiting for a pullback to the 10 EMA, which could offer better entry opportunities.
Exelixis (EXEL) turned out to be a fantastic trade, with a strong move upward.
After such momentum, it's wise to expect a pullback. I'm letting the stock breathe, with the goal of possibly catching the next leg up.
I also reviewed a few other trades and highlighted some stocks that are on my watchlist.
Right now, I’m letting the market unfold naturally and looking for clear setups before entering again.
Trading is a game of patience and positioning—it's not about forcing trades, but about waiting for the right ones.
US Tech 100 setting sight for ALL time highs - Target 23,671Buy the dip. Never fails as the American markets will always recover.
The question is however, where is the bottom of the DIP and have I considered what risk to take if it continues to dip.
That is what actually causes portfolios to get blown.
However, I don't buy Dips. In fact, I don't buy low, sell high.
I buy HIGH sell HIGHER. Always have always will.
When momentum is on the way, it is better to get on the trend and ride it on up.
And that is WHAT the US Tech 100 is showing or the Nasdaq.
Technicals look great too.
Inv Head and Shoulders
Price>20 and 200MA
Target 23,671
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GLMR Explosion or Final Trap? Yello Paradisers — are you truly ready for one of the cleanest, most deceptive setups we’ve seen on GLMR in weeks? If you’ve been following our latest insights, you already know — this is not the moment to get distracted. A decisive move is on the horizon… but the trap is also well set. The only question is: will you be the one who catches it or gets caught?
💎#GLMRUSDT has just completed a clear 5 wave rising wedge, a classic structure that often signals the end of a move and it has now pushed directly into a key resistance zone. This level has rejected price multiple times in the past (as previously marked), and unsurprisingly, price has stalled here once again.
💎The support at $0.095 is now critical. If this level holds, this current pause could easily evolve into a bullish consolidation before the next impulsive leg upward.But just below, we’re eyeing the demand zone near $0.085. If the $0.095 support breaks and price dips into this zone, we’ll be watching for signs of aggressive buying. A fast rebound here could present a golden long entry, but only if we see clear strength returning immediately after the retest.
💎To the upside, our next moderate resistance lies at $0.1313, and beyond that, the real game begins in the major supply zone between $0.145 – $0.155. That’s where smart money will likely begin distributing their positions, and you should be ready to follow.
💎However, if price breaks below $0.0709, the entire bullish structure gets invalidated. That becomes our flip level — if breached, we will turn bearish and prepare for lower lows.
Discipline, patience, robust strategies, and trading tactics are the only ways you can make it long-term in this market.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
Bitcoin BTC Is Entering Into CorrectionHello, Skyrexians!
I got a lot of comments to analyze BINANCE:BTCUSDT because it has almost reached ATH and people don't understand what is happening. In my opinion last pain ahead and after that likely we see great gains.
Let's take a look at 4h time frame. We can finally notice the full 5 waves cycle which is likely to be finished. If you remember my recent analysis this is just the wave 1 inside higher degree wave 3. Awesome Oscillator has printed divergence, so there is a great chance that correction has been already started. The target for this correction is 0.5 Fibonacci at $90k. I don't recommend you to short this move if you are not experienced because this is trade against the trend.
Best regards,
Ivan Skyrexio
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After $105K Peak, Bitcoin May Revisit 0.382 FOB Level!CRYPTOCAP:BTC is pulling back after hitting a high of $105,800
If you look at the daily chart, we haven’t seen any healthy pullback, the price has gone straight up.
In my opinion, a retest of the 0.382 FOB level around $94K would be a healthy correction for Bitcoin. Based on the liquidation heatmap, we’re also seeing liquidity building up at lower levels.
This is one of the signs of a pullback, which is important for a sustainable and healthy market.
Stay tuned and follow for more updates!
TESLA - Robotaxi will drive the price above 1000This is not a short-term trade as you know from me on FX, Crypto and Indices. This is buy and hold investment. I got already good bag of share and Im still adding without trying to time if perfectly, but now I think its time to buy bigger positions.
Tesla is my 3rd biggest position after the Bitcoin and Strategy (MicroStrategy). Many people see it only as an EV cars company, but it's not all what they do, just read bellow to see why I see a huge potential in this company.
📍Why Tesla is Considered a Top Investment
Tesla stands out as a leading player in the EV market, with a strong brand and a history of delivering innovative products. In 2024, it produced about 459,000 vehicles and delivered over 495,000 in the fourth quarter alone, showcasing its ability to meet growing demand Tesla Fourth Quarter 2024 Production, Deliveries & Deployments.
💾Financially, Tesla reported $97,690 million in total revenue for 2024, with the automotive segment contributing $87,604 million and energy solutions adding $10,086 million Tesla, Inc. Annual Report on Form 10-K for 2024. This diversification into energy, alongside investments in autonomous driving, positions Tesla for long-term growth, making it attractive for investors seeking exposure to future trends in sustainability and technology.
📍What Tesla Does Beyond EV Cars
Beyond EVs, Tesla is deeply involved in energy solutions:
📍Solar Products: Offers solar panels and solar roofs for clean energy generation.
📍Energy Storage: Provides Powerwall for homes and Megapack for large-scale projects, helping stabilize grids and manage energy costs.
📍Charging Infrastructure: Operates a network of Supercharger stations, increasingly open to other EVs.
Services: Includes vehicle maintenance through service centers and body shops.
📍Robotaxi: Plans to launch a fully autonomous ride-hailing service in June 2025 in Austin, Texas, potentially opening new revenue streams Tesla's robotaxis by June? Musk turns to Texas for hands-off regulation.
📍Tesla Optimus: Developing a general-purpose robotic humanoid for tasks like household chores or industrial work, which could lead to new markets.
This expansion into energy and services, along with unexpected ventures like Robotaxi and Tesla Optimus, enhances Tesla's role in the transition to sustainable energy and technology, offering benefits like grid stability and potential robotics applications.
The growth in the energy segment, with a 67% increase from 2023 to 2024, highlights Tesla's expanding role in sustainability, potentially attracting investors focused on long-term trends. Additionally, Tesla's commitment to innovation, particularly in autonomous driving technology, is noteworthy. The company is developing features like Full Self-Driving (FSD), which could open new revenue streams, such as robotaxi services, enhancing its investment appeal.
🤔I think Optimus and Robotaxi will exceed rapidly exceed their EV cars revenue. Elon musk is predicing over 1000% growth in 5 years. Which would be way above $2900 without stocks splits.
I m a bit conservative and I think we can go somewhere between 3 - 4 standard deviations.
Wishing you continued success on your trading journey. May this educational post inspire you to become an even better trader!
“Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.”
Perfectly nailed bottom around 200 and our positions are now 50% in profit good luck
David Perk ⚔
USDCHF Analysis: Break & Retest or Mean Reversion?Hello traders!
USDCHF is offering two trading scenarios on the daily timeframe.
The first scenario suggests the pair may react bearishly from the resistance zone, setting up a break-and-retest opportunity that could drive price lower toward the 0.80001 area.
The second scenario anticipates a bounce toward the 0.89100 region, where a mean reversion setup may come into play (if sellers step in and price action confirms bearish intent near that resistance).
Discretionary Trading: Where Experience Becomes the Edge
Discretionary trading is all about making decisions based on what you see, what you feel, and what you've learned through experience. Unlike systematic strategies that rely on fixed rules or algorithms, discretionary traders use their judgment to read the market in real time. It's a skill that can't be rushed, because it's built on screen time, pattern recognition, and the ability to stay calm under pressure.
There's no shortcut here. You need to see enough market conditions, wins, and losses to build that intuition—the kind that tells you when to pull the trigger or sit on your hands. Charts might look the same, but context changes everything, and that's something only experience can teach you.
At the end of the day, discretionary trading is an art, refined over time, sharpened through mistakes, and driven by instinct. It's not for everyone, but for those who've put in the work, it can be a powerful way to trade.
BITCOIN Has Unfinished Business Below $74K! Will It Return?Key Disclaimer: Inefficiencies Don’t Need to Be Filled
Let’s set the stage clearly: inefficiencies like the one at $73,624.98–$74,420.69 for BTCUSD do not HAVE to be filled.
They’re a TENDENCY, not a rule, an intriguing opportunity to explore high-probability zones. If Bitcoin doesn’t return to this level, no harm is done; but this is a very good opportunity to analyze the term, as such... let’s break it down.
What Is an Inefficiency?
An inefficiency, or sometimes a fair value gap (FVG), is a price range with "minimal" trading activity, often caused by a rapid move—here, a rally—creating a liquidity imbalance. On the weekly BTCUSD chart, this area between wicks spans $73,624.98 to $74,420.69, likely formed during a sharp rally around April 2025.
This untested range makes it a potential target for future price action, as markets often seek to resolve such imbalances. Notably, the price has already approached this zone, and there’s a chance it may never return. However, around $74,400, there are still some “unfinished things to do”, untested liquidity, or orders, which could draw the price back if conditions align.
Why Do Inefficiencies Attract Price?
Inefficiencies often act as magnets for price due to:
Liquidity Seeking: Markets revisit areas with unfilled liquidity (stop-loss or pending orders) to balance supply and demand.
Market Memory: Traders and algorithms, target these levels, reinforcing their significance.
Mean Reversion: After rapid rallies, the price may retrace to test imbalances before continuing. (atm we are probably too far from it but still keep this area in your minds)
Institutional Activity: Large players might re-enter at these levels, making them key zones for reversals or consolidation.
Historically, assets tends to revisit such areas, as the chart notes.
BTCUSD Context: $103,000 with Bullish Momentum
As of May 10, 2025, BTCUSD is at ~$103,200 on the weekly chart, on the way to confirm a weekly breakout above $100,000, supported by higher highs, an ascending channel, and macro factors ( for example ETF inflows), signaling quite a strong momentum.
The inefficiency at $73,624.98–$74,420.69 is 28–29% below the current price, a deep pullback that might require a catalyst like a macro correction, negative crypto news, or profit-taking. Given the price has already approached this zone, it may not return, but the “unfinished business” around $74,400 keeps it on the radar. Still, strong trends can bypass inefficiencies, and factors like time decay or adoption may drive prices higher.
Trading Approach, Short-, Mid-Term Investors Take Your Profits!
This formation of inefficiency is not a prediction to short, it’s an opportunity to monitor.
Still, if you’re a short- to mid-term investor, it might be a smart move to take some profits here and observe what unfolds next.
Right now, we’re potentially seeing a double top forming around major psychological levels. And to be honest, the inefficiency below (shown on the chart) still lingers in the back of my mind.
People often ask me: “When is a good time to take profits?”
My answer? Now. It is a perfect example and it fits to all assets.
And here's why. There are clear scenarios that help remove the guesswork:
1. You sell now, and the price continues to rally higher.
That’s not a problem. By selling, you’ve reduced your risk, and securing your profits - always a smart move.
If the price breaks above $100K, you can always buy it back after a confirmed breakout and retest.
That’s a strong sign that investors are willing to pay higher prices for BTC, and historically, after such breakouts (like with the $50K level in August 2024), the market tends to come back to retest that breakout zone.
Of course, if you’re a long-term investor with a 3-5+ year horizon, you may choose to ride it out. In that case, trying to time this might just be over-managing your position. There’s always a chance BTC won’t retest $100K again.
2. The best-case scenario if you take profits now:
You get the chance to buy back lower.
If the market pulls back, keep that inefficiency level in mind—there’s also a mid-term trendline, previous yearly highs, and other technical elements that haven’t been tested yet.
Traders’ psychology hasn’t really been pushed to the limits at this stage, and in my view, the crypto market loves to test limits.
So if you’re a short- or mid-term investor who bought in at lower levels, this is a good time to seriously consider locking in some profits.
Step back, and let the price action guide the next move.
Listen—just listen.
Conclusion
Inefficiencies like the one between $73,624 and $74,420 don’t demand to be filled—but they’re worth understanding, tracking, and learning from. Whether price revisits that zone or not, the real value lies in recognizing where the market has moved too fast and what that might mean if momentum shifts.
Right now, BTCUSD is strong. But strength can fade, sentiment can shift, and “unfinished business” below still holds weight for traders who think in probabilities, not certainties.
If you’re in profit—especially from lower levels—this might be one of those moments to pause, and make sure greed isn’t driving your next decision.
Whether this zone becomes just a memory or a brilliant case study, it’s already a valuable example of how understanding market structure helps you stay a step ahead—not a step behind.
Stay alert. Stay humble. And as said… listen.
Cheers,
Vaido
#EURUSD: At Perfect Area to Swing Sell Worth 1300+ Pips! The FX:EURUSD price is currently showing strong sell momentum, indicating a potential strong bearish trend in the coming time. We’ve already taken two swing sell positions on EURUSD. There are three targets you can set according to your own plan and strategy.
The DXY index suggests further price growth in the coming weeks. Please ensure you manage your risk while trading. This is our concept only and does not guarantee the movements we’ve shown in our analysis. Therefore, please conduct your own analysis before taking any swing entry.
Good luck and trade safely!
Wishing you good luck and safe trading!
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My thoughts on EUR/USDSince January 31st, EUR/USD had been in a bullish trend--a bullish channel in the 4H and 1D. I knew we were about to break out of this bullish trend. I had been anticipating a very strong reversal for a while, given we recently retested the top of another stronger Trendline. A much more reliable channel. the channel I speak of is the 3M, 1M and 1W timeframe channels, they are bearish. We once again hit the resistance of this monthly channel, while, at the same time being in a bullish trend in the 4H and 1D timeframes. So obviously I presumed the 4H bullish trend would end and reverse-which it has and did. This monthly bearish channel has been active for 14-17 years and has perfectly retested the support and resistances numerous times--making it a valid A+ setup in my book. To further this, on the 4H-1D timeframes, while we were still inside this 4H bullish channel, we saw a perfect Head and Shoulders pattern and quickly got our confirmation when it crossed the neckline. All of this indicates we will see strong selling pressure very soon.
So, where are we headed exactly? Well we know that we have FVGs and strong Supports. key areas for TPs are 1.09, 1.06, and on the monthly as low as 0.82.
If you guys have any questions feel free to ask. And share your thoughts and opinions on EUR/USD--thanks :)
Example Short Orders
SL 1.137
Limit order 1.255
TP1 1.09
TP2 1.06
TP3 1.02
TP4 0.82
(Maybe i am wrong, but if I am it will be the first time in 17 years for EUR/USD.. I like the odds)
OANDA:EURUSD
BITCOIN Breaks Higher - Is $106K the Next Target?COINBASE:BTCUSD is trading within an ascending channel, signaling bullish momentum. The price has consistently respected the channel boundaries, forming higher highs and higher lows, which aligns with the continuation of the uptrend.
Recently, the price has broken out with strong momentum and may now be pulling back for a retest. This area previously acted as resistance and may now serve as support, aligning with a potential bullish continuation.
If buyers confirm support at this level, the price is likely to move upward toward the $106,000 level, which aligns with the upper boundary of the ascending channel. Conversely, a failure to hold support could signal a potential bearish shift.
Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation signals, such as bullish engulfing candles, strong wicks rejecting the support zone, or increased buying volume, before considering long positions.
Let me know your thoughts or any additional insights you might have!
Intraday Playbook ES Futures: Trade Setup & Context CME_MINI:ES1!
Big Picture Context
Please see related trade idea.
In this analysis, we refine our intraday levels to identify potential trade setups. We also review recent price action and present a high-probability long trade example that frequently offers favorable risk-reward dynamics when it plays out successfully.
See chart image below reviewing yesterday’s long trade opportunity.
Example Trade Setup: SFP Long
Time frame: 1 hour or 30 mins
• Entry: 5612
• Stop: 5595.50 (below SFP candle)
• Target: 5682 (mCVAH — confluence with recent highs)
• Risk: 66 ticks
• Reward: 280 ticks
• Risk/Reward Ratio: 4.2 R
Note: Past performance is not indicative of future results.
________________________________________
Intraday Market Structure Review
What has the market done?
• ES Futures have rallied and reclaimed a key technical level.
• Currently trading above:
o March 2025 low
o 2025 mid-year level
o Developing Value Area Low (VAL) for the 2025 Volume Profile
What is the market trying to do?
• Recover prior months' losses.
• Price action is climbing steadily, establishing higher lows.
How well is it doing?
• Despite headline risks, ES futures show resilience.
• Price has painted green candles in the full session for the past 10 consecutive days—a strong bullish structure.
________________________________________
What Is More Likely to Happen from Here?
Scenario 1: Pullback and Continuation Higher
A pullback toward the 0.618 Fib retracement and mCVAH confluence could offer another long setup, targeting the April 2nd high. This is further supported by NQ already reclaiming those highs, with ES still lagging but showing strength.
Example Trade Idea:
Time frame: 1 hour or 30 mins
• Entry: 5688
• Stop: 5680
• Target: 5724 (May 2 High)
• Risk: 32 ticks
• Reward: 144 ticks
• Risk/Reward Ratio: 4.5 R
Target may be adjusted if relative volume and delta support strong momentum toward April 2nd highs.
________________________________________
Scenario 2: Further Consolidation
• Sellers push prices back into last week's balance/value area.
• Market consolidates and builds energy for a likely next leg higher.
• No short setup is presented, as current risk and stop placement do not justify initiating short positions.
Important Notes:
• These are example trade ideas not intended to be a recommendation to trade, and traders are encouraged to do their own analysis and preparation before entering any positions.
• Stop losses are not guaranteed to trigger at specified levels, and actual losses may exceed predetermined stop levels.